Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 60% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 60/40 UST, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 26, 2002, corresponding to the inception date of TLT
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the 60/40 UST returned -1.54% Year-To-Date and 8.15% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 60/40 UST | 0.34% | -2.92% | -1.54% | -1.01% | 10.35% | 9.68% | 4.06% | 8.15% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 29, 2002, 60/40 UST's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.75%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.7 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +9.6%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -11.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 60/40 UST closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +6.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -5.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.93% | 1.52% | -4.64% | 0.76% | -1.54% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.02% | 1.10% | -3.95% | -0.99% | 2.47% | 4.23% | 0.91% | 1.43% | 3.48% | 1.88% | 0.27% | -1.07% | 12.14% |
| 2024 | -0.22% | 2.35% | 2.33% | -5.19% | 4.02% | 2.57% | 2.58% | 2.12% | 2.02% | -2.62% | 4.88% | -4.30% | 10.42% |
| 2023 | 7.21% | -3.38% | 3.55% | 0.78% | -0.94% | 4.19% | 1.18% | -2.40% | -6.00% | -3.77% | 9.62% | 6.63% | 16.49% |
| 2022 | -5.20% | -2.14% | -0.27% | -9.25% | -1.06% | -5.48% | 6.55% | -4.05% | -8.85% | 2.48% | 5.90% | -4.67% | -24.29% |
| 2021 | -1.65% | -0.33% | 0.30% | 4.03% | 0.28% | 3.24% | 2.53% | 1.56% | -3.84% | 4.99% | 0.20% | 1.46% | 13.16% |
Benchmark Metrics
60/40 UST has an annualized alpha of 4.26%, beta of 0.48, and R² of 0.71 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 29, 2002.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (62.80%) than losses (54.79%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.26% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.48 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 4.26%
- Beta
- 0.48
- R²
- 0.71
- Upside Capture
- 62.80%
- Downside Capture
- 54.79%
Expense Ratio
60/40 UST has an expense ratio of 0.08%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
60/40 UST ranks 19 for risk / return — in the bottom 19% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.81 | 0.88 | -0.07 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.24 | 1.37 | -0.13 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.21 | -0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.24 | 1.39 | -0.15 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.06 | 6.43 | -1.37 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
60/40 UST provided a 2.50% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.50% | 2.44% | 2.48% | 2.22% | 2.07% | 1.33% | 1.45% | 1.97% | 2.28% | 2.00% | 2.19% | 2.23% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 60/40 UST. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 60/40 UST was 30.25%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 353 trading sessions.
The current 60/40 UST drawdown is 4.03%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -30.25% | Oct 30, 2007 | 341 | Mar 9, 2009 | 353 | Aug 2, 2010 | 694 |
| -28.39% | Nov 10, 2021 | 238 | Oct 20, 2022 | 527 | Nov 25, 2024 | 765 |
| -18.76% | Feb 21, 2020 | 19 | Mar 18, 2020 | 48 | May 27, 2020 | 67 |
| -13.34% | Dec 9, 2024 | 82 | Apr 8, 2025 | 72 | Jul 23, 2025 | 154 |
| -11.07% | Aug 30, 2018 | 80 | Dec 24, 2018 | 56 | Mar 18, 2019 | 136 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TLT | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.25 | 0.99 | 0.81 |
| TLT | -0.25 | 1.00 | -0.25 | 0.26 |
| VTI | 0.99 | -0.25 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Portfolio | 0.81 | 0.26 | 0.82 | 1.00 |