Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Main, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 5, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of URA
Returns By Period
As of Apr 11, 2026, the Main returned 3.98% Year-To-Date and 5.72% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.16% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio Main | -0.20% | 4.08% | 3.98% | 6.54% | 28.17% | 10.30% | 1.95% | 5.72% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | -0.25% | 5.80% | 6.34% | 10.45% | 43.26% | 15.20% | 4.53% | 10.45% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 0.46% | 6.34% | 10.69% | 18.27% | 48.55% | 18.02% | 4.91% | 8.21% |
URA Global X Uranium ETF | 0.06% | 0.37% | 19.26% | 2.94% | 135.73% | 44.06% | 25.27% | 16.30% |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | -1.09% | 4.51% | -6.83% | -1.82% | 10.47% | 18.11% | 9.52% | 12.89% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | -0.15% | 0.34% | -2.42% | 4.06% | -3.00% | -5.82% | -1.38% |
VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN | 1.25% | -10.68% | 16.24% | -17.88% | -60.10% | -43.50% | -45.83% | -47.28% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 8, 2010, Main's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.46%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 12.6 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +9.4%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -9.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, Main closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -6.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.79% | 2.10% | -5.58% | 3.93% | 3.98% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.45% | -0.24% | -3.48% | -1.47% | 2.56% | 4.80% | 0.45% | 3.73% | 3.76% | 1.60% | 0.04% | -0.21% | 14.57% |
| 2024 | -2.52% | 2.39% | 2.68% | -5.26% | 3.70% | 0.31% | 6.01% | 0.59% | 1.86% | -2.36% | 5.90% | -6.45% | 6.13% |
| 2023 | 8.65% | -3.92% | -0.70% | -0.34% | -2.25% | 4.43% | 2.88% | -4.34% | -5.64% | -5.26% | 9.38% | 8.61% | 10.25% |
| 2022 | -4.92% | -1.04% | -2.26% | -9.14% | -0.47% | -5.48% | 5.28% | -2.78% | -9.27% | 2.62% | 6.45% | -4.38% | -23.76% |
| 2021 | 0.34% | 0.72% | -1.19% | 2.36% | 0.87% | 2.18% | -1.06% | 1.36% | -2.86% | 3.37% | -1.69% | 0.47% | 4.80% |
Benchmark Metrics
Main has an annualized alpha of -0.01%, beta of 0.45, and R² of 0.48 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 08, 2010.
- This portfolio participated in 63.75% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 47.97% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.45 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.48 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.48 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- -0.01%
- Beta
- 0.45
- R²
- 0.48
- Upside Capture
- 47.97%
- Downside Capture
- 63.75%
Expense Ratio
Main has an expense ratio of 0.36%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Main ranks 42 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.35 | 2.23 | +0.12 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.30 | 3.12 | +0.19 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.42 | 1.42 | 0.00 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.83 | 4.05 | -0.22 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 14.64 | 17.91 | -3.27 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 62 | 2.34 | 3.21 | 1.38 | 4.63 | 16.35 |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 76 | 2.93 | 3.80 | 1.55 | 4.51 | 17.80 |
URA Global X Uranium ETF | 71 | 3.09 | 3.45 | 1.43 | 5.75 | 13.42 |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 17 | 0.81 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.18 | 3.61 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 11 | 0.45 | 0.71 | 1.08 | 0.36 | 0.78 |
VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN | 1 | -1.00 | -1.70 | 0.80 | -0.95 | -1.22 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Main provided a 2.79% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.79% | 2.84% | 2.77% | 2.67% | 2.13% | 1.66% | 1.36% | 2.03% | 2.02% | 1.87% | 3.21% | 2.17% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.97% | 1.04% | 1.15% | 1.35% | 1.48% | 0.94% | 1.04% | 1.26% | 1.40% | 1.26% | 1.38% | 1.54% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 2.01% | 2.22% | 2.43% | 2.63% | 2.50% | 1.99% | 1.45% | 2.76% | 2.24% | 1.89% | 1.89% | 2.49% |
URA Global X Uranium ETF | 4.09% | 4.88% | 2.86% | 6.07% | 0.76% | 5.84% | 1.69% | 1.66% | 0.44% | 2.03% | 7.28% | 1.96% |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 1.56% | 1.31% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 2.04% | 1.63% | 2.03% | 1.87% | 2.08% | 1.48% | 21.10% | 1.95% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.52% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Main. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Main was 32.66%, occurring on Oct 27, 2023. Recovery took 547 trading sessions.
The current Main drawdown is 2.70%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -32.66% | Nov 10, 2021 | 494 | Oct 27, 2023 | 547 | Jan 5, 2026 | 1041 |
| -20.98% | Feb 21, 2020 | 19 | Mar 18, 2020 | 82 | Jul 15, 2020 | 101 |
| -13.86% | Apr 16, 2015 | 194 | Jan 21, 2016 | 117 | Jul 8, 2016 | 311 |
| -13.2% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 121 | Jun 19, 2019 | 350 |
| -8.62% | Feb 27, 2026 | 22 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.70, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TLT | URA | EEM | VXX | XLF | IWM | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.23 | 0.54 | 0.71 | -0.78 | 0.79 | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| TLT | -0.23 | 1.00 | -0.18 | -0.18 | 0.22 | -0.32 | -0.21 | 0.33 |
| URA | 0.54 | -0.18 | 1.00 | 0.56 | -0.46 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| EEM | 0.71 | -0.18 | 0.56 | 1.00 | -0.61 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| VXX | -0.78 | 0.22 | -0.46 | -0.61 | 1.00 | -0.64 | -0.69 | -0.55 |
| XLF | 0.79 | -0.32 | 0.44 | 0.57 | -0.64 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.55 |
| IWM | 0.84 | -0.21 | 0.55 | 0.65 | -0.69 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Portfolio | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.48 | 0.65 | -0.55 | 0.55 | 0.76 | 1.00 |