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Rick's 4! vers 0325
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's 4! vers 0325, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 8, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of CTA

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Rick's 4! vers 0325
0.53%-3.86%1.04%5.20%23.13%24.13%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
0.23%-9.77%-17.68%-18.09%45.61%47.33%13.60%35.51%
USMV
iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF
0.74%-3.57%-0.44%-0.74%1.12%10.38%7.75%9.74%
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
1.25%4.87%9.21%11.72%9.50%0.87%5.74%
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
4.31%3.97%14.32%14.63%7.14%15.93%
DBMF
iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
0.33%0.36%8.44%15.46%27.06%10.31%8.74%
GOVZ
iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF
0.99%-3.65%0.80%-3.16%-6.85%-8.73%-10.73%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
0.47%1.46%3.07%4.62%1.27%4.90%5.26%3.13%
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
-3.94%-17.59%9.85%32.96%88.49%56.26%34.59%20.29%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 9, 2022, Rick's 4! vers 0325's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.33%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.4 years.

Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +12.1%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -9.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Rick's 4! vers 0325 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.3%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -4.5%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20263.49%3.75%-6.91%1.09%1.04%
20252.99%-0.51%-2.48%-1.24%2.93%3.77%0.98%2.25%8.15%3.87%0.83%-0.27%22.92%
20240.81%4.49%3.63%-2.19%3.94%4.68%-0.56%1.19%3.01%-0.98%4.17%-1.60%22.21%
20237.82%-1.92%7.05%1.35%5.87%6.50%4.13%-3.02%-6.59%-2.71%12.06%7.14%42.54%
20226.66%-9.12%-2.60%-4.91%5.63%-2.27%-5.61%1.52%0.49%-4.15%-14.44%

Benchmark Metrics

Rick's 4! vers 0325 has an annualized alpha of 6.43%, beta of 0.81, and R² of 0.71 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 09, 2022.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (98.26%) than losses (79.76%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.43% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
6.43%
Beta
0.81
0.71
Upside Capture
98.26%
Downside Capture
79.76%

Expense Ratio

Rick's 4! vers 0325 has an expense ratio of 0.66%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Rick's 4! vers 0325 ranks 54 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Rick's 4! vers 0325 Risk / Return Rank: 5454
Overall Rank
Rick's 4! vers 0325 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5959
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Rick's 4! vers 0325 Sortino Ratio Rank: 5353
Sortino Ratio Rank
Rick's 4! vers 0325 Omega Ratio Rank: 5151
Omega Ratio Rank
Rick's 4! vers 0325 Calmar Ratio Rank: 6565
Calmar Ratio Rank
Rick's 4! vers 0325 Martin Ratio Rank: 4343
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.35

0.88

+0.46

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.86

1.37

+0.49

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.27

1.21

+0.06

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.30

1.39

+0.91

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

7.45

6.43

+1.02


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
410.681.361.191.323.99
USMV
iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF
130.090.211.030.150.65
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
440.961.391.181.424.22
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
220.430.681.090.711.23
DBMF
iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
942.253.051.484.3818.76
GOVZ
iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF
6-0.36-0.370.96-0.43-0.73
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
140.170.281.040.150.30
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
741.601.981.292.408.01

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Rick's 4! vers 0325 Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.35
  • All Time: 0.98

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.98 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Rick's 4! vers 0325 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Rick's 4! vers 0325 provided a 2.66% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.66%2.68%2.64%2.71%3.65%2.16%0.49%1.52%0.55%0.36%0.44%0.41%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
0.73%0.65%1.27%1.26%0.57%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.01%
USMV
iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF
1.57%1.49%1.67%1.82%1.62%1.26%1.81%1.88%2.12%1.77%2.22%2.02%
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
4.60%5.02%0.82%0.00%13.22%6.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
3.74%3.19%4.80%7.78%6.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DBMF
iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
5.28%5.91%5.75%2.91%7.72%10.38%0.86%9.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GOVZ
iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF
5.02%5.00%4.68%3.84%3.69%1.76%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.33%3.43%4.48%6.44%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%0.00%0.00%
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's 4! vers 0325. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Rick's 4! vers 0325 was 21.86%, occurring on Dec 28, 2022. Recovery took 115 trading sessions.

The current Rick's 4! vers 0325 drawdown is 7.07%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-21.86%Mar 30, 2022189Dec 28, 2022115Jun 14, 2023304
-15.33%Feb 20, 202534Apr 8, 202570Jul 21, 2025104
-14.2%Jul 20, 202370Oct 26, 202332Dec 12, 2023102
-11.47%Jul 17, 202416Aug 7, 202447Oct 14, 202463
-10.3%Jan 29, 202641Mar 27, 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.14, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkUGLCTAKMLMDBMFGOVZUUPUSMVTQQQPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.13-0.11-0.130.080.11-0.280.760.940.88
UGL0.131.000.00-0.020.080.19-0.460.150.110.34
CTA-0.110.001.000.350.34-0.250.21-0.12-0.100.05
KMLM-0.13-0.020.351.000.53-0.310.18-0.14-0.130.03
DBMF0.080.080.340.531.00-0.340.22-0.010.060.23
GOVZ0.110.19-0.25-0.31-0.341.00-0.260.190.090.17
UUP-0.28-0.460.210.180.22-0.261.00-0.27-0.25-0.28
USMV0.760.15-0.12-0.14-0.010.19-0.271.000.610.64
TQQQ0.940.11-0.10-0.130.060.09-0.250.611.000.90
Portfolio0.880.340.050.030.230.17-0.280.640.901.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Mar 9, 2022