Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 16.67% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 16.67% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 16.67% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 16.67% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 16.67% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 16.67% |
Find the right asset allocation for +4.56% -1.30% (US)
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in +4.56% -1.30% (US), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 9, 2026, the +4.56% -1.30% (US) returned 8.45% Year-To-Date and 9.07% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio +4.56% -1.30% (US) | 0.17% | -2.08% | 8.45% | 9.00% | 22.07% | 14.88% | 8.35% | 9.07% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 0.82% | -2.74% | 31.80% | 32.21% | 40.70% | 14.11% | 12.01% | 8.54% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.26% | -8.41% | 0.24% | 3.07% | 30.18% | 29.71% | 17.55% | 12.56% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.11% | -1.19% | -1.16% | -0.96% | 3.91% | 2.43% | -1.34% | 0.53% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.23% | 0.22% | 8.70% | 8.75% | 24.79% | 21.35% | 13.42% | 15.27% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.52% | -1.31% | -1.08% | -1.51% | 3.67% | -2.05% | -6.70% | -1.85% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.30% | 0.44% | 9.05% | 8.94% | 24.96% | 21.05% | 12.25% | 14.84% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 7, 2006, +4.56% -1.30% (US)'s average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.65%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.9 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +5.6%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -12.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, +4.56% -1.30% (US) closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.05% | 2.96% | -1.92% | 4.32% | 0.83% | -1.87% | 8.45% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.74% | 1.20% | 0.02% | -0.85% | 1.57% | 3.23% | 0.86% | 1.66% | 4.10% | 1.97% | 1.33% | -0.13% | 19.06% |
| 2024 | 0.07% | 0.88% | 3.54% | -2.21% | 2.59% | 1.52% | 2.03% | 1.35% | 2.27% | -0.79% | 1.72% | -2.29% | 11.03% |
| 2023 | 5.17% | -3.81% | 3.83% | 0.66% | -1.87% | 2.19% | 2.46% | -1.49% | -3.86% | -1.12% | 5.45% | 3.48% | 11.01% |
| 2022 | -1.86% | 1.02% | 1.60% | -4.68% | 0.02% | -4.59% | 3.24% | -3.48% | -6.96% | 2.00% | 5.19% | -2.66% | -11.28% |
| 2021 | -0.99% | 0.42% | -0.10% | 4.21% | 2.21% | 0.99% | 2.29% | 0.56% | -1.98% | 3.82% | -1.36% | 2.61% | 13.17% |
Benchmark Metrics
+4.56% -1.30% (US) has an annualized alpha of 4.52%, beta of 0.33, and R2 of 0.50 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 07, 2006.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (46.05%) than losses (37.50%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.33 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.50 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.50 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.52%
- Beta
- 0.33
- R²
- 0.50
- Upside Capture
- 46.05%
- Downside Capture
- 37.50%
Expense Ratio
+4.56% -1.30% (US) has an expense ratio of 0.28%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
+4.56% -1.30% (US) ranks 83 for risk / return — in the top 83% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for +4.56% -1.30% (US) and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.62 | 1.94 | +0.68 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.38 | 2.63 | +0.76 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.52 | 1.35 | +0.17 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.90 | 2.59 | +2.32 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 18.95 | 11.84 | +7.11 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 75 | 2.17 | 2.81 | 1.38 | 5.27 | 12.03 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 33 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 3.78 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 24 | 0.84 | 1.26 | 1.14 | 0.96 | 2.79 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 69 | 2.06 | 2.78 | 1.38 | 2.80 | 12.93 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 15 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.49 | 1.19 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 68 | 2.02 | 2.73 | 1.36 | 2.81 | 12.85 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
+4.56% -1.30% (US) provided a 2.18% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.18% | 2.29% | 2.60% | 2.35% | 1.42% | 0.79% | 0.92% | 1.58% | 1.71% | 1.29% | 1.39% | 1.43% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.53% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.92% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.63% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.03% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the +4.56% -1.30% (US). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the +4.56% -1.30% (US) was 24.63%, occurring on Mar 3, 2009. Recovery took 294 trading sessions.
The current +4.56% -1.30% (US) drawdown is 2.49%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -24.63%Mar 2009 | 9mo 15d | 1y 2mo | 1y 11moMay 2008 - May 2010 |
Bear market2022 | -17.31%Oct 2022 | 7mo 15d | 1y 5mo | 2y 13dMar 2022 - Mar 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -15.41%Mar 2020 | 23d | 2mo 19d | 3mo 12dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
2016 correction2016 | -11.99%Jan 2016 | 1y 4mo | 4mo 21d | 1y 9moSep 2014 - Jun 2016 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -8.22%Dec 2018 | 10mo 29d | 1mo 27d | 1y 21dJan 2018 - Feb 2019 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.71 | 1.65 | 1.66 | 1.71 | 1.77 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.77, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
+4.56% -1.30% (US) correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.58 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.65 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.67 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.66 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 7, 2006 | 0.64 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while IEF has the lowest at -0.26.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what +4.56% -1.30% (US) is missing
See which holdings overlap, where +4.56% -1.30% (US) is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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