Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.67% |
CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.67% |
CVNA Carvana Co. | Consumer Cyclical | 6.67% |
GEV GE Vernova Inc. | Utilities | 6.67% |
HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | Communication Services | 6.67% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | Leveraged Equities | 6.67% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.67% |
TKO TKO Group Holdings Inc. | Communication Services | 6.67% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | Communication Services | 6.67% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | Energy | 6.67% |
TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. | Financial Services | 6.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Make or Break, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 27, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of GEV
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.78% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio Make or Break | 1.13% | -0.93% | 2.29% | -0.95% | 38.08% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 5.16% | 7.67% | -3.86% | -5.58% | 130.29% | 131.65% | — | — |
CVNA Carvana Co. | 2.87% | 12.05% | -20.31% | 2.15% | 63.10% | 225.41% | 4.39% | — |
GEV GE Vernova Inc. | 2.41% | 23.22% | 51.88% | 64.26% | 209.32% | — | — | — |
TKO TKO Group Holdings Inc. | 0.15% | 1.85% | -5.18% | 6.34% | 38.64% | — | — | — |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | -1.86% | -15.16% | -27.95% | -27.01% | 44.62% | 145.93% | 39.73% | — |
TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. | -0.79% | -2.40% | 13.05% | 13.65% | -4.80% | 20.18% | 9.44% | — |
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | -1.01% | -5.13% | 2.98% | 2.92% | -21.00% | 6.79% | 15.89% | — |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 4.69% | 15.57% | 7.58% | 14.91% | 105.87% | 83.91% | 53.30% | 40.88% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | -1.53% | -30.28% | -39.09% | -50.79% | -39.09% | 15.59% | 18.28% | 33.79% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 0.94% | 8.08% | 9.87% | -15.57% | 12.18% | 44.95% | 13.15% | 25.42% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 28, 2024, Make or Break's average daily return is +0.20%, while the average monthly return is +3.98%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.5 years.
Historically, 58% of months were positive and 42% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +21.4%, while the worst month was Dec 2024 at -5.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Make or Break closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -8.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.47% | 7.51% | -3.26% | 0.83% | 2.29% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 9.59% | -1.29% | -3.81% | 10.19% | 13.07% | 10.55% | 3.27% | -2.04% | 4.65% | -3.39% | -3.40% | -0.21% | 41.29% |
| 2024 | -0.35% | -1.94% | 13.04% | 9.37% | 2.20% | 5.98% | 8.29% | 10.79% | 21.35% | -5.06% | 80.87% |
Benchmark Metrics
Make or Break has an annualized alpha of 36.89%, beta of 1.39, and R² of 0.69 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 28, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 202.10% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -64.01%) — a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 36.89% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 36.89%
- Beta
- 1.39
- R²
- 0.69
- Upside Capture
- 202.10%
- Downside Capture
- -64.01%
Expense Ratio
Make or Break has an expense ratio of 0.08%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Make or Break ranks 31 for risk / return — below 31% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.00 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.65 | 3.12 | -0.47 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.34 | 1.42 | -0.08 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.19 | 4.05 | +0.14 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.03 | 17.91 | -5.88 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 47 | 2.08 | 2.48 | 1.31 | 4.54 | 10.65 |
CVNA Carvana Co. | 63 | 1.10 | 1.68 | 1.22 | 2.20 | 5.70 |
GEV GE Vernova Inc. | 97 | 4.78 | 4.79 | 1.62 | 14.08 | 35.52 |
TKO TKO Group Holdings Inc. | 67 | 1.22 | 1.81 | 1.23 | 2.76 | 6.66 |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 56 | 0.84 | 1.36 | 1.18 | 1.72 | 4.03 |
TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. | 26 | -0.10 | 0.05 | 1.01 | -0.09 | -0.15 |
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | 11 | -0.73 | -0.90 | 0.89 | -0.65 | -0.97 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 86 | 2.76 | 3.36 | 1.43 | 4.89 | 11.77 |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 11 | -0.70 | -0.86 | 0.89 | -0.52 | -1.13 |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 40 | 0.37 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 0.42 | 0.88 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Make or Break provided a 0.36% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.36% | 0.35% | 0.30% | 1.33% | 0.37% | 0.28% | 0.43% | 0.34% | 0.30% | 0.20% | 0.15% | 0.14% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CVNA Carvana Co. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GEV GE Vernova Inc. | 0.18% | 0.11% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TKO TKO Group Holdings Inc. | 1.37% | 1.10% | 0.00% | 4.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. | 0.41% | 0.45% | 0.31% | 0.40% | 0.49% | 0.32% | 0.51% | 0.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.67% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Make or Break. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Make or Break was 25.15%, occurring on Apr 4, 2025. Recovery took 26 trading sessions.
The current Make or Break drawdown is 4.80%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.15% | Feb 18, 2025 | 34 | Apr 4, 2025 | 26 | May 13, 2025 | 60 |
| -12.88% | Aug 13, 2025 | 122 | Feb 5, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -9.92% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 8 | Aug 15, 2024 | 22 |
| -7.4% | Aug 20, 2024 | 13 | Sep 6, 2024 | 5 | Sep 13, 2024 | 18 |
| -7.28% | Apr 12, 2024 | 6 | Apr 19, 2024 | 9 | May 2, 2024 | 15 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TMUS | BJ | TW | TPL | CASY | TKO | SFM | NFLX | CVNA | GEV | NVDL | AVGO | PLTR | AXON | HOOD | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.65 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 0.47 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
| TMUS | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.11 | -0.03 | -0.07 | -0.08 | -0.11 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 0.06 |
| BJ | 0.09 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| TW | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| TPL | 0.31 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| CASY | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.39 | 0.20 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| TKO | 0.33 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| SFM | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| NFLX | 0.43 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| CVNA | 0.48 | -0.03 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| GEV | 0.54 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.64 |
| NVDL | 0.65 | -0.08 | -0.04 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.70 |
| AVGO | 0.63 | -0.11 | -0.05 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| PLTR | 0.56 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.70 |
| AXON | 0.47 | -0.02 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| HOOD | 0.58 | -0.02 | 0.04 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.73 |
| Portfolio | 0.76 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 1.00 |