bear market portfolio
Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in bear market portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced every 3 months.
The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 4, 2013, corresponding to the inception date of BNDX
Returns By Period
As of Apr 21, 2025, the bear market portfolio returned -1.22% Year-To-Date and 9.22% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| YTD | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 | -12.30% | -8.99% | -11.89% | 3.84% | 13.06% | 9.34% |
| bear market portfolio | -7.39% | -6.49% | -8.41% | 5.61% | 12.39% | 9.69% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | -12.03% | -8.89% | -11.37% | 5.19% | 14.80% | 11.29% |
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF | -9.93% | -9.01% | -10.43% | 2.11% | 12.30% | 10.05% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ | -15.15% | -9.79% | -12.31% | 5.09% | 16.27% | 15.58% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 3.99% | -3.72% | -1.42% | 9.00% | 10.30% | 4.44% |
MOAT VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF | -13.59% | -10.17% | -16.27% | -3.66% | 12.71% | 11.28% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 30.46% | 13.38% | 25.71% | 43.09% | 14.58% | 11.01% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 1.43% | -1.14% | 0.39% | 5.92% | -1.07% | 1.26% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 0.91% | 1.31% | 1.48% | 5.61% | 0.22% | 1.79% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 1.26% | 0.33% | 2.17% | 4.84% | 2.53% | 1.75% |
SIVR Aberdeen Standard Physical Silver Shares ETF | 13.17% | -0.86% | -3.47% | 13.70% | 16.47% | 7.30% |
Monthly Returns
The table below presents the monthly returns of bear market portfolio, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.33% | -1.59% | -3.15% | -5.97% | -7.39% | ||||||||
| 2024 | 0.14% | 3.43% | 3.10% | -3.34% | 3.85% | 1.91% | 2.31% | 2.26% | 2.43% | -0.95% | 4.05% | -2.77% | 17.30% |
| 2023 | 6.70% | -3.08% | 4.96% | 1.44% | 0.29% | 4.53% | 3.55% | -2.08% | -4.51% | -1.70% | 8.54% | 4.67% | 24.82% |
| 2022 | -4.13% | -1.70% | 2.28% | -7.50% | -0.49% | -6.69% | 7.25% | -4.39% | -7.84% | 6.21% | 6.80% | -4.13% | -14.94% |
| 2021 | -0.76% | 1.83% | 3.14% | 3.96% | 1.61% | 0.91% | 1.64% | 1.60% | -4.27% | 5.09% | -1.53% | 3.47% | 17.59% |
| 2020 | 0.20% | -6.22% | -9.97% | 10.34% | 4.73% | 2.17% | 5.71% | 6.40% | -4.10% | -2.29% | 8.73% | 4.22% | 19.30% |
| 2019 | 6.55% | 2.37% | 0.82% | 2.94% | -5.26% | 6.14% | 1.58% | -0.19% | 1.18% | 2.52% | 2.35% | 2.47% | 25.55% |
| 2018 | 5.27% | -3.61% | -2.13% | 0.33% | 1.46% | 0.21% | 2.54% | 1.62% | 0.66% | -5.03% | 1.75% | -5.65% | -3.11% |
| 2017 | 2.63% | 3.61% | 0.20% | 1.08% | 1.16% | 0.33% | 1.93% | 0.90% | 0.63% | 1.93% | 2.31% | 1.47% | 19.71% |
| 2016 | -3.07% | 1.83% | 4.85% | 2.19% | 0.05% | 1.44% | 3.90% | -0.54% | 0.22% | -1.92% | 1.14% | 1.00% | 11.37% |
| 2015 | -0.94% | 3.25% | -1.33% | 1.14% | 0.64% | -2.01% | 0.46% | -4.38% | -1.95% | 6.33% | -0.58% | -1.69% | -1.45% |
| 2014 | -2.09% | 4.17% | -0.54% | 0.36% | 1.01% | 2.67% | -1.27% | 2.32% | -2.43% | 0.56% | 1.45% | -0.67% | 5.45% |
Expense Ratio
bear market portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank
The current rank of bear market portfolio is 73, indicating average performance compared to other portfolios on our website. Here’s a breakdown of how it compares using common performance measures.
Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.22 | 0.43 | 1.06 | 0.22 | 0.94 |
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF | 0.17 | 0.36 | 1.05 | 0.18 | 0.71 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ | 0.09 | 0.31 | 1.04 | 0.10 | 0.37 |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 0.53 | 0.86 | 1.12 | 0.66 | 2.10 |
MOAT VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF | -0.19 | -0.15 | 0.98 | -0.16 | -0.67 |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 2.66 | 3.50 | 1.46 | 5.41 | 14.57 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 1.09 | 1.59 | 1.19 | 0.43 | 2.82 |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 1.50 | 2.17 | 1.26 | 0.63 | 6.72 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 20.63 | 253.38 | 147.29 | 448.78 | 4,119.54 |
SIVR Aberdeen Standard Physical Silver Shares ETF | 0.49 | 0.87 | 1.11 | 0.90 | 1.73 |
Dividends
Dividend yield
bear market portfolio provided a 1.89% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.89% | 1.82% | 1.78% | 1.36% | 1.14% | 1.13% | 1.59% | 1.68% | 1.30% | 1.34% | 1.48% | 1.36% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.48% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% | 1.85% |
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF | 1.75% | 1.61% | 1.81% | 1.91% | 1.58% | 1.87% | 2.09% | 2.24% | 1.97% | 2.26% | 2.33% | 2.02% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ | 0.69% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% | 1.41% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 3.19% | 3.37% | 3.25% | 3.09% | 3.10% | 2.14% | 3.06% | 3.17% | 2.73% | 2.93% | 2.83% | 3.40% |
MOAT VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF | 1.58% | 1.37% | 0.86% | 1.25% | 1.08% | 1.45% | 1.31% | 1.79% | 1.07% | 1.17% | 2.13% | 1.34% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.74% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 1.97% | 2.22% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% | 2.79% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 4.25% | 4.18% | 4.42% | 1.52% | 3.74% | 1.11% | 3.40% | 3.01% | 2.23% | 1.89% | 1.63% | 1.54% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 4.77% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SIVR Aberdeen Standard Physical Silver Shares ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the bear market portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the bear market portfolio was 27.20%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 83 trading sessions.
The current bear market portfolio drawdown is 5.92%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.2% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 83 | Jul 21, 2020 | 106 |
| -22.51% | Jan 5, 2022 | 196 | Oct 14, 2022 | 188 | Jul 18, 2023 | 384 |
| -15.19% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | — | — | — |
| -13.46% | Sep 21, 2018 | 65 | Dec 24, 2018 | 56 | Mar 18, 2019 | 121 |
| -10.95% | May 19, 2015 | 170 | Jan 20, 2016 | 62 | Apr 19, 2016 | 232 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The current bear market portfolio volatility is 11.24%, representing the average percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Diversification
Asset Correlations Table
| BIL | BNDX | BND | IAU | SIVR | QQQ | MOAT | DIA | VXUS | VOO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIL | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| BNDX | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 0.01 | -0.00 |
| BND | 0.02 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.24 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.06 | 0.02 | -0.03 |
| IAU | 0.04 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.01 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| SIVR | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| QQQ | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.74 | 0.71 | 0.90 |
| MOAT | 0.01 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| DIA | 0.01 | -0.03 | -0.06 | -0.02 | 0.13 | 0.74 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.92 |
| VXUS | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| VOO | 0.01 | -0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.90 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.80 | 1.00 |