Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 16.67% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 16.67% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 16.67% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 16.67% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 16.67% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 16.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in +4.56% -1.30% (US), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 6, 2006, corresponding to the inception date of DBC
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the +4.56% -1.30% (US) returned 5.68% Year-To-Date and 9.36% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio +4.56% -1.30% (US) | 0.21% | -0.72% | 5.68% | 8.89% | 20.26% | 13.62% | 9.14% | 9.36% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.23% | -1.48% | 0.01% | 0.50% | 3.83% | 2.14% | -0.73% | 0.79% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.27% | 13.20% | 31.17% | 35.71% | 33.85% | 11.56% | 14.82% | 10.42% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 7, 2006, +4.56% -1.30% (US)'s average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.65%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 8.9 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +5.6%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -12.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, +4.56% -1.30% (US) closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.05% | 2.96% | -1.92% | 0.59% | 5.68% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.74% | 1.20% | 0.02% | -0.85% | 1.57% | 3.23% | 0.86% | 1.66% | 4.10% | 1.97% | 1.33% | -0.13% | 19.06% |
| 2024 | 0.07% | 0.88% | 3.54% | -2.21% | 2.59% | 1.52% | 2.03% | 1.35% | 2.27% | -0.79% | 1.72% | -2.29% | 11.03% |
| 2023 | 5.17% | -3.81% | 3.83% | 0.66% | -1.87% | 2.19% | 2.46% | -1.49% | -3.86% | -1.12% | 5.45% | 3.48% | 11.01% |
| 2022 | -1.86% | 1.02% | 1.60% | -4.68% | 0.02% | -4.59% | 3.24% | -3.48% | -6.96% | 2.00% | 5.19% | -2.66% | -11.28% |
| 2021 | -0.99% | 0.42% | -0.10% | 4.21% | 2.21% | 0.99% | 2.29% | 0.56% | -1.98% | 3.82% | -1.36% | 2.61% | 13.17% |
Benchmark Metrics
+4.56% -1.30% (US) has an annualized alpha of 4.63%, beta of 0.33, and R² of 0.50 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 07, 2006.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (46.69%) than losses (37.16%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.33 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.50 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.50 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.63%
- Beta
- 0.33
- R²
- 0.50
- Upside Capture
- 46.69%
- Downside Capture
- 37.16%
Expense Ratio
+4.56% -1.30% (US) has an expense ratio of 0.28%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
+4.56% -1.30% (US) ranks 86 for risk / return — in the top 86% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.96 | 0.88 | +1.08 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.69 | 1.37 | +1.33 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.41 | 1.21 | +0.21 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.84 | 1.39 | +1.45 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.82 | 6.43 | +7.39 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 32 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 2.87 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 81 | 1.80 | 2.41 | 1.32 | 3.16 | 8.12 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
+4.56% -1.30% (US) provided a 2.20% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.20% | 2.29% | 2.60% | 2.35% | 1.42% | 0.79% | 0.92% | 1.58% | 1.71% | 1.29% | 1.39% | 1.43% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.84% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.54% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the +4.56% -1.30% (US). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the +4.56% -1.30% (US) was 24.63%, occurring on Mar 3, 2009. Recovery took 294 trading sessions.
The current +4.56% -1.30% (US) drawdown is 1.84%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.63% | May 22, 2008 | 196 | Mar 3, 2009 | 294 | May 3, 2010 | 490 |
| -17.31% | Mar 9, 2022 | 157 | Oct 20, 2022 | 355 | Mar 21, 2024 | 512 |
| -15.41% | Feb 24, 2020 | 18 | Mar 18, 2020 | 55 | Jun 5, 2020 | 73 |
| -11.99% | Sep 2, 2014 | 348 | Jan 19, 2016 | 98 | Jun 8, 2016 | 446 |
| -8.22% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 37 | Feb 19, 2019 | 266 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | TLT | DBC | IEF | SPY | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.06 | -0.26 | 0.32 | -0.27 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.64 |
| GLD | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.35 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.59 |
| TLT | -0.26 | 0.18 | 1.00 | -0.19 | 0.92 | -0.26 | -0.26 | 0.20 |
| DBC | 0.32 | 0.35 | -0.19 | 1.00 | -0.17 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.64 |
| IEF | -0.27 | 0.22 | 0.92 | -0.17 | 1.00 | -0.26 | -0.26 | 0.20 |
| SPY | 0.99 | 0.06 | -0.26 | 0.32 | -0.26 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.64 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.07 | -0.26 | 0.32 | -0.26 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Portfolio | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.20 | 0.64 | 0.20 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 1.00 |