Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in golden butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 6, 2014, corresponding to the inception date of SPUU
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the golden butterfly returned -0.12% Year-To-Date and 10.58% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio golden butterfly | -0.22% | -4.10% | -0.12% | 3.13% | 18.76% | 15.99% | 9.20% | 10.58% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
VIOV Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | 0.30% | -2.49% | 4.91% | 7.32% | 22.22% | 10.40% | 5.03% | 9.69% |
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF | 0.49% | -2.51% | 0.35% | -0.58% | 0.18% | -1.61% | -4.79% | -0.82% |
VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF | 0.09% | -0.23% | 0.34% | 1.33% | 3.82% | 3.98% | 1.80% | 1.74% |
SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | -1.96% | -8.34% | 8.35% | 21.12% | 49.31% | 32.79% | 21.78% | 14.16% |
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares | 0.17% | -7.10% | -8.57% | -6.21% | 26.73% | 29.20% | 16.24% | 21.88% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 9, 2014, golden butterfly's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.80%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.2 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +8.7%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, golden butterfly closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -5.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.28% | 2.30% | -5.97% | 0.53% | -0.12% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.97% | 0.66% | -1.27% | 0.30% | 2.66% | 3.55% | 0.89% | 2.34% | 4.97% | 2.24% | 1.29% | 0.06% | 22.53% |
| 2024 | 0.13% | 2.36% | 3.79% | -2.95% | 3.51% | 2.20% | 2.71% | 2.11% | 2.67% | -0.85% | 3.23% | -2.95% | 16.81% |
| 2023 | 6.30% | -3.65% | 4.53% | 1.00% | -0.73% | 3.14% | 1.92% | -1.77% | -5.15% | -0.86% | 7.45% | 4.82% | 17.39% |
| 2022 | -4.31% | -0.64% | 0.83% | -7.28% | -1.08% | -4.95% | 5.17% | -3.97% | -7.64% | 2.91% | 6.03% | -3.33% | -17.78% |
| 2021 | -1.65% | -0.76% | 1.14% | 4.03% | 1.87% | 0.59% | 2.39% | 1.59% | -3.85% | 4.40% | -0.27% | 2.61% | 12.43% |
Benchmark Metrics
golden butterfly has an annualized alpha of 4.02%, beta of 0.49, and R² of 0.73 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 09, 2014.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (63.49%) than losses (58.30%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.02% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.49 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 4.02%
- Beta
- 0.49
- R²
- 0.73
- Upside Capture
- 63.49%
- Downside Capture
- 58.30%
Expense Ratio
golden butterfly has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
golden butterfly ranks 68 for risk / return — better than 68% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.53 | 0.88 | +0.65 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.19 | 1.37 | +0.82 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.32 | 1.21 | +0.11 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.23 | 1.39 | +0.84 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.88 | 6.43 | +2.45 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
VIOV Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | 50 | 0.95 | 1.46 | 1.19 | 1.55 | 5.76 |
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF | 11 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF | 96 | 2.67 | 4.30 | 1.58 | 4.26 | 16.01 |
SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | 81 | 1.80 | 2.23 | 1.33 | 2.59 | 9.38 |
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares | 41 | 0.74 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 1.23 | 5.19 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
golden butterfly provided a 2.24% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.24% | 2.21% | 2.10% | 1.81% | 1.35% | 1.26% | 2.34% | 1.66% | 2.24% | 2.20% | 2.40% | 1.94% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
VIOV Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | 1.75% | 1.69% | 1.78% | 2.18% | 1.81% | 1.59% | 1.42% | 1.60% | 1.76% | 1.43% | 1.17% | 1.32% |
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF | 4.52% | 4.44% | 4.33% | 3.33% | 2.84% | 1.82% | 2.15% | 2.46% | 2.71% | 2.55% | 2.69% | 3.21% |
VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF | 3.92% | 4.00% | 4.18% | 3.31% | 1.15% | 0.66% | 1.74% | 2.28% | 1.79% | 1.10% | 0.84% | 0.69% |
SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares | 1.75% | 1.63% | 0.55% | 0.83% | 0.88% | 3.04% | 8.03% | 1.80% | 5.50% | 6.96% | 8.08% | 4.42% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the golden butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the golden butterfly was 22.96%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 348 trading sessions.
The current golden butterfly drawdown is 5.90%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -22.96% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 348 | Mar 6, 2024 | 550 |
| -17.15% | Feb 21, 2020 | 19 | Mar 18, 2020 | 51 | Jun 1, 2020 | 70 |
| -9.83% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 27 | May 16, 2025 | 61 |
| -9.3% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 36 | Feb 15, 2019 | 265 |
| -8.64% | Jan 29, 2026 | 41 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.88, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SGOL | VGSH | VGLT | VIOV | SPUU | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | -0.16 | 0.74 | 0.97 | 0.99 | 0.81 |
| SGOL | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| VGSH | -0.13 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.60 | -0.12 | -0.12 | -0.12 | 0.19 |
| VGLT | -0.16 | 0.29 | 0.60 | 1.00 | -0.18 | -0.15 | -0.16 | 0.23 |
| VIOV | 0.74 | 0.00 | -0.12 | -0.18 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| SPUU | 0.97 | 0.01 | -0.12 | -0.15 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.82 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.01 | -0.12 | -0.16 | 0.78 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Portfolio | 0.81 | 0.42 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.61 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 1.00 |