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Ray Dailio All Weather
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ray Dailio All Weather, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 13, 2026, the Ray Dailio All Weather returned 5.29% Year-To-Date and 6.10% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%-0.93%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
Ray Dailio All Weather
0.01%-0.89%5.29%5.52%14.25%9.53%3.43%6.10%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
-1.04%-8.35%27.68%28.76%30.29%12.92%11.29%8.27%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.06%-9.52%-2.47%-2.25%22.21%28.89%17.08%12.15%
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.12%0.10%-0.30%-0.00%3.16%3.77%0.21%1.24%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.24%1.40%0.27%0.45%3.88%-1.38%-6.53%-1.75%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
0.57%-0.28%9.62%9.69%26.27%20.60%12.20%15.02%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 11, 2007, Ray Dailio All Weather's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.57%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 10.2 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +7.9%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -8.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.

On a daily basis, Ray Dailio All Weather closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +3.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -4.5%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.07%2.81%-3.01%3.27%1.37%-1.18%5.29%
20251.90%2.08%-1.21%-0.80%0.58%3.17%0.35%1.23%3.49%1.67%0.77%-0.89%12.91%
2024-0.52%0.44%2.38%-3.79%2.85%1.75%2.53%1.67%2.02%-2.29%2.51%-3.53%5.84%
20235.94%-3.74%3.78%0.56%-1.79%2.03%0.92%-1.94%-4.94%-2.65%7.13%5.32%10.17%
2022-3.13%-0.43%-0.73%-6.54%-0.71%-3.75%3.69%-3.69%-7.30%0.21%5.43%-2.96%-18.85%
2021-1.59%-1.12%-1.11%3.44%1.08%2.15%2.44%0.54%-2.50%3.40%-0.04%0.99%7.76%

Benchmark Metrics

Ray Dailio All Weather has an annualized alpha of 4.84%, beta of 0.21, and R2 of 0.26 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 11, 2007.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (36.38%) than losses (27.61%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.21 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.26 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.26 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
4.84%
Beta
0.21
0.26
Upside Capture
36.38%
Downside Capture
27.61%

Expense Ratio

Ray Dailio All Weather has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Ray Dailio All Weather ranks 56 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Ray Dailio All Weather Risk / Return Rank: 5656
Overall Rank
Ray Dailio All Weather Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5050
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Ray Dailio All Weather Sortino Ratio Rank: 5353
Sortino Ratio Rank
Ray Dailio All Weather Omega Ratio Rank: 5555
Omega Ratio Rank
Ray Dailio All Weather Calmar Ratio Rank: 6060
Calmar Ratio Rank
Ray Dailio All Weather Martin Ratio Rank: 6060
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Ray Dailio All Weather and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.99

1.86

+0.13

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.77

2.53

+0.24

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.37

1.34

+0.03

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.05

2.53

+0.52

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

12.34

11.37

+0.97


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
62
1.822.421.323.489.64
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
26
0.871.241.180.982.81
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
29
1.001.521.171.193.35
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
13
0.300.501.060.380.92
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
67
1.972.671.352.7912.52

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current Ray Dailio All Weather Sharpe ratio is 1.99 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Ray Dailio All Weather compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Ray Dailio All Weather provided a 2.88% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.88%2.88%2.97%2.51%1.82%1.07%1.19%1.86%2.05%1.71%1.82%1.85%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
2.61%3.33%5.22%4.94%0.59%0.00%0.00%1.59%1.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.64%3.48%3.18%2.36%1.37%0.73%1.12%2.01%1.95%1.51%1.33%1.39%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.56%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.03%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ray Dailio All Weather. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Ray Dailio All Weather was 23.43%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 693 trading sessions.

The current Ray Dailio All Weather drawdown is 1.49%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Bear market2022
-23.43%Oct 2022
11mo 14d2y 9mo
3y 8moNov 2021 - Jul 2025
Financial crisis2007–2009
-15.27%Nov 2008
5mo 25d10mo 29d
1y 4moMay 2008 - Oct 2009
COVID crash2020
-13.69%Mar 2020
9d2mo 3d
2mo 12dMar 2020 - May 2020
2016 pullback2016
-8.00%Jan 2016
11mo 12d4mo 1d
1y 3moFeb 2015 - May 2016
2013 pullback2013
-6.86%Jun 2013
1mo 23d8mo 5d
9mo 28dMay 2013 - Feb 2014

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.67

1.54

1.56

1.70

1.90

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.90, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.

Ray Dailio All Weather correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Ray Dailio All Weather has a 0.67 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.67

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.62

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.58

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.53

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 11, 2007

0.46


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while TLT has the lowest at -0.26.

TLT
-0.26
IEI
-0.26
GLD
0.07
DBC
0.32
VTI
0.99

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Ray Dailio All Weather. TLT has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.60, while DBC has the lowest at 0.29.

DBC
0.29
GLD
0.44
VTI
0.47
IEI
0.50
TLT
0.60

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 11, 2007
Diversification Analysis

Find what Ray Dailio All Weather is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Ray Dailio All Weather is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification