Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN | Global Equities | 10% |
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | Small Cap Blend Equities | 15% |
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 15% |
RPV Invesco S&P 500® Pure Value ETF | Large Cap Value Equities, S&P 500 | 20% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 40% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in CAPE, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Apr 4, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of CAPE
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -2.33% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 29.73% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio CAPE | 0.20% | -1.64% | -0.82% | 1.14% | 30.91% | 16.93% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.11% | -2.19% | -3.55% | -1.41% | 31.08% | 18.47% | 11.96% | 14.19% |
RPV Invesco S&P 500® Pure Value ETF | 0.45% | -0.82% | 4.76% | 8.43% | 31.38% | 15.13% | 10.19% | 10.50% |
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF | 0.12% | -2.34% | -4.64% | -2.75% | 38.94% | 23.07% | 13.26% | — |
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | 0.41% | 0.67% | 4.53% | 5.11% | 34.37% | 10.79% | 4.27% | 10.05% |
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN | -0.13% | -4.09% | -3.75% | -3.59% | 11.21% | 12.57% | — | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 5, 2022, CAPE's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.88%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.6 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +9.5%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -9.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, CAPE closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.61% | 0.72% | -4.79% | 0.80% | -0.82% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.77% | -1.50% | -4.68% | -1.66% | 5.48% | 4.75% | 0.98% | 3.62% | 2.85% | 1.18% | 1.26% | 0.12% | 15.73% |
| 2024 | 0.08% | 4.24% | 3.59% | -4.74% | 4.57% | 1.79% | 3.35% | 1.40% | 1.45% | -0.95% | 7.51% | -3.98% | 19.12% |
| 2023 | 8.86% | -2.66% | 0.87% | 0.39% | -0.18% | 7.45% | 3.94% | -2.64% | -4.81% | -3.36% | 9.50% | 6.65% | 25.12% |
| 2022 | -8.89% | 0.82% | -9.19% | 9.20% | -3.75% | -9.64% | 9.02% | 5.32% | -6.46% | -14.91% |
Benchmark Metrics
CAPE has an annualized alpha of 0.51%, beta of 0.99, and R² of 0.95 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 05, 2022.
- With beta of 0.99 and R² of 0.95, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 0.51%
- Beta
- 0.99
- R²
- 0.95
- Upside Capture
- 103.98%
- Downside Capture
- 102.32%
Expense Ratio
CAPE has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
CAPE ranks 32 for risk / return — below 32% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.00 | 0.88 | +0.12 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.53 | 1.37 | +0.16 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.21 | +0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.50 | 1.39 | +0.11 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.12 | 6.43 | +0.69 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.13 |
RPV Invesco S&P 500® Pure Value ETF | 56 | 1.10 | 1.62 | 1.22 | 1.64 | 6.58 |
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF | 59 | 1.05 | 1.63 | 1.23 | 1.95 | 7.03 |
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | 44 | 0.87 | 1.36 | 1.18 | 1.44 | 5.78 |
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN | 15 | 0.17 | 0.37 | 1.05 | 0.30 | 1.19 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
CAPE provided a 1.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.37% | 1.38% | 1.45% | 1.45% | 1.55% | 1.17% | 1.23% | 1.43% | 1.56% | 1.24% | 1.34% | 1.54% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
RPV Invesco S&P 500® Pure Value ETF | 2.41% | 2.50% | 2.16% | 2.38% | 2.29% | 1.92% | 2.11% | 2.28% | 2.49% | 1.73% | 1.73% | 2.39% |
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF | 0.53% | 0.50% | 0.61% | 0.65% | 0.83% | 0.40% | 0.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | 1.27% | 1.44% | 2.05% | 1.31% | 1.41% | 1.53% | 1.11% | 1.44% | 1.58% | 1.20% | 1.22% | 1.48% |
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN | 1.44% | 1.39% | 1.23% | 1.01% | 0.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the CAPE. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the CAPE was 20.78%, occurring on Sep 30, 2022. Recovery took 195 trading sessions.
The current CAPE drawdown is 4.80%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -20.78% | Apr 5, 2022 | 124 | Sep 30, 2022 | 195 | Jul 13, 2023 | 319 |
| -18.25% | Dec 5, 2024 | 84 | Apr 8, 2025 | 56 | Jun 30, 2025 | 140 |
| -12.06% | Aug 1, 2023 | 63 | Oct 27, 2023 | 30 | Dec 11, 2023 | 93 |
| -8.3% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 32 | Sep 19, 2024 | 46 |
| -7.94% | Feb 12, 2026 | 32 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | RPV | QQQM | IJR | CAPE | VOO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.94 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| RPV | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.85 | 0.79 | 0.68 | 0.83 |
| QQQM | 0.94 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| IJR | 0.79 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.91 |
| CAPE | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.89 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.94 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Portfolio | 0.96 | 0.83 | 0.87 | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.96 | 1.00 |