Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | 25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 20% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | Currency | 25% |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | Utilities Equities | 20% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Modified 5 etf, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 30, 2007, corresponding to the inception date of BIL
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the Modified 5 etf returned 2.75% Year-To-Date and 8.96% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Modified 5 etf | 0.06% | -1.10% | 2.75% | 4.43% | 14.69% | 13.45% | 9.68% | 8.96% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.47% | 1.46% | 3.07% | 4.62% | 1.27% | 4.90% | 5.26% | 3.13% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.64% | -4.65% | -3.18% | 23.45% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | 0.59% | -0.87% | 8.87% | 6.36% | 19.64% | 14.48% | 10.71% | 9.79% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.02% | 0.31% | 0.90% | 1.85% | 4.01% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 31, 2007, Modified 5 etf's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.58%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 10.0 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +4.3%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -4.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Modified 5 etf closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 17, 2020 with a return of +4.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -5.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.69% | 2.67% | -2.11% | 0.54% | 2.75% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.84% | 0.04% | -1.05% | -0.05% | 2.68% | 1.07% | 2.45% | 0.01% | 3.38% | 2.42% | 0.65% | -1.07% | 12.95% |
| 2024 | 0.35% | 1.74% | 2.80% | 0.40% | 2.94% | 0.62% | 1.36% | 1.07% | 2.43% | 1.02% | 2.21% | -0.78% | 17.30% |
| 2023 | 2.20% | -0.85% | 3.27% | 0.46% | 1.18% | 1.30% | 1.45% | -1.02% | -1.77% | 0.84% | 2.89% | 1.53% | 11.97% |
| 2022 | -2.35% | -0.58% | 3.31% | -2.56% | -0.07% | -2.01% | 3.69% | -0.57% | -3.82% | 1.04% | 2.28% | -2.14% | -4.04% |
| 2021 | -0.30% | -1.64% | 2.87% | 1.78% | -0.29% | 0.73% | 1.54% | 1.72% | -2.36% | 2.67% | 0.45% | 2.38% | 9.81% |
Benchmark Metrics
Modified 5 etf has an annualized alpha of 4.13%, beta of 0.31, and R² of 0.75 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 31, 2007.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (35.13%) than losses (22.01%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.13% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.31 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 4.13%
- Beta
- 0.31
- R²
- 0.75
- Upside Capture
- 35.13%
- Downside Capture
- 22.01%
Expense Ratio
Modified 5 etf has an expense ratio of 0.32%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Modified 5 etf ranks 89 for risk / return — in the top 89% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.99 | 0.88 | +1.11 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.81 | 1.37 | +1.44 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.43 | 1.21 | +0.22 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.13 | 1.39 | +1.74 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 14.14 | 6.43 | +7.71 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 14 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 1.04 | 0.15 | 0.30 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | 62 | 1.27 | 1.73 | 1.23 | 2.25 | 5.36 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.57 | 254.91 | 180.89 | 367.86 | 4,130.10 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Modified 5 etf provided a 2.43% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.43% | 2.53% | 3.09% | 3.66% | 1.32% | 0.63% | 0.82% | 1.73% | 1.51% | 1.00% | 0.87% | 0.92% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.33% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | 2.54% | 2.73% | 3.02% | 3.49% | 2.98% | 2.70% | 3.17% | 2.83% | 3.23% | 3.18% | 3.19% | 3.63% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Modified 5 etf. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Modified 5 etf was 17.63%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 270 trading sessions.
The current Modified 5 etf drawdown is 1.89%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -17.63% | Nov 7, 2007 | 335 | Mar 9, 2009 | 270 | Apr 5, 2010 | 605 |
| -12.67% | Feb 20, 2020 | 18 | Mar 16, 2020 | 87 | Jul 20, 2020 | 105 |
| -7.79% | Aug 16, 2022 | 43 | Oct 14, 2022 | 154 | May 26, 2023 | 197 |
| -7.04% | Apr 5, 2022 | 51 | Jun 16, 2022 | 39 | Aug 12, 2022 | 90 |
| -6.83% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 27 | May 16, 2025 | 61 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.65, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | GLD | UUP | VPU | QQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.05 | -0.20 | 0.53 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| BIL | -0.02 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.00 |
| GLD | 0.05 | 0.01 | 1.00 | -0.44 | 0.12 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
| UUP | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 1.00 | -0.17 | -0.16 | -0.02 |
| VPU | 0.53 | -0.01 | 0.12 | -0.17 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.75 |
| QQQ | 0.90 | -0.02 | 0.04 | -0.16 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Portfolio | 0.80 | -0.00 | 0.21 | -0.02 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 1.00 |