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ALL WEATHER JULS
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


SHY 15.00%TLT 15.00%GLD 7.50%DBC 7.50%BTC-USD 5.00%SPY 20.00%QQQ 15.00%VWO 15.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in ALL WEATHER JULS, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 18, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD

Returns By Period

As of Apr 2, 2026, the ALL WEATHER JULS returned 0.60% Year-To-Date and 14.56% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
ALL WEATHER JULS
-0.06%-1.46%0.60%0.91%16.27%15.19%8.52%14.56%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.11%-2.64%-4.65%-3.18%23.45%22.97%13.18%19.05%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.09%-3.34%-3.56%-1.44%17.51%18.37%11.88%14.11%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
-1.92%-8.27%8.35%21.03%49.02%32.51%21.53%13.97%
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.05%-0.23%0.31%1.24%3.70%3.85%1.71%1.65%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.61%-2.56%0.69%-0.91%-0.77%-2.76%-5.75%-1.34%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
-1.99%-2.31%-23.70%-44.66%-19.07%33.89%3.18%66.03%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
-0.72%-2.55%0.11%0.38%21.72%13.41%3.75%7.73%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
2.27%13.20%31.17%35.71%33.85%11.56%14.82%10.42%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 19, 2012, ALL WEATHER JULS's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +1.28%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.5 years.

Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +33.3%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -11.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, ALL WEATHER JULS closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +7.6%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -7.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.37%0.97%-3.03%0.37%0.60%
20252.32%-0.40%-1.32%0.41%3.42%3.84%1.31%1.16%4.23%1.86%-0.63%-0.23%16.97%
2024-0.21%4.12%3.33%-2.77%3.38%1.99%1.24%0.79%3.15%-0.66%3.64%-1.65%17.29%
20237.86%-3.10%5.61%0.57%-0.59%3.60%2.41%-2.51%-3.34%-0.15%6.58%4.35%22.53%
2022-3.35%-0.57%1.05%-6.74%-0.89%-5.87%4.51%-3.62%-7.31%1.39%5.08%-3.45%-18.86%
20210.49%2.35%2.49%3.37%-0.59%1.72%1.81%2.12%-3.07%5.72%-1.09%0.47%16.67%

Benchmark Metrics

ALL WEATHER JULS has an annualized alpha of 7.88%, beta of 0.51, and R² of 0.55 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 19, 2012.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (79.69%) than losses (58.22%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 7.88% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.51 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
7.88%
Beta
0.51
0.55
Upside Capture
79.69%
Downside Capture
58.22%

Expense Ratio

ALL WEATHER JULS has an expense ratio of 0.20%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

ALL WEATHER JULS ranks 49 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


ALL WEATHER JULS Risk / Return Rank: 4949
Overall Rank
ALL WEATHER JULS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6464
Sharpe Ratio Rank
ALL WEATHER JULS Sortino Ratio Rank: 6868
Sortino Ratio Rank
ALL WEATHER JULS Omega Ratio Rank: 6161
Omega Ratio Rank
ALL WEATHER JULS Calmar Ratio Rank: 3131
Calmar Ratio Rank
ALL WEATHER JULS Martin Ratio Rank: 2222
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.40

0.88

+0.51

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.07

1.37

+0.70

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.28

1.21

+0.08

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.52

1.39

+0.13

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

4.83

6.43

-1.60


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
591.041.621.231.937.00
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
530.921.451.221.517.11
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
801.772.191.322.579.28
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
952.574.231.544.0815.52
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
10-0.07-0.011.00-0.09-0.19
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
39-0.43-0.360.96-1.14-2.03
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
621.221.741.251.786.68
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
811.802.411.323.168.12

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

ALL WEATHER JULS Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.40
  • 5-Year: 0.76
  • 10-Year: 1.27
  • All Time: 1.28

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.01 to 1.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of ALL WEATHER JULS compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

ALL WEATHER JULS provided a 2.13% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.13%2.18%2.43%2.23%1.71%0.96%1.04%1.72%1.73%1.34%1.44%1.52%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.13%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.72%3.81%3.92%2.99%1.30%0.26%0.94%2.12%1.72%0.98%0.71%0.54%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.51%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
2.70%2.79%3.20%3.52%4.11%2.63%1.91%3.23%2.88%2.30%2.52%3.26%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
2.54%3.33%5.22%4.94%0.59%0.00%0.00%1.59%1.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the ALL WEATHER JULS. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the ALL WEATHER JULS was 24.05%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 501 trading sessions.

The current ALL WEATHER JULS drawdown is 4.01%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-24.05%Nov 10, 2021340Oct 15, 2022501Feb 28, 2024841
-19.09%Feb 20, 202028Mar 18, 202079Jun 5, 2020107
-17.15%Dec 5, 201314Dec 18, 2013926Jul 1, 2016940
-15.9%Dec 17, 2017374Dec 25, 2018170Jun 13, 2019544
-11.54%Apr 10, 201386Jul 5, 2013109Oct 22, 2013195

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.96, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBTC-USDSHYGLDTLTDBCVWOQQQSPYPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.15-0.090.02-0.180.280.680.911.000.76
BTC-USD0.151.000.000.07-0.010.040.100.130.130.56
SHY-0.090.001.000.330.57-0.07-0.04-0.07-0.090.09
GLD0.020.070.331.000.250.250.170.020.020.25
TLT-0.18-0.010.570.251.00-0.15-0.11-0.11-0.160.09
DBC0.280.04-0.070.25-0.151.000.320.180.250.33
VWO0.680.10-0.040.17-0.110.321.000.590.630.65
QQQ0.910.13-0.070.02-0.110.180.591.000.850.67
SPY1.000.13-0.090.02-0.160.250.630.851.000.69
Portfolio0.760.560.090.250.090.330.650.670.691.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 19, 2012