Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 30% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | Cryptocurrency | 2% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 28% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | Technology Equities | 10% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 30% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All Weather - BTC, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -2.33% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 29.73% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio All Weather - BTC | -0.49% | -4.89% | 1.05% | 4.16% | 43.00% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -1.94% | -9.32% | 8.34% | 20.10% | 53.58% | 32.68% | 21.72% | 14.14% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.65% | -4.25% | 14.15% | 5.21% | 70.43% | — | — | — |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -1.73% | -1.63% | -23.52% | -45.61% | -20.42% | — | — | — |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.11% | -2.19% | -3.55% | -1.41% | 31.08% | 18.47% | 11.96% | 14.19% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.34% | -4.65% | -2.77% | 39.07% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, All Weather - BTC's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.14%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.7 years.
Historically, 86% of months were positive and 14% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +7.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -7.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 1 months.
On a daily basis, All Weather - BTC closed higher 59% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.0%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -4.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.01% | 1.44% | -6.96% | 0.99% | 1.05% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.22% | -0.20% | 0.35% | 3.20% | 5.63% | 4.11% | 1.54% | 2.36% | 7.50% | 2.77% | 0.09% | 0.85% | 37.33% |
| 2024 | 0.84% | 5.11% | 4.82% | -1.96% | 4.31% | 2.31% | 2.38% | 2.02% | 3.06% | 0.97% | 3.63% | -1.55% | 28.90% |
Benchmark Metrics
All Weather - BTC has an annualized alpha of 16.30%, beta of 0.78, and R² of 0.71 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 118.62% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 21.37% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 16.30% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 16.30%
- Beta
- 0.78
- R²
- 0.71
- Upside Capture
- 118.62%
- Downside Capture
- 21.37%
Expense Ratio
All Weather - BTC has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All Weather - BTC ranks 81 for risk / return — in the top 81% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.86 | 0.88 | +0.98 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.59 | 1.37 | +1.23 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.40 | 1.21 | +0.19 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.55 | 1.39 | +1.16 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.42 | 6.43 | +3.99 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 79 | 1.78 | 2.21 | 1.33 | 2.58 | 9.32 |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 89 | 2.26 | 2.92 | 1.39 | 3.83 | 11.11 |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 4 | -0.51 | -0.49 | 0.94 | -0.43 | -0.91 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.13 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 58 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All Weather - BTC provided a 0.54% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.54% | 0.52% | 0.58% | 0.64% | 0.73% | 0.49% | 0.62% | 0.77% | 0.87% | 0.77% | 0.90% | 0.91% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.48% | 0.55% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All Weather - BTC. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All Weather - BTC was 12.66%, occurring on Mar 30, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current All Weather - BTC drawdown is 8.83%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12.66% | Jan 29, 2026 | 42 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -11.4% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 17 | May 2, 2025 | 51 |
| -7.27% | Jul 17, 2024 | 16 | Aug 7, 2024 | 26 | Sep 13, 2024 | 42 |
| -5.34% | Oct 21, 2025 | 23 | Nov 20, 2025 | 21 | Dec 22, 2025 | 44 |
| -3.61% | Apr 12, 2024 | 14 | May 1, 2024 | 9 | May 14, 2024 | 23 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.72, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IAU | IBIT | SHLD | QQQ | VOO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| IAU | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.26 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.56 |
| IBIT | 0.40 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| SHLD | 0.45 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| QQQ | 0.94 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Portfolio | 0.82 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.58 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 1.00 |