Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 47% |
IAK iShares U.S. Insurance ETF | Financials Equities | 21% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 16% |
VDC Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF | Consumer Staples Equities | 16% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 9, 2026, the All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 returned 9.45% Year-To-Date and 16.71% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 | 0.53% | -0.99% | 9.45% | 10.17% | 22.74% | 23.29% | 15.45% | 16.71% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.26% | -8.41% | 0.24% | 3.07% | 30.18% | 29.71% | 17.55% | 12.56% |
IAK iShares U.S. Insurance ETF | -1.50% | 1.08% | -1.85% | 2.23% | -0.74% | 17.31% | 12.61% | 12.15% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 1.56% | 0.68% | 16.71% | 15.00% | 35.78% | 27.15% | 16.98% | 21.59% |
VDC Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF | -0.25% | -2.19% | 7.19% | 7.44% | 4.07% | 8.08% | 6.63% | 7.63% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 5, 2006, All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.08%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 5.4 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +10.5%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -17.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +10.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -9.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.25% | 2.24% | -6.38% | 8.37% | 4.00% | -1.74% | 9.45% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.81% | 0.92% | -1.81% | 0.85% | 5.15% | 2.68% | -0.27% | 2.31% | 4.45% | 1.20% | 2.00% | 0.11% | 22.18% |
| 2024 | 2.21% | 3.92% | 3.69% | -2.86% | 4.49% | 2.24% | 1.84% | 3.09% | 2.36% | -0.66% | 4.81% | -2.48% | 24.72% |
| 2023 | 6.69% | -1.57% | 4.72% | 1.59% | 1.21% | 4.63% | 3.25% | -1.36% | -3.61% | 0.47% | 7.26% | 3.60% | 29.68% |
| 2022 | -4.27% | -0.96% | 3.95% | -7.68% | -1.26% | -5.98% | 5.81% | -2.98% | -7.80% | 6.25% | 5.68% | -4.79% | -14.53% |
| 2021 | -1.74% | 0.65% | 3.21% | 5.01% | 1.50% | 0.68% | 1.99% | 3.33% | -4.59% | 5.93% | -0.60% | 3.98% | 20.60% |
Benchmark Metrics
All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 has an annualized alpha of 5.05%, beta of 0.80, and R2 of 0.92 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 05, 2006.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (94.69%) than losses (77.32%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 5.05% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 5.05%
- Beta
- 0.80
- R²
- 0.92
- Upside Capture
- 94.69%
- Downside Capture
- 77.32%
Expense Ratio
All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 has an expense ratio of 0.25%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 ranks 50 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.15 | 1.94 | +0.22 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.96 | 2.63 | +0.34 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.35 | +0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.60 | 2.59 | +0.02 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.63 | 11.84 | -0.22 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 33 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 3.78 |
IAK iShares U.S. Insurance ETF | 8 | -0.05 | 0.04 | 1.00 | -0.10 | -0.22 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 69 | 2.15 | 2.77 | 1.38 | 3.00 | 11.43 |
VDC Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF | 14 | 0.33 | 0.56 | 1.06 | 0.44 | 0.90 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 provided a 1.09% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.09% | 0.93% | 0.95% | 1.02% | 1.11% | 1.02% | 1.09% | 1.13% | 1.36% | 1.13% | 1.23% | 1.21% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IAK iShares U.S. Insurance ETF | 2.68% | 1.69% | 1.49% | 1.44% | 1.69% | 2.26% | 2.07% | 1.84% | 2.33% | 1.62% | 1.68% | 1.62% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
VDC Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF | 2.14% | 2.26% | 2.33% | 2.65% | 2.37% | 2.14% | 2.50% | 2.44% | 2.78% | 2.52% | 2.39% | 2.55% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 was 47.69%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 406 trading sessions.
The current All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 drawdown is 2.05%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -47.69%Mar 2009 | 1y 4mo | 1y 7mo | 2y 11moNov 2007 - Oct 2010 |
COVID crash2020 | -27.01%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 3mo 19d | 4mo 21dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -20.34%Oct 2022 | 9mo 20d | 8mo 4d | 1y 5moDec 2021 - Jun 2023 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -15.21%Dec 2018 | 3mo 4d | 2mo 27d | 6mo 1dSep 2018 - Mar 2019 |
2025 selloff2025 | -12.76%Apr 2025 | 1mo 17d | 1mo 4d | 2mo 21dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.16, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.35 | 1.29 | 1.27 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.27, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.91 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 5, 2006 | 0.94 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while GLD has the lowest at 0.07.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where All-Weather 4 ETF V2.0 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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