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Rick's 4-3-2-1
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


IAU 20.00%UUP 40.00%VTI 30.00%QQQ 10.00%CommodityCommodityCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's 4-3-2-1, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 1, 2007, corresponding to the inception date of UUP

Returns By Period

As of Apr 3, 2026, the Rick's 4-3-2-1 returned 1.59% Year-To-Date and 10.76% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Rick's 4-3-2-1
-0.16%-2.42%1.59%5.34%17.65%16.48%11.59%10.76%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.11%-2.64%-4.65%-3.18%23.45%22.97%13.18%19.05%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
-1.94%-8.32%8.34%21.05%49.18%32.68%21.72%14.14%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
0.16%-3.26%-3.13%-1.24%17.86%18.10%10.66%13.75%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
0.47%1.46%3.07%4.62%1.27%4.90%5.26%3.13%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 2, 2007, Rick's 4-3-2-1's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.67%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 8.7 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +6.7%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -6.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, Rick's 4-3-2-1 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -5.7%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.79%1.83%-3.41%0.48%1.59%
20252.61%-0.60%-1.62%-0.56%2.86%1.53%2.33%1.02%4.16%2.88%1.00%0.04%16.63%
20241.34%2.57%3.19%-0.26%1.85%2.16%0.97%0.53%1.87%1.99%2.77%0.06%20.71%
20233.87%-0.62%2.62%0.37%1.88%1.93%1.72%-0.07%-1.77%0.88%3.32%1.88%17.08%
2022-2.65%0.12%2.28%-2.54%-1.43%-2.24%4.02%-1.15%-3.01%2.30%1.97%-2.96%-5.49%
2021-0.42%-0.13%2.13%1.99%1.01%0.81%1.21%1.46%-1.93%2.99%0.30%1.83%11.75%

Benchmark Metrics

Rick's 4-3-2-1 has an annualized alpha of 4.62%, beta of 0.36, and R² of 0.77 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 02, 2007.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (41.76%) than losses (27.31%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.62% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.36 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
4.62%
Beta
0.36
0.77
Upside Capture
41.76%
Downside Capture
27.31%

Expense Ratio

Rick's 4-3-2-1 has an expense ratio of 0.38%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Rick's 4-3-2-1 ranks 82 for risk / return — in the top 82% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


Rick's 4-3-2-1 Risk / Return Rank: 8282
Overall Rank
Rick's 4-3-2-1 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8181
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Rick's 4-3-2-1 Sortino Ratio Rank: 8282
Sortino Ratio Rank
Rick's 4-3-2-1 Omega Ratio Rank: 9090
Omega Ratio Rank
Rick's 4-3-2-1 Calmar Ratio Rank: 7979
Calmar Ratio Rank
Rick's 4-3-2-1 Martin Ratio Rank: 7777
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.75

0.88

+0.87

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.46

1.37

+1.09

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.41

1.21

+0.21

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.89

1.39

+1.50

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

11.40

6.43

+4.97


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
591.041.621.231.937.00
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
801.782.211.332.589.32
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
540.941.471.221.537.16
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
140.170.281.040.150.30

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Rick's 4-3-2-1 Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.75
  • 5-Year: 1.49
  • 10-Year: 1.35
  • All Time: 0.99

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.98 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Rick's 4-3-2-1 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Rick's 4-3-2-1 provided a 1.73% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.73%1.75%2.23%3.07%0.93%0.41%0.48%1.42%1.14%0.63%0.68%0.69%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.16%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.33%3.43%4.48%6.44%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's 4-3-2-1. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Rick's 4-3-2-1 was 18.67%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 280 trading sessions.

The current Rick's 4-3-2-1 drawdown is 3.63%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-18.67%Nov 1, 2007267Nov 20, 2008280Jan 4, 2010547
-13.89%Feb 21, 202017Mar 16, 202058Jun 8, 202075
-9.17%Feb 20, 202534Apr 8, 202554Jun 26, 202588
-7.82%Mar 30, 202255Jun 16, 2022206Apr 13, 2023261
-7.65%Apr 13, 201595Aug 25, 2015214Jun 30, 2016309

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkIAUUUPQQQVTIPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.06-0.200.900.990.85
IAU0.061.00-0.440.050.060.30
UUP-0.20-0.441.00-0.16-0.200.02
QQQ0.900.05-0.161.000.890.82
VTI0.990.06-0.200.891.000.85
Portfolio0.850.300.020.820.851.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Mar 2, 2007