Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | Systematic Trend | 40% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | Long-Short | 30% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 20% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 10% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bear Defense GP 13.7, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio Bear Defense GP 13.7 | 0.46% | -0.98% | 10.03% | 11.74% | 20.18% | 5.87% | 5.80% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 0.82% | -2.74% | 31.80% | 32.21% | 40.70% | 14.11% | 12.01% | 8.54% |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.68% | 0.59% | 10.45% | 12.63% | 29.05% | 10.02% | 7.92% | — |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.11% | -1.19% | -1.16% | -0.96% | 3.91% | 2.43% | -1.34% | 0.53% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 0.42% | -2.33% | 9.83% | 12.35% | 12.99% | -0.87% | 4.40% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 3, 2020, Bear Defense GP 13.7's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.65%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.9 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Apr 2022 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst month was Nov 2022 at -5.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Bear Defense GP 13.7 closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 21, 2022 with a return of +2.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 9, 2022 at -3.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.49% | 5.19% | 0.80% | 2.78% | -1.39% | -0.10% | 10.03% | ||||||
| 2025 | 0.22% | -0.74% | -0.20% | -1.71% | -0.02% | 1.76% | -0.27% | 1.41% | 2.80% | 1.61% | 1.05% | 0.92% | 6.97% |
| 2024 | 0.82% | 1.62% | 3.50% | 2.54% | -1.58% | 0.73% | -0.62% | -1.74% | 0.93% | -3.33% | -0.29% | 0.28% | 2.69% |
| 2023 | -1.35% | -0.33% | -2.89% | 1.84% | -0.26% | 0.62% | 0.81% | 0.38% | 2.79% | -0.92% | -3.21% | -2.19% | -4.80% |
| 2022 | 2.03% | 3.07% | 5.92% | 6.85% | 0.75% | 0.12% | -1.77% | 2.63% | 1.88% | 0.18% | -5.68% | 0.03% | 16.54% |
| 2021 | 0.24% | 4.10% | 0.04% | 3.71% | 1.63% | -0.03% | -0.03% | -1.41% | 0.89% | 3.30% | -3.26% | 0.53% | 9.86% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bear Defense GP 13.7 has an annualized alpha of 7.99%, beta of 0.03, and R2 of 0.00 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 03, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 11.67% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -28.12%) - a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
- Beta of 0.03 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.00 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.00 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 7.99%
- Beta
- 0.03
- R²
- 0.00
- Upside Capture
- 11.67%
- Downside Capture
- -28.12%
Expense Ratio
Bear Defense GP 13.7 has an expense ratio of 0.73%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bear Defense GP 13.7 ranks 68 for risk / return — better than 68% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Bear Defense GP 13.7 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.42 | 1.94 | +0.48 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.23 | 2.63 | +0.61 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.48 | 1.35 | +0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.79 | 2.59 | +3.20 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 21.53 | 11.84 | +9.68 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 75 | 2.17 | 2.81 | 1.38 | 5.27 | 12.03 |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 84 | 2.36 | 3.08 | 1.50 | 4.78 | 17.53 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 24 | 0.84 | 1.26 | 1.14 | 0.96 | 2.79 |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 38 | 1.14 | 1.60 | 1.21 | 2.07 | 6.61 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bear Defense GP 13.7 provided a 4.48% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.48% | 4.96% | 3.79% | 2.24% | 7.50% | 6.40% | 0.56% | 4.31% | 0.58% | 0.36% | 0.36% | 0.38% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.53% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.18% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.92% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 4.57% | 5.02% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 13.22% | 6.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bear Defense GP 13.7. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bear Defense GP 13.7 was 13.10%, occurring on Mar 24, 2023. Recovery took 712 trading sessions.
The current Bear Defense GP 13.7 drawdown is 3.18%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 correction2023 | -13.10%Mar 2023 | 9mo 13d | 2y 10mo | 3y 7moJun 2022 - Jan 2026 |
Bear market2022 | -5.36%Mar 2022 | 7d | 7d | 14dMar 2022 - Mar 2022 |
2021 pullback2021 | -5.15%Dec 2021 | 14d | 2mo 5d | 2mo 19dNov 2021 - Feb 2022 |
2021 pullback2021 | -3.87%Jul 2021 | 1mo 8d | 2mo 24d | 4mo 2dJun 2021 - Oct 2021 |
2021 pullback2021 | -3.60%Mar 2021 | 28d | 25d | 1mo 23dFeb 2021 - Apr 2021 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.35 | 1.53 | 1.51 | 1.49 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.49, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Bear Defense GP 13.7 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.19 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.21 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.06 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2020 | 0.09 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. DBC has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.17, while KMLM has the lowest at -0.10.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Bear Defense GP 13.7 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Bear Defense GP 13.7 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification