Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
VST Vistra Corp. | Utilities | 7.14% |
SAP SAP SE | Technology | 7.14% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
VRNA Verona Pharma plc | Healthcare | 7.14% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | Technology | 7.14% |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | Technology | 7.14% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
VEON VEON Ltd. | Communication Services | 7.14% |
ARES Ares Management Corporation | Financial Services | 7.14% |
CVNA Carvana Co. | Consumer Cyclical | 7.14% |
Find the right asset allocation for Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -1.44% | -1.45% | 7.60% | 6.59% | 22.24% | 19.20% | 11.54% | 13.71% |
Portfolio Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio | -1.53% | -6.79% | -17.58% | -22.05% | -23.23% | 61.24% | 32.75% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ARES Ares Management Corporation | -4.07% | -1.32% | -23.01% | -26.26% | -23.41% | 13.92% | 18.72% | 29.90% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 5.61% | 12.19% | -23.75% | -26.73% | -44.71% | 31.90% | 20.87% | 34.13% |
CVNA Carvana Co. | -2.76% | -5.05% | -23.19% | -25.88% | 1.27% | 147.39% | 1.26% | — |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | -0.57% | -9.58% | -33.08% | -38.27% | 16.43% | 54.14% | 13.11% | 29.00% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 1.80% | -10.66% | -22.33% | -22.85% | -22.44% | 4.54% | 7.88% | 23.85% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | -5.13% | -35.06% | -31.66% | -34.23% | -71.72% | 46.67% | 12.28% | 19.62% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | -4.13% | -6.99% | 7.39% | 5.85% | 38.94% | 68.08% | 59.90% | 67.94% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | -2.34% | -14.74% | -34.35% | -39.89% | -16.60% | 102.61% | 34.48% | — |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | -0.05% | 0.57% | -31.59% | -41.69% | -35.77% | 150.06% | 50.88% | 8.29% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 30, 2020, Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio's average daily return is +0.16%, while the average monthly return is +3.35%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.8 years.
Historically, 57% of months were positive and 43% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +31.4%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -18.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +16.6%, while the worst single day was May 9, 2022 at -11.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.97% | -0.36% | -9.98% | 8.46% | -6.14% | -10.61% | -17.58% | ||||||
| 2025 | 15.10% | -10.92% | -5.49% | 16.55% | 15.64% | 16.18% | 12.85% | -6.42% | 6.64% | -3.83% | -18.30% | 0.41% | 34.82% |
| 2024 | -0.07% | 28.45% | 16.80% | -11.52% | 17.32% | 3.21% | 10.82% | 5.35% | 12.64% | 14.64% | 31.36% | -7.74% | 193.50% |
| 2023 | 10.04% | 2.13% | 6.10% | 1.63% | 7.52% | 6.05% | 7.33% | -1.75% | -4.63% | -0.77% | 13.71% | 9.67% | 71.94% |
| 2022 | -16.04% | -0.39% | 3.57% | -18.83% | -7.82% | -14.23% | 18.38% | -0.04% | -9.14% | 15.01% | 5.57% | 2.80% | -25.41% |
| 2021 | 20.63% | 3.27% | -3.34% | -0.23% | -10.49% | 18.20% | 1.00% | 3.67% | -9.51% | 10.95% | -3.56% | -7.66% | 18.99% |
Benchmark Metrics
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio has an annualized alpha of 17.50%, beta of 1.59, and R2 of 0.50 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 30, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 193.52% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 99.76% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 17.50% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 1.59 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index - expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- 17.50%
- Beta
- 1.59
- R²
- 0.50
- Upside Capture
- 193.52%
- Downside Capture
- 99.76%
Expense Ratio
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio ranks 1 for risk / return — in the bottom 1% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.67 | 1.78 | -2.46 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.79 | 2.44 | -3.23 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.91 | 1.32 | -0.42 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.61 | 2.46 | -3.06 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.07 | 10.92 | -11.99 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARES Ares Management Corporation | 21 | -0.56 | -0.57 | 0.93 | -0.48 | -0.92 |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 12 | -0.80 | -1.10 | 0.86 | -0.74 | -1.24 |
CVNA Carvana Co. | 43 | 0.02 | 0.46 | 1.06 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | — | — | — | — | — | — |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | 50 | 0.23 | 0.85 | 1.10 | 0.27 | 0.53 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 12 | -0.87 | -1.10 | 0.86 | -0.66 | -1.32 |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 6 | -1.00 | -1.94 | 0.80 | -0.93 | -1.32 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 72 | 1.10 | 1.65 | 1.20 | 1.94 | 4.51 |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 29 | -0.32 | -0.13 | 0.98 | -0.38 | -0.75 |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | 29 | -0.35 | 0.15 | 1.02 | -0.52 | -0.93 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio provided a 0.65% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.65% | 0.40% | 0.32% | 0.49% | 0.71% | 0.52% | 1.15% | 1.29% | 1.49% | 1.05% | 1.70% | 0.87% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ARES Ares Management Corporation | 5.49% | 3.29% | 2.10% | 2.59% | 3.57% | 2.31% | 3.40% | 3.59% | 7.50% | 5.65% | 4.32% | 6.81% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CVNA Carvana Co. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.95% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.14% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio was 59.90%, occurring on Jun 16, 2022. Recovery took 411 trading sessions.
The current Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio drawdown is 38.43%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -59.90%Jun 2022 | 1y 4mo | 1y 7mo | 2y 12moFeb 2021 - Feb 2024 |
2026 bear market2026 | -38.43%Jun 2026 | 9mo 3d | — | 9mo 4dSep 2025 - now |
2025 selloff2025 | -31.67%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 1mo 4d | 2mo 22dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2024 correction2024 | -17.33%Apr 2024 | 22d | 1mo 1d | 1mo 23dMar 2024 - May 2024 |
2024 correction2024 | -16.28%Dec 2024 | 28d | 29d | 1mo 27dNov 2024 - Jan 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 14.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.86 | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.87 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.87, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.69 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.69 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.73 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 30, 2020 | 0.70 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. MSFT has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.72, while PSIX has the lowest at 0.17.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification