Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Risk Return 3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 13, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of SHLD
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Risk Return 3 | -0.27% | -2.87% | 8.03% | 11.42% | 48.56% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.09% | 0.32% | 8.94% | 16.35% | 83.82% | 44.85% | 26.17% | 31.69% |
IBB iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF | -0.41% | -0.32% | 0.46% | 13.45% | 33.95% | 9.60% | 2.53% | 6.78% |
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | -0.62% | -2.09% | 2.05% | 5.82% | 23.73% | 14.40% | 8.29% | 8.89% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
IGF iShares Global Infrastructure ETF | 0.68% | -0.13% | 10.30% | 12.31% | 26.26% | 16.04% | 11.60% | 8.98% |
MAGS Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | -0.70% | -4.93% | -11.66% | -9.02% | 25.32% | — | — | — |
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | -0.77% | -9.36% | 3.43% | 6.05% | 44.14% | 24.79% | 17.23% | 15.50% |
NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF | -0.51% | -6.96% | 7.62% | -3.45% | 83.53% | 37.36% | 23.42% | 13.89% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.65% | -3.69% | 14.15% | 4.83% | 57.51% | — | — | — |
NANR SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF | 0.29% | 1.09% | 24.03% | 31.91% | 53.08% | 17.35% | 19.25% | 14.41% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 14, 2023, Risk Return 3's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.45%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.4 years.
Historically, 75% of months were positive and 25% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +9.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -6.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Risk Return 3 closed higher 59% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.66% | 3.68% | -6.22% | 1.32% | 8.03% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.23% | -0.22% | 0.85% | 3.15% | 7.72% | 6.16% | 1.42% | 3.24% | 7.96% | 3.20% | -0.64% | 1.68% | 45.81% |
| 2024 | 0.11% | 5.57% | 5.79% | -1.15% | 6.10% | 0.24% | 2.57% | 1.83% | 2.57% | -0.45% | 2.48% | -3.23% | 24.31% |
| 2023 | -2.83% | -0.65% | 7.75% | 4.57% | 8.77% |
Benchmark Metrics
Risk Return 3 has an annualized alpha of 18.08%, beta of 0.88, and R² of 0.73 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 14, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 126.74% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 23.20% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 18.08% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.88 and R² of 0.73, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 18.08%
- Beta
- 0.88
- R²
- 0.73
- Upside Capture
- 126.74%
- Downside Capture
- 23.20%
Expense Ratio
Risk Return 3 has an expense ratio of 0.39%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Risk Return 3 ranks 96 for risk / return — in the top 96% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.60 | 0.88 | +1.72 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.42 | 1.37 | +2.05 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.53 | 1.21 | +0.33 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.67 | 1.39 | +3.28 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 19.86 | 6.43 | +13.42 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 94 | 2.28 | 2.89 | 1.41 | 5.34 | 18.94 |
IBB iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF | 78 | 1.43 | 2.01 | 1.26 | 3.13 | 11.12 |
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | 70 | 1.34 | 1.92 | 1.28 | 2.10 | 7.89 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
IGF iShares Global Infrastructure ETF | 91 | 2.07 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 3.13 | 15.60 |
MAGS Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 47 | 0.89 | 1.48 | 1.20 | 1.43 | 4.90 |
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | 85 | 1.90 | 2.53 | 1.35 | 2.82 | 10.63 |
NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF | 82 | 1.99 | 2.57 | 1.32 | 3.30 | 7.88 |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 90 | 2.26 | 2.92 | 1.39 | 3.83 | 11.11 |
NANR SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF | 92 | 2.32 | 2.84 | 1.43 | 3.33 | 15.61 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Risk Return 3 provided a 1.39% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.39% | 1.48% | 1.38% | 1.56% | 1.31% | 1.25% | 1.13% | 1.45% | 1.64% | 1.42% | 1.66% | 1.32% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
IBB iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF | 0.23% | 0.23% | 0.29% | 0.26% | 0.31% | 0.21% | 0.21% | 0.33% | 0.20% | 0.30% | 0.19% | 0.03% |
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | 3.31% | 3.38% | 3.24% | 2.98% | 2.69% | 3.33% | 2.13% | 3.10% | 3.39% | 2.57% | 3.07% | 2.76% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IGF iShares Global Infrastructure ETF | 2.92% | 3.23% | 3.21% | 3.36% | 2.67% | 2.42% | 2.33% | 3.27% | 3.52% | 2.95% | 2.98% | 3.25% |
MAGS Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 1.68% | 1.48% | 0.81% | 0.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | 0.48% | 0.55% | 0.85% | 0.93% | 0.95% | 0.82% | 1.07% | 1.54% | 1.13% | 0.91% | 1.07% | 1.04% |
NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF | 2.37% | 2.55% | 0.76% | 4.54% | 2.02% | 1.99% | 2.23% | 2.21% | 3.91% | 4.86% | 3.62% | 3.30% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.48% | 0.55% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NANR SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF | 1.43% | 1.77% | 2.20% | 2.78% | 2.70% | 2.61% | 2.73% | 2.02% | 1.95% | 1.83% | 5.01% | 0.01% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Risk Return 3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Risk Return 3 was 12.36%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 13 trading sessions.
The current Risk Return 3 drawdown is 5.37%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12.36% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 13 | Apr 28, 2025 | 48 |
| -10% | Mar 3, 2026 | 20 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.33% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 32 | Sep 19, 2024 | 46 |
| -6.12% | Jan 29, 2026 | 6 | Feb 5, 2026 | 12 | Feb 24, 2026 | 18 |
| -5.9% | Sep 15, 2023 | 13 | Oct 3, 2023 | 30 | Nov 14, 2023 | 43 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.18, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | IBB | MAGS | SHLD | NANR | ITA | IGF | NLR | SMH | EFA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.58 | 0.82 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| GLD | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.24 | 0.51 | 0.15 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.09 | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| IBB | 0.58 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 0.31 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| MAGS | 0.82 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| SHLD | 0.47 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.72 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.64 |
| NANR | 0.41 | 0.51 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.30 | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| ITA | 0.57 | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.72 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| IGF | 0.50 | 0.32 | 0.44 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 0.28 | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| NLR | 0.52 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.71 |
| SMH | 0.78 | 0.09 | 0.41 | 0.73 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.56 | 0.77 |
| EFA | 0.71 | 0.30 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Portfolio | 0.83 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 1.00 |