Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 5% | |
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | S&P 500 | 40% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 30% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Draft, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 22, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD
Returns By Period
As of Apr 7, 2026, the Draft returned -1.23% Year-To-Date and 27.38% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.44% | -1.90% | -3.41% | -1.91% | 30.31% | 17.22% | 10.14% | 12.44% |
Portfolio Draft | 0.41% | -0.25% | -1.23% | -0.34% | 50.32% | 28.78% | 16.11% | 27.38% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 0.12% | -2.24% | -3.53% | -1.76% | 31.33% | 18.49% | 11.97% | 14.21% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.93% | 4.05% | 9.95% | 15.68% | 119.70% | 47.06% | 26.39% | 31.90% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -0.48% | 2.10% | -21.51% | -44.94% | -12.37% | 34.97% | 4.18% | 66.50% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.60% | -1.75% | -4.08% | -2.91% | 39.91% | 23.49% | 12.83% | 19.23% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 23, 2012, Draft's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +3.15%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.9 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +185.3%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -29.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Draft closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +29.6%, while the worst single day was Dec 6, 2013 at -17.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.45% | -1.43% | -4.87% | 1.83% | -1.23% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.40% | -3.38% | -6.91% | 0.79% | 9.10% | 8.06% | 2.94% | 0.84% | 6.55% | 5.19% | -2.05% | 0.45% | 25.30% |
| 2024 | 2.82% | 9.46% | 4.31% | -5.16% | 7.73% | 5.05% | -1.40% | 0.27% | 2.20% | -0.37% | 6.25% | -0.97% | 33.45% |
| 2023 | 11.90% | -0.78% | 8.29% | -0.73% | 6.33% | 6.54% | 3.55% | -2.49% | -5.05% | -0.74% | 11.32% | 6.85% | 53.07% |
| 2022 | -8.23% | -2.67% | 3.32% | -12.06% | 0.32% | -11.70% | 12.07% | -5.99% | -10.47% | 5.49% | 8.07% | -7.64% | -28.59% |
| 2021 | 1.32% | 4.72% | 4.65% | 3.46% | -2.53% | 3.72% | 2.82% | 3.98% | -5.29% | 9.32% | 2.50% | 1.10% | 33.22% |
Benchmark Metrics
Draft has an annualized alpha of 19.08%, beta of 1.10, and R² of 0.47 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 23, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 186.28% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 97.87% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.47 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 19.08%
- Beta
- 1.10
- R²
- 0.47
- Upside Capture
- 186.28%
- Downside Capture
- 97.87%
Expense Ratio
Draft has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Draft ranks 48 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.26 | 1.84 | +0.42 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.32 | 2.97 | +0.35 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.44 | 1.40 | +0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.14 | 1.82 | -0.69 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.68 | 7.76 | -4.08 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 47 | 0.96 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 97 | 3.46 | 4.17 | 1.57 | 5.73 | 20.62 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 48 | -0.28 | -0.12 | 0.99 | -1.10 | -1.92 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 79 | 1.91 | 2.97 | 1.40 | 2.02 | 7.51 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Draft provided a 0.57% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.57% | 0.66% | 0.78% | 0.92% | 1.21% | 0.74% | 0.98% | 1.42% | 1.83% | 1.40% | 1.53% | 1.96% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 0.89% | 1.11% | 1.25% | 1.45% | 1.69% | 1.22% | 1.60% | 2.06% | 2.72% | 1.97% | 2.52% | 2.83% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Draft. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Draft was 44.01%, occurring on Dec 18, 2013. Recovery took 1085 trading sessions.
The current Draft drawdown is 6.59%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -44.01% | Dec 5, 2013 | 14 | Dec 18, 2013 | 1085 | Dec 7, 2016 | 1099 |
| -34.89% | Dec 28, 2021 | 292 | Oct 15, 2022 | 400 | Nov 19, 2023 | 692 |
| -31.54% | Feb 20, 2020 | 32 | Mar 22, 2020 | 106 | Jul 6, 2020 | 138 |
| -31.12% | Apr 10, 2013 | 7 | Apr 16, 2013 | 186 | Oct 20, 2013 | 193 |
| -27.43% | Dec 17, 2017 | 374 | Dec 25, 2018 | 179 | Jun 22, 2019 | 553 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.17, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BTC-USD | SMH | FXAIX | QQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.84 |
| BTC-USD | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.48 |
| SMH | 0.77 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| FXAIX | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.77 |
| QQQ | 0.91 | 0.13 | 0.77 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Portfolio | 0.84 | 0.48 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.80 | 1.00 |