Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 10% |
VIGIX Vanguard Growth Index Fund Institutional Shares | Large Cap Growth Equities | 20% |
VTIVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund | Target Retirement Date, Diversified Portfolio | 70% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 401k, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Oct 27, 2003, corresponding to the inception date of VTIVX
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the 401k returned -3.00% Year-To-Date and 13.05% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 401k | 0.10% | -3.40% | -3.00% | -1.84% | 13.70% | 16.70% | 10.21% | 13.05% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTIVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund | 0.90% | -2.64% | -0.40% | 1.90% | 19.04% | 15.17% | 8.12% | 10.40% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 1.03% | -8.44% | -8.77% | -14.68% | -26.04% | 13.80% | 18.00% | 22.03% |
VIGIX Vanguard Growth Index Fund Institutional Shares | 1.12% | -3.75% | -9.38% | -8.39% | 17.55% | 21.59% | 11.68% | 16.16% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 28, 2003, 401k's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.86%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.7 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +10.7%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -17.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 401k closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +11.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -10.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.39% | 0.73% | -5.71% | 0.72% | -3.00% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.76% | 0.81% | -3.62% | 1.01% | 5.15% | 3.48% | 0.38% | 2.25% | 3.15% | 0.34% | 0.79% | 0.44% | 18.03% |
| 2024 | 1.55% | 4.59% | 3.20% | -3.08% | 4.14% | 2.17% | 1.52% | 3.71% | 1.99% | -2.07% | 4.89% | -2.83% | 21.15% |
| 2023 | 7.41% | -1.84% | 3.40% | 0.59% | -0.30% | 5.26% | 2.39% | -1.47% | -3.48% | -0.87% | 8.42% | 4.10% | 25.39% |
| 2022 | -4.36% | -2.91% | 2.42% | -8.29% | 0.90% | -7.16% | 7.02% | -3.03% | -8.74% | 5.56% | 6.64% | -4.63% | -16.92% |
| 2021 | -1.14% | 1.68% | 3.04% | 4.60% | 0.49% | 2.00% | 0.78% | 2.33% | -4.26% | 5.26% | -1.69% | 3.92% | 17.90% |
Benchmark Metrics
401k has an annualized alpha of 2.05%, beta of 0.89, and R² of 0.97 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 28, 2003.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (93.75%) than losses (86.78%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.05% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.89 and R² of 0.97, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 2.05%
- Beta
- 0.89
- R²
- 0.97
- Upside Capture
- 93.75%
- Downside Capture
- 86.78%
Expense Ratio
401k has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
401k ranks 26 for risk / return — below 26% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.94 | 0.88 | +0.06 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.41 | 1.37 | +0.05 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.21 | 1.21 | 0.00 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0.00 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.35 | 6.43 | -0.08 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTIVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund | 75 | 1.43 | 2.05 | 1.30 | 2.06 | 9.17 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6 | -1.04 | -1.35 | 0.83 | -0.91 | -1.47 |
VIGIX Vanguard Growth Index Fund Institutional Shares | 31 | 0.81 | 1.32 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 4.17 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
401k provided a 2.56% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.56% | 2.04% | 1.79% | 1.73% | 2.10% | 11.50% | 1.73% | 2.14% | 2.22% | 0.38% | 2.26% | 2.78% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTIVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund | 2.51% | 2.50% | 2.36% | 2.27% | 2.75% | 15.40% | 1.90% | 2.23% | 2.52% | 0.04% | 2.47% | 3.29% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7.17% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
VIGIX Vanguard Growth Index Fund Institutional Shares | 0.45% | 0.41% | 0.47% | 0.58% | 0.70% | 0.48% | 0.66% | 0.95% | 1.32% | 1.15% | 1.40% | 1.31% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 401k. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 401k was 51.09%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 522 trading sessions.
The current 401k drawdown is 5.39%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -51.09% | Oct 10, 2007 | 355 | Mar 9, 2009 | 522 | Apr 1, 2011 | 877 |
| -30.07% | Feb 18, 2020 | 25 | Mar 23, 2020 | 82 | Jul 20, 2020 | 107 |
| -23.65% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 284 | Dec 1, 2023 | 486 |
| -19.41% | May 2, 2011 | 108 | Oct 3, 2011 | 101 | Feb 28, 2012 | 209 |
| -17.6% | Sep 21, 2018 | 65 | Dec 24, 2018 | 68 | Apr 3, 2019 | 133 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.85, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | PGR | VIGIX | VTIVX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.95 | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| PGR | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| VIGIX | 0.95 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| VTIVX | 0.97 | 0.49 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Portfolio | 0.97 | 0.60 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 1.00 |