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golden butterfly
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in golden butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 9, 2026, the golden butterfly returned 5.29% Year-To-Date and 10.87% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.30%0.09%8.18%8.17%23.42%19.88%11.91%13.45%
Portfolio
golden butterfly
0.16%-1.73%5.29%5.91%21.35%17.53%9.22%10.87%
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
0.22%-8.40%0.32%3.15%30.41%29.97%17.81%12.74%
SPUU
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF
0.60%0.07%14.92%14.42%45.91%35.91%19.28%24.31%
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
-0.40%-1.25%-1.16%-1.18%4.15%-0.94%-5.66%-1.28%
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
0.00%-0.20%0.36%0.76%3.41%4.14%1.79%1.71%
VIOV
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
0.77%0.98%15.63%16.09%36.39%13.67%5.54%10.22%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
0.30%0.44%9.05%8.94%24.96%21.05%12.25%14.84%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 9, 2014, golden butterfly's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.83%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.0 years.

Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +8.7%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, golden butterfly closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -5.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20263.28%2.30%-5.97%5.54%3.03%-2.54%5.29%
20252.97%0.66%-1.27%0.30%2.66%3.55%0.89%2.34%4.97%2.24%1.29%0.06%22.53%
20240.13%2.36%3.79%-2.95%3.51%2.20%2.71%2.11%2.67%-0.85%3.23%-2.95%16.81%
20236.30%-3.65%4.53%1.00%-0.73%3.14%1.92%-1.77%-5.15%-0.86%7.45%4.82%17.39%
2022-4.31%-0.64%0.83%-7.28%-1.08%-4.95%5.17%-3.97%-7.64%2.91%6.03%-3.33%-17.78%
2021-1.65%-0.76%1.14%4.03%1.87%0.59%2.39%1.59%-3.85%4.40%-0.27%2.61%12.43%

Benchmark Metrics

golden butterfly has an annualized alpha of 3.88%, beta of 0.49, and R2 of 0.73 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 09, 2014.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (62.76%) than losses (58.99%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.88% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.49 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
3.88%
Beta
0.49
0.73
Upside Capture
62.76%
Downside Capture
58.99%

Expense Ratio

golden butterfly has an expense ratio of 0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

golden butterfly ranks 42 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


golden butterfly Risk / Return Rank: 4242
Overall Rank
golden butterfly Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4444
Sharpe Ratio Rank
golden butterfly Sortino Ratio Rank: 4242
Sortino Ratio Rank
golden butterfly Omega Ratio Rank: 5252
Omega Ratio Rank
golden butterfly Calmar Ratio Rank: 3434
Calmar Ratio Rank
golden butterfly Martin Ratio Rank: 3939
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for golden butterfly and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

2.05

1.94

+0.11

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.73

2.63

+0.11

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.39

1.35

+0.04

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.48

2.59

-0.10

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

10.34

11.84

-1.50


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
341.151.541.231.533.82
SPUU
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF
601.892.431.322.5411.10
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
170.480.751.080.601.53
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
882.694.441.573.8815.29
VIOV
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
711.992.851.343.9212.76
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
682.022.731.362.8112.85

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

golden butterfly Sharpe ratios as of Jun 9, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.05
  • 5-Year: 0.82
  • 10-Year: 1.03
  • All Time: 0.99

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.61 to 2.48, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of golden butterfly compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

golden butterfly provided a 2.17% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.17%2.21%2.10%1.81%1.35%1.26%2.34%1.66%2.24%2.20%2.40%1.94%
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPUU
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF
1.40%1.63%0.55%0.83%0.88%3.04%8.03%1.80%5.50%6.96%8.08%4.42%
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
4.64%4.44%4.33%3.33%2.84%1.82%2.15%2.46%2.71%2.55%2.69%3.21%
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
3.88%4.00%4.18%3.31%1.15%0.66%1.74%2.28%1.79%1.10%0.84%0.69%
VIOV
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
1.59%1.69%1.78%2.18%1.81%1.59%1.42%1.60%1.76%1.43%1.17%1.32%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.03%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the golden butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the golden butterfly was 22.96%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 348 trading sessions.

The current golden butterfly drawdown is 2.60%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Bear market2022
-22.96%Oct 2022
9mo 20d1y 4mo
2y 2moDec 2021 - Mar 2024
COVID crash2020
-17.15%Mar 2020
26d2mo 15d
3mo 11dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020
2025 selloff2025
-9.83%Apr 2025
1mo 17d1mo 8d
2mo 25dFeb 2025 - May 2025
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018
-9.30%Dec 2018
10mo 29d1mo 23d
1y 17dJan 2018 - Feb 2019
2026 pullback2026
-8.64%Mar 2026
1mo 27d1mo 10d
3mo 7dJan 2026 - May 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.88, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.38

1.43

1.43

1.49

1.52

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.52, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

golden butterfly correlation to the S&P 500 Index

golden butterfly has a 0.82 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.82

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.84

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.85

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.83

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 9, 2014

0.82


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while VGLT has the lowest at -0.15.

VGLT
-0.15
VGSH
-0.11
SGOL
0.01
VIOV
0.74
SPUU
0.97
VTI
0.99

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. golden butterfly. SPUU has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.82, while VGSH has the lowest at 0.20.

VGSH
0.20
VGLT
0.24
SGOL
0.43
VIOV
0.61
VTI
0.82
SPUU
0.82

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jun 9, 2014
Diversification Analysis

Find what golden butterfly is missing

See which holdings overlap, where golden butterfly is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification