Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's 4! vers 0325, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 8, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of CTA
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Rick's 4! vers 0325 | 0.53% | -3.86% | 1.04% | 5.20% | 23.13% | 24.13% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF | 0.74% | -3.57% | -0.44% | -0.74% | 1.12% | 10.38% | 7.75% | 9.74% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 1.25% | 4.87% | 9.21% | 11.72% | 9.50% | 0.87% | 5.74% | — |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 4.31% | 3.97% | 14.32% | 14.63% | 7.14% | 15.93% | — | — |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.33% | 0.36% | 8.44% | 15.46% | 27.06% | 10.31% | 8.74% | — |
GOVZ iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF | 0.99% | -3.65% | 0.80% | -3.16% | -6.85% | -8.73% | -10.73% | — |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.47% | 1.46% | 3.07% | 4.62% | 1.27% | 4.90% | 5.26% | 3.13% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -3.94% | -17.59% | 9.85% | 32.96% | 88.49% | 56.26% | 34.59% | 20.29% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 9, 2022, Rick's 4! vers 0325's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.33%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.4 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +12.1%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -9.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's 4! vers 0325 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.3%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -4.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.49% | 3.75% | -6.91% | 1.09% | 1.04% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.99% | -0.51% | -2.48% | -1.24% | 2.93% | 3.77% | 0.98% | 2.25% | 8.15% | 3.87% | 0.83% | -0.27% | 22.92% |
| 2024 | 0.81% | 4.49% | 3.63% | -2.19% | 3.94% | 4.68% | -0.56% | 1.19% | 3.01% | -0.98% | 4.17% | -1.60% | 22.21% |
| 2023 | 7.82% | -1.92% | 7.05% | 1.35% | 5.87% | 6.50% | 4.13% | -3.02% | -6.59% | -2.71% | 12.06% | 7.14% | 42.54% |
| 2022 | 6.66% | -9.12% | -2.60% | -4.91% | 5.63% | -2.27% | -5.61% | 1.52% | 0.49% | -4.15% | -14.44% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's 4! vers 0325 has an annualized alpha of 6.43%, beta of 0.81, and R² of 0.71 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 09, 2022.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (98.26%) than losses (79.76%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.43% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 6.43%
- Beta
- 0.81
- R²
- 0.71
- Upside Capture
- 98.26%
- Downside Capture
- 79.76%
Expense Ratio
Rick's 4! vers 0325 has an expense ratio of 0.66%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's 4! vers 0325 ranks 54 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.35 | 0.88 | +0.46 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.86 | 1.37 | +0.49 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.27 | 1.21 | +0.06 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.30 | 1.39 | +0.91 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.45 | 6.43 | +1.02 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF | 13 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 1.03 | 0.15 | 0.65 |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 44 | 0.96 | 1.39 | 1.18 | 1.42 | 4.22 |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 22 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 1.09 | 0.71 | 1.23 |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 94 | 2.25 | 3.05 | 1.48 | 4.38 | 18.76 |
GOVZ iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF | 6 | -0.36 | -0.37 | 0.96 | -0.43 | -0.73 |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 14 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 1.04 | 0.15 | 0.30 |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 74 | 1.60 | 1.98 | 1.29 | 2.40 | 8.01 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's 4! vers 0325 provided a 2.66% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.66% | 2.68% | 2.64% | 2.71% | 3.65% | 2.16% | 0.49% | 1.52% | 0.55% | 0.36% | 0.44% | 0.41% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF | 1.57% | 1.49% | 1.67% | 1.82% | 1.62% | 1.26% | 1.81% | 1.88% | 2.12% | 1.77% | 2.22% | 2.02% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 4.60% | 5.02% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 13.22% | 6.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 3.74% | 3.19% | 4.80% | 7.78% | 6.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.28% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GOVZ iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF | 5.02% | 5.00% | 4.68% | 3.84% | 3.69% | 1.76% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.33% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's 4! vers 0325. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's 4! vers 0325 was 21.86%, occurring on Dec 28, 2022. Recovery took 115 trading sessions.
The current Rick's 4! vers 0325 drawdown is 7.07%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -21.86% | Mar 30, 2022 | 189 | Dec 28, 2022 | 115 | Jun 14, 2023 | 304 |
| -15.33% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 70 | Jul 21, 2025 | 104 |
| -14.2% | Jul 20, 2023 | 70 | Oct 26, 2023 | 32 | Dec 12, 2023 | 102 |
| -11.47% | Jul 17, 2024 | 16 | Aug 7, 2024 | 47 | Oct 14, 2024 | 63 |
| -10.3% | Jan 29, 2026 | 41 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.14, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | UGL | CTA | KMLM | DBMF | GOVZ | UUP | USMV | TQQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.13 | -0.11 | -0.13 | 0.08 | 0.11 | -0.28 | 0.76 | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| UGL | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.08 | 0.19 | -0.46 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
| CTA | -0.11 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.34 | -0.25 | 0.21 | -0.12 | -0.10 | 0.05 |
| KMLM | -0.13 | -0.02 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.53 | -0.31 | 0.18 | -0.14 | -0.13 | 0.03 |
| DBMF | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.34 | 0.53 | 1.00 | -0.34 | 0.22 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 0.23 |
| GOVZ | 0.11 | 0.19 | -0.25 | -0.31 | -0.34 | 1.00 | -0.26 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| UUP | -0.28 | -0.46 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.22 | -0.26 | 1.00 | -0.27 | -0.25 | -0.28 |
| USMV | 0.76 | 0.15 | -0.12 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.19 | -0.27 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| TQQQ | 0.94 | 0.11 | -0.10 | -0.13 | 0.06 | 0.09 | -0.25 | 0.61 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Portfolio | 0.88 | 0.34 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.17 | -0.28 | 0.64 | 0.90 | 1.00 |