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Long Term
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


1 position 4.13%GLD 10.23%SOL-USD 10.23%BITB 10.23%NVDA 11.15%KWEB 10.23%GOOG 10.23%AMZN 7.39%TSLA 6.69%QQQM 6.16%MSFT 6.10%2 positions 7.22%BondBondCommodityCommodityCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Long Term, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of BITB

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-0.11%0.61%-0.42%4.03%29.40%18.38%10.55%12.70%
Portfolio
Long Term
0.76%-1.55%-7.08%-7.28%32.40%
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
0.96%-14.44%-22.41%-15.61%38.25%23.16%9.11%35.67%
QQQM
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
0.15%0.69%-0.39%3.95%37.66%25.44%13.40%
FHLC
Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF
-1.39%-2.85%-4.51%4.36%13.91%5.19%4.99%9.54%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
-0.59%-8.40%-23.14%-27.12%-2.00%10.31%8.60%22.66%
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
2.05%6.61%38.36%58.40%130.14%32.21%19.66%32.16%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
2.57%1.40%1.15%3.00%75.40%90.83%67.37%71.10%
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
0.04%0.31%0.99%1.86%4.09%4.80%3.43%
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
2.02%12.10%3.28%10.17%31.54%33.62%7.17%22.97%
KWEB
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
-0.31%-5.87%-15.71%-20.75%2.80%2.25%-14.65%-0.17%
GOOG
Alphabet Inc
-0.21%2.37%0.68%33.12%103.91%44.22%22.73%23.96%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, Long Term's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +2.38%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.5 years.

Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +14.2%, while the worst month was Feb 2025 at -9.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, Long Term closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +10.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 10, 2025 at -4.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20261.20%-7.53%-5.17%4.70%-7.08%
20255.46%-9.33%-4.92%4.12%9.52%4.09%4.94%3.68%8.90%2.77%-4.87%-0.47%24.42%
2024-1.07%14.22%12.16%-5.58%8.95%2.07%2.22%-4.72%8.30%1.84%12.17%-1.12%58.54%

Benchmark Metrics

Long Term has an annualized alpha of 8.10%, beta of 1.22, and R² of 0.67 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.

  • This portfolio captured 164.18% of S&P 500 Index gains and 121.92% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 8.10% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
8.10%
Beta
1.22
0.67
Upside Capture
164.18%
Downside Capture
121.92%

Expense Ratio

Long Term has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Long Term ranks 10 for risk / return — in the bottom 10% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Long Term Risk / Return Rank: 1010
Overall Rank
Long Term Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Long Term Sortino Ratio Rank: 1414
Sortino Ratio Rank
Long Term Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
Long Term Calmar Ratio Rank: 55
Calmar Ratio Rank
Long Term Martin Ratio Rank: 55
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.56

2.23

-0.68

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.14

3.12

-0.97

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.24

1.42

-0.18

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.35

4.05

-3.70

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.87

17.91

-17.04


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
580.801.341.161.914.84
QQQM
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
612.243.001.403.9814.89
FHLC
Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF
200.891.341.161.534.53
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
30-0.080.051.010.160.40
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
933.393.761.488.4623.19
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
832.192.751.344.7511.78
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
10020.58285.86202.33412.764,634.34
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
611.011.591.201.834.36
KWEB
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
90.110.351.040.240.61
GOOG
Alphabet Inc
943.754.651.595.6020.65

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Long Term Sharpe ratios as of Apr 11, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.56
  • All Time: 1.28

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 2.14 to 3.05, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Long Term compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Long Term provided a 1.11% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.11%0.99%0.78%0.55%0.28%0.86%0.19%0.20%0.59%0.28%0.40%0.43%
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
QQQM
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF
0.50%0.50%0.61%0.65%0.83%0.40%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FHLC
Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF
1.43%1.40%1.51%1.40%1.30%1.16%1.45%1.18%1.38%1.38%1.40%2.07%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
0.94%0.70%0.73%0.74%1.06%0.68%0.94%1.20%1.69%1.86%2.37%2.33%
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
0.63%0.97%0.97%0.86%1.27%0.50%0.50%1.40%0.94%0.64%0.92%0.73%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
0.02%0.02%0.03%0.03%0.11%0.05%0.12%0.27%0.46%0.29%0.45%1.20%
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
3.95%4.10%5.10%4.87%1.45%0.03%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
KWEB
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
7.30%6.16%3.51%1.71%0.00%7.07%0.29%0.08%3.40%0.58%1.19%0.46%
GOOG
Alphabet Inc
0.27%0.26%0.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Long Term. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Long Term was 24.84%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 93 trading sessions.

The current Long Term drawdown is 12.75%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-24.84%Jan 23, 202576Apr 8, 202593Jul 10, 2025169
-19.32%Oct 7, 2025175Mar 30, 2026
-13.72%Jul 17, 202420Aug 5, 202453Sep 27, 202473
-8.11%Apr 12, 20248Apr 19, 202426May 15, 202434
-7.3%Dec 18, 202427Jan 13, 20255Jan 18, 202532

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 13 assets, with an effective number of assets of 11.55, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkSGOVGLDFHLCKWEBSOL-USDBITBTSLAMSFTGOOGNVDAASMLAMZNQQQMPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.000.120.510.390.350.400.550.660.580.640.630.660.940.75
SGOV0.001.000.100.010.000.000.010.030.030.050.04-0.010.020.090.04
GLD0.120.101.000.130.170.060.140.040.030.120.040.130.060.110.20
FHLC0.510.010.131.000.210.140.160.150.170.190.100.230.170.300.22
KWEB0.390.000.170.211.000.180.250.250.160.280.220.280.260.320.45
SOL-USD0.350.000.060.140.181.000.560.250.160.220.190.220.220.270.72
BITB0.400.010.140.160.250.561.000.360.190.240.260.280.250.340.66
TSLA0.550.030.040.150.250.250.361.000.320.350.310.340.340.530.55
MSFT0.660.030.030.170.160.160.190.321.000.420.460.390.530.650.45
GOOG0.580.050.120.190.280.220.240.350.421.000.320.360.530.570.53
NVDA0.640.040.040.100.220.190.260.310.460.321.000.530.430.680.56
ASML0.63-0.010.130.230.280.220.280.340.390.360.531.000.400.650.53
AMZN0.660.020.060.170.260.220.250.340.530.530.430.401.000.630.52
QQQM0.940.090.110.300.320.270.340.530.650.570.680.650.631.000.70
Portfolio0.750.040.200.220.450.720.660.550.450.530.560.530.520.701.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 12, 2024