Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 2.29% |
CET Central Securities Corp. | Financial Services | 3.18% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | Consumer Defensive | 12.15% |
DSGX The Descartes Systems Group Inc. | Technology | 8.08% |
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd | Industrials | 10.35% |
K Kellogg Company | Consumer Defensive | 2.34% |
MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. | Technology | 2.32% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 18.97% |
RBA Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers Incorporated | Industrials | 1.89% |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | Industrials | 8.33% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | Communication Services | 6.75% |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | Basic Materials | 4.68% |
WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | Industrials | 10.26% |
WMT Walmart Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 8.42% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Core 4, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Apr 19, 2007, corresponding to the inception date of TMUS
Returns By Period
As of Apr 11, 2026, the Core 4 returned 5.54% Year-To-Date and 21.90% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 0.61% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 29.40% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio Core 4 | -1.62% | -1.13% | 5.54% | 4.12% | 5.89% | 25.78% | 21.33% | 21.90% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
PGR The Progressive Corporation | -2.88% | -3.47% | -9.29% | -13.93% | -24.32% | 12.65% | 17.81% | 22.12% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | -3.25% | 0.63% | 15.94% | 7.66% | 4.11% | 27.76% | 23.76% | 22.92% |
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd | -0.35% | 5.00% | 60.16% | 84.70% | 134.83% | 75.39% | 46.25% | 26.54% |
WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | -1.35% | -3.06% | -7.66% | -6.12% | -15.13% | 5.65% | 7.90% | 15.15% |
WMT Walmart Inc. | -1.83% | 2.87% | 14.02% | 24.99% | 41.15% | 37.91% | 23.78% | 20.76% |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | -1.08% | -3.81% | 1.88% | -4.11% | -9.66% | 18.07% | 17.18% | 18.61% |
DSGX The Descartes Systems Group Inc. | -2.61% | -8.71% | -28.04% | -33.93% | -37.39% | -7.73% | -0.43% | 12.49% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | -0.93% | -8.31% | -3.15% | -13.62% | -22.28% | 10.72% | 9.55% | 18.00% |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | 0.43% | 16.16% | 14.33% | 14.02% | 52.45% | 66.23% | 37.19% | 29.41% |
CET Central Securities Corp. | 0.12% | 1.10% | 1.68% | 6.97% | 27.81% | 19.99% | 12.44% | 16.65% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 20, 2007, Core 4's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +1.57%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.7 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was May 2013 with a return of +38.7%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -13.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Core 4 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was May 1, 2013 with a return of +25.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -8.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.38% | 4.38% | -0.95% | -0.29% | 5.54% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.89% | 5.30% | 0.13% | 2.57% | 2.67% | -2.61% | -1.91% | 2.20% | 0.09% | -7.82% | 3.33% | 1.74% | 11.34% |
| 2024 | 4.64% | 5.62% | 3.86% | -0.93% | 3.56% | 2.23% | 2.29% | 9.53% | 0.95% | 2.05% | 11.46% | -6.12% | 45.40% |
| 2023 | 4.18% | 0.35% | 2.24% | 1.32% | -0.30% | 5.15% | -0.47% | -0.97% | 0.62% | 1.91% | 5.74% | 4.27% | 26.52% |
| 2022 | -4.84% | 1.61% | 7.67% | -4.25% | -1.02% | -0.53% | 5.70% | 0.78% | -6.03% | 7.77% | 2.56% | -5.70% | 2.40% |
| 2021 | -3.03% | -1.98% | 7.92% | 4.46% | 0.41% | 1.59% | 2.51% | 4.05% | -3.55% | 5.47% | -1.42% | 7.43% | 25.60% |
Benchmark Metrics
Core 4 has an annualized alpha of 12.69%, beta of 0.72, and R² of 0.65 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 20, 2007.
