Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
GC=F Gold Futures | 12.50% | |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 12.50% | |
URTH iShares MSCI World ETF | Global Equities | 12.50% |
VEURX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund | Europe Equities | 12.50% |
EPP iShares MSCI Pacific ex Japan ETF | Asia Pacific Equities | 12.50% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 12.50% | |
DEM.L WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income UCITS ETF | Emerging Markets Equities | 12.50% |
^N225 Nikkei 225 | 12.50% |
Find the right asset allocation for 2026
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 2026 | 0.26% | -0.08% | 6.61% | 7.02% | 14.45% | 19.05% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
^N225 Nikkei 225 | 2.63% | 6.52% | 28.05% | 26.30% | 56.89% | 20.50% | 9.32% | 10.66% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2.42% | -17.06% | -25.06% | -25.64% | -37.83% | 36.87% | 10.30% | 55.97% |
DEM.L WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income UCITS ETF | 1.76% | 5.67% | 18.98% | 20.57% | 27.87% | 17.77% | 9.90% | 10.53% |
EPP iShares MSCI Pacific ex Japan ETF | 0.66% | -0.31% | 8.62% | 9.61% | 15.65% | 12.24% | 4.53% | 7.79% |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
URTH iShares MSCI World ETF | 0.39% | 1.20% | 8.91% | 9.60% | 24.56% | 19.60% | 11.45% | 13.38% |
VEURX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund | 2.88% | 3.81% | 7.18% | 9.34% | 19.02% | 16.61% | 8.26% | 9.81% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 31, 2022, 2026's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +1.10%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 5.3 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +10.5%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -10.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 2026 closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +4.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -4.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.06% | 1.42% | -5.95% | 8.36% | 2.99% | -1.87% | 6.61% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.27% | -2.44% | -1.81% | 3.50% | 5.48% | 3.72% | 0.69% | 1.80% | 2.53% | 1.46% | -2.56% | 0.65% | 17.15% |
| 2024 | -0.10% | 8.33% | 4.56% | -4.71% | 4.44% | -0.24% | 2.04% | 0.78% | 2.66% | -1.25% | 6.48% | -2.47% | 21.63% |
| 2023 | 10.52% | -2.74% | 5.77% | 1.47% | -1.90% | 5.08% | 2.16% | -4.27% | -2.44% | 1.20% | 7.57% | 6.11% | 31.09% |
| 2022 | 1.40% | 0.73% | 2.10% | -7.91% | -1.00% | -10.09% | 6.36% | -4.75% | -7.68% | 3.95% | 6.31% | -2.55% | -13.91% |
Benchmark Metrics
2026 has an annualized alpha of 3.39%, beta of 0.64, and R2 of 0.65 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 31, 2022.
- This portfolio participated in 76.56% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 76.30% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.39% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.64 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 3.39%
- Beta
- 0.64
- R²
- 0.65
- Upside Capture
- 76.30%
- Downside Capture
- 76.56%
Expense Ratio
2026 has an expense ratio of 0.18%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2026 ranks 16 for risk / return — in the bottom 16% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2026 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.24 | 1.86 | -0.62 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.77 | 2.53 | -0.76 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.20 | 1.34 | -0.14 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.69 | 2.53 | -0.85 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.32 | 11.37 | -6.05 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 71 | 1.86 | 2.53 | 1.34 | 2.53 | 11.37 |
^N225 Nikkei 225 | 86 | 2.22 | 3.13 | 1.37 | 3.90 | 12.47 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 36 | -0.88 | -1.20 | 0.88 | -0.74 | -1.28 |
DEM.L WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income UCITS ETF | 64 | 1.81 | 2.53 | 1.33 | 3.44 | 10.88 |
EPP iShares MSCI Pacific ex Japan ETF | 31 | 0.96 | 1.40 | 1.18 | 1.65 | 4.95 |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — |
URTH iShares MSCI World ETF | 62 | 1.85 | 2.55 | 1.33 | 2.56 | 11.37 |
VEURX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund | 23 | 1.16 | 1.71 | 1.21 | 1.53 | 5.58 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2026 provided a 1.40% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.40% | 1.55% | 2.05% | 1.98% | 2.02% | 1.64% | 1.32% | 1.69% | 1.91% | 1.47% | 1.37% | 1.86% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
^N225 Nikkei 225 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DEM.L WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income UCITS ETF | 3.72% | 4.47% | 7.67% | 7.00% | 7.05% | 4.14% | 4.77% | 4.33% | 4.19% | 3.15% | 1.49% | 4.55% |
EPP iShares MSCI Pacific ex Japan ETF | 3.47% | 3.77% | 3.81% | 4.10% | 4.37% | 4.58% | 2.28% | 3.89% | 5.00% | 4.15% | 3.96% | 4.90% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
URTH iShares MSCI World ETF | 1.36% | 1.48% | 1.47% | 1.70% | 1.68% | 1.50% | 1.52% | 2.16% | 2.30% | 1.88% | 2.15% | 2.35% |
VEURX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund | 2.62% | 2.70% | 3.44% | 3.00% | 3.07% | 2.90% | 1.97% | 3.14% | 3.77% | 2.55% | 3.35% | 3.09% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2026 was 24.79%, occurring on Oct 12, 2022. Recovery took 404 trading sessions.
The current 2026 drawdown is 2.29%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -24.79%Oct 2022 | 6mo 16d | 1y 1mo | 1y 7moMar 2022 - Nov 2023 |
2025 selloff2025 | -13.21%Apr 2025 | 1mo 16d | 1mo | 2mo 16dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2024 pullback2024 | -9.30%Aug 2024 | 19d | 18d | 1mo 7dJul 2024 - Aug 2024 |
2026 pullback2026 | -8.57%Mar 2026 | 2mo 1d | 17d | 2mo 18dJan 2026 - Apr 2026 |
Bear market2022 | -8.18%Mar 2022 | 26d | 21d | 1mo 17dFeb 2022 - Mar 2022 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.45 | 1.51 | 1.47 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.47, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
2026 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.81 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.73 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 31, 2022 | 0.76 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. ^GSPC has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GC=F has the lowest at -0.05.
Asset Correlations Table
| GC=F | ^N225 | BTC-USD | DEM.L | EPP | VEURX | ^GSPC | URTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC=F | 1.00 | 0.03 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.02 | -0.05 | -0.05 | -0.05 |
| ^N225 | 0.03 | 1.00 | -0.01 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| BTC-USD | -0.02 | -0.01 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| DEM.L | -0.03 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| EPP | -0.02 | 0.21 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| VEURX | -0.05 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.58 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| ^GSPC | -0.05 | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| URTH | -0.05 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.50 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.95 | 1.00 |
Find what 2026 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2026 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification