Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 33.33% | |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | Europe Equities | 33.33% |
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | 33.33% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in FWDS, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Oct 23, 2014, corresponding to the inception date of DAX
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the FWDS returned -0.78% Year-To-Date and 14.60% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio FWDS | -0.81% | -4.92% | -0.78% | 4.01% | 28.06% | 24.57% | 15.04% | 14.60% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | -1.71% | -8.10% | 8.19% | 21.27% | 49.22% | 33.08% | 21.93% | 14.43% |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 0.11% | -2.73% | -4.77% | -3.40% | 22.80% | 22.29% | 12.52% | 18.21% |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | -0.82% | -4.14% | -7.02% | -6.90% | 9.35% | 15.34% | 7.73% | 8.39% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 24, 2014, FWDS's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.08%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.4 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +10.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -9.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, FWDS closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -8.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.32% | 2.85% | -9.04% | 0.70% | -0.78% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.96% | 1.35% | 1.54% | 4.52% | 5.12% | 3.36% | -0.28% | 2.84% | 5.64% | 2.52% | 1.37% | 1.82% | 41.97% |
| 2024 | -0.35% | 3.81% | 4.75% | -2.21% | 4.47% | 0.97% | 2.06% | 2.65% | 3.72% | -0.21% | 0.73% | -0.64% | 21.31% |
| 2023 | 9.29% | -2.39% | 7.41% | 1.57% | 0.43% | 3.08% | 2.98% | -2.54% | -5.33% | 0.72% | 8.76% | 3.69% | 30.04% |
| 2022 | -4.38% | -2.33% | 1.69% | -7.38% | -0.02% | -8.09% | 4.51% | -4.95% | -7.49% | 4.53% | 9.71% | -2.65% | -17.07% |
| 2021 | -1.49% | -1.24% | 1.91% | 4.20% | 3.42% | -1.14% | 1.63% | 1.79% | -4.82% | 4.08% | -1.49% | 3.23% | 10.08% |
Benchmark Metrics
FWDS has an annualized alpha of 4.74%, beta of 0.69, and R² of 0.71 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 24, 2014.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (77.54%) than losses (63.94%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.74% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.69 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 4.74%
- Beta
- 0.69
- R²
- 0.71
- Upside Capture
- 77.54%
- Downside Capture
- 63.94%
Expense Ratio
FWDS has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
FWDS ranks 47 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.42 | 0.88 | +0.53 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.06 | 1.37 | +0.69 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.31 | 1.21 | +0.10 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.10 | 1.39 | -0.29 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.17 | 6.43 | -2.27 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | 89 | 1.61 | 2.08 | 1.31 | 1.93 | 6.72 |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 71 | 1.01 | 1.58 | 1.22 | 1.86 | 6.73 |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | 24 | 0.46 | 0.80 | 1.10 | 0.63 | 2.17 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
FWDS provided a 0.53% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.53% | 0.49% | 0.75% | 0.83% | 0.93% | 0.88% | 0.75% | 0.82% | 1.11% | 0.58% | 0.59% | 0.47% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | 1.58% | 1.47% | 2.24% | 2.48% | 2.80% | 2.65% | 2.25% | 2.47% | 3.33% | 1.73% | 1.78% | 1.41% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the FWDS. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the FWDS was 27.11%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 191 trading sessions.
The current FWDS drawdown is 10.13%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.11% | Nov 19, 2021 | 236 | Oct 14, 2022 | 191 | Jul 13, 2023 | 427 |
| -24.78% | Feb 20, 2020 | 22 | Mar 20, 2020 | 52 | Jun 3, 2020 | 74 |
| -16.94% | Jan 29, 2018 | 235 | Dec 24, 2018 | 133 | Jul 2, 2019 | 368 |
| -13.82% | Jan 29, 2026 | 50 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -13.14% | May 19, 2015 | 172 | Jan 15, 2016 | 138 | Jul 27, 2016 | 310 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | XAUUSD=X | DAX | ^NDX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.66 | 0.91 | 0.78 |
| XAUUSD=X | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| DAX | 0.66 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.82 |
| ^NDX | 0.91 | 0.01 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Portfolio | 0.78 | 0.42 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 1.00 |