- This portfolio captured 100.36% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 51.12% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 12.69% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 12.69%
- Beta
- 0.72
- R²
- 0.65
- Upside Capture
- 100.36%
- Downside Capture
- 51.12%
Expense Ratio
Core 4 has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Core 4 ranks 6 for risk / return — in the bottom 6% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.50 | 2.23 | -1.73 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.77 | 3.12 | -2.35 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.09 | 1.42 | -0.33 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.05 | 4.05 | -3.00 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.58 | 17.91 | -15.33 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7 | -1.09 | -1.46 | 0.83 | -0.70 | -1.11 |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 38 | 0.22 | 0.45 | 1.05 | 0.54 | 1.08 |
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd | 93 | 3.33 | 3.85 | 1.51 | 7.71 | 25.90 |
WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | 12 | -0.76 | -0.92 | 0.88 | -0.53 | -0.98 |
WMT Walmart Inc. | 83 | 1.88 | 2.75 | 1.34 | 5.16 | 14.19 |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | 18 | -0.57 | -0.66 | 0.92 | -0.22 | -0.37 |
DSGX The Descartes Systems Group Inc. | 6 | -1.06 | -1.53 | 0.81 | -0.71 | -1.36 |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | 9 | -0.86 | -1.07 | 0.86 | -0.63 | -1.14 |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | 70 | 1.44 | 2.02 | 1.25 | 2.69 | 7.32 |
CET Central Securities Corp. | 87 | 2.33 | 3.37 | 1.43 | 4.16 | 17.54 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Core 4 provided a 2.10% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.10% | 1.19% | 0.82% | 1.34% | 1.02% | 2.10% | 1.76% | 1.92% | 1.49% | 1.70% | 1.66% | 2.30% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7.16% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.52% | 0.59% | 0.49% | 2.87% | 0.76% | 0.54% | 3.38% | 0.86% | 1.08% | 4.81% | 1.09% | 4.06% |
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd | 0.29% | 0.47% | 0.77% | 0.94% | 1.22% | 1.03% | 1.28% | 1.14% | 1.54% | 1.32% | 1.57% | 1.63% |
WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | 0.82% | 0.74% | 0.68% | 0.70% | 0.71% | 0.62% | 0.74% | 0.73% | 0.78% | 0.70% | 1.20% | 1.86% |
WMT Walmart Inc. | 0.75% | 0.84% | 0.92% | 1.45% | 1.58% | 1.52% | 1.50% | 1.78% | 2.23% | 2.07% | 2.89% | 3.20% |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | 1.14% | 1.12% | 0.82% | 1.25% | 1.48% | 1.27% | 1.72% | 1.74% | 2.00% | 1.97% | 2.17% | 2.64% |
DSGX The Descartes Systems Group Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | 1.94% | 1.80% | 1.28% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | 0.18% | 0.20% | 0.15% | 0.35% | 0.57% | 0.50% | 0.56% | 6.52% | 0.76% | 0.70% | 0.66% | 0.91% |
CET Central Securities Corp. | 5.24% | 5.32% | 4.92% | 4.90% | 7.34% | 8.41% | 5.68% | 3.78% | 5.84% | 3.65% | 4.50% | 10.41% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Core 4. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Core 4 was 41.07%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 266 trading sessions.
The current Core 4 drawdown is 4.05%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -41.07% | Jun 6, 2008 | 190 | Mar 9, 2009 | 266 | Mar 29, 2010 | 456 |
| -23.8% | Feb 19, 2020 | 24 | Mar 23, 2020 | 81 | Jul 17, 2020 | 105 |
| -17.63% | May 20, 2011 | 55 | Aug 8, 2011 | 124 | Feb 3, 2012 | 179 |
| -15.73% | Sep 24, 2018 | 64 | Dec 24, 2018 | 36 | Feb 15, 2019 | 100 |
| -13.98% | Apr 8, 2022 | 48 | Jun 16, 2022 | 37 | Aug 10, 2022 | 85 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 9.78, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | USLM | DSGX | ESLT | K | RBA | TMUS | WMT | CASY | PGR | MSI | COST | WCN | RSG | CET | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 0.77 |
| USLM | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| DSGX | 0.41 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| ESLT | 0.39 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.51 |
| K | 0.37 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| RBA | 0.46 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| TMUS | 0.43 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| WMT | 0.43 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.57 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.53 |
| CASY | 0.46 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| PGR | 0.52 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.70 |
| MSI | 0.59 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| COST | 0.55 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.57 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
| WCN | 0.52 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 0.42 | 0.64 |
| RSG | 0.53 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.64 |
| CET | 0.76 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Portfolio | 0.77 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.70 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.63 | 1.00 |