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Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25)
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 8, 2006, corresponding to the inception date of CROX

Returns By Period

As of Apr 16, 2026, the Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) returned 0.02% Year-To-Date and 19.90% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.80%4.83%2.59%5.27%30.14%19.29%10.91%12.94%
Portfolio
Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25)
0.19%3.87%0.02%4.40%7.00%10.17%17.83%19.90%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
1.32%4.02%1.62%8.82%5.42%13.42%20.66%15.74%
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
-3.01%-2.17%-17.26%-32.59%-27.99%-3.37%11.31%21.61%
CNC
Centene Corporation
0.91%8.17%-8.63%5.06%-39.63%-17.95%-10.36%2.53%
CROX
Crocs, Inc.
1.30%29.81%19.88%23.75%14.00%-8.61%5.34%26.64%
DDS
Dillard's, Inc.
0.40%3.68%0.08%5.39%100.51%33.35%51.18%27.54%
DHI
D.R. Horton, Inc.
-0.72%1.48%0.40%-6.56%21.78%14.77%9.49%17.78%
MATX
Matson, Inc.
-0.46%12.67%38.31%81.21%71.56%41.02%21.24%18.30%
MSB
Mesabi Trust
-3.28%-1.53%-17.40%-1.46%26.39%19.72%8.74%27.89%
NVR
NVR, Inc.
-1.12%3.07%-7.21%-11.48%-6.08%6.31%6.30%14.28%
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
0.16%2.83%-21.72%-17.42%-1.76%5.84%1.44%13.16%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 9, 2006, Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25)'s average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.39%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.2 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Apr 2009 with a return of +18.8%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -23.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +12.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -15.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.05%1.35%-6.45%3.37%0.02%
20252.47%-3.32%1.35%-3.70%0.50%0.29%-4.22%8.03%1.29%-3.93%5.14%-0.53%2.61%
20242.12%4.54%6.08%-4.12%8.40%-2.45%2.20%6.72%2.34%-7.08%4.83%-5.60%17.85%
20237.37%-1.07%-0.27%5.37%-5.80%6.94%3.22%-3.14%-0.24%-2.15%6.64%3.96%21.64%
20222.81%4.11%-2.14%-2.75%7.42%-10.58%10.73%-0.24%-5.90%14.83%3.52%1.80%23.07%
2021-0.01%6.79%2.99%7.82%1.55%3.37%1.95%1.33%-2.31%4.74%3.76%7.34%46.53%

Benchmark Metrics

Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) has an annualized alpha of 8.62%, beta of 0.89, and R² of 0.66 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 09, 2006.

  • This portfolio captured 109.76% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 76.10% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 8.62% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.89 and R² of 0.66, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
8.62%
Beta
0.89
0.66
Upside Capture
109.76%
Downside Capture
76.10%

Expense Ratio

Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


The portfolio doesn't include any funds that charge management fees.

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) ranks 5 for risk / return — in the bottom 5% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) Risk / Return Rank: 55
Overall Rank
Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) Omega Ratio Rank: 44
Omega Ratio Rank
Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) Calmar Ratio Rank: 66
Calmar Ratio Rank
Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) Martin Ratio Rank: 66
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.46

2.30

-1.84

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.74

3.18

-2.44

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.09

1.43

-0.34

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.73

3.40

-2.67

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

1.91

15.35

-13.44


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
380.260.491.060.481.02
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
12-0.59-0.710.93-0.63-1.33
CNC
Centene Corporation
12-0.64-0.530.91-0.69-1.06
CROX
Crocs, Inc.
390.260.741.110.280.42
DDS
Dillard's, Inc.
862.493.061.404.9113.35
DHI
D.R. Horton, Inc.
480.581.211.140.791.59
MATX
Matson, Inc.
751.672.401.332.717.66
MSB
Mesabi Trust
490.581.091.140.862.00
NVR
NVR, Inc.
23-0.23-0.160.98-0.24-0.54
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
28-0.050.151.02-0.07-0.16

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) Sharpe ratios as of Apr 16, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.46
  • 5-Year: 0.98
  • 10-Year: 0.95
  • All Time: 0.77

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 2.19 to 3.00, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) provided a 1.78% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.78%2.66%3.75%2.27%3.34%2.31%2.25%2.52%2.84%2.97%1.72%4.08%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
0.00%0.00%5.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CNC
Centene Corporation
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CROX
Crocs, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DDS
Dillard's, Inc.
5.14%5.13%6.02%5.18%4.89%6.41%0.95%0.68%0.66%0.57%0.45%0.40%
DHI
D.R. Horton, Inc.
1.18%1.15%0.93%0.69%1.04%0.76%1.05%1.18%1.51%0.83%1.24%0.84%
MATX
Matson, Inc.
0.83%1.13%0.98%1.15%1.95%1.18%1.58%2.11%2.56%2.61%2.09%1.64%
MSB
Mesabi Trust
4.05%18.09%4.80%1.71%20.14%10.83%5.95%14.27%11.78%5.92%5.14%15.04%
NVR
NVR, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
2.68%2.06%2.18%2.18%2.67%1.47%1.69%2.81%4.27%3.50%3.17%3.72%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) was 50.00%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 153 trading sessions.

The current Candidate: Smudged and Reduced (3/26/25) drawdown is 6.07%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-50%Sep 22, 2008116Mar 9, 2009153Oct 14, 2009269
-44.62%Jan 24, 202041Mar 23, 2020166Nov 16, 2020207
-21.34%Jan 24, 2018232Dec 24, 201853Mar 13, 2019285
-20.68%Apr 21, 200661Jul 18, 200684Nov 14, 2006145
-19.44%Oct 20, 201562Jan 19, 201691May 27, 2016153

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 12 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.91, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkSBRMSBCNCACGLCROXDDSTGNAQCOMNVRMATXBLDRDHIPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.270.350.410.480.450.460.530.640.480.570.530.540.72
SBR0.271.000.260.130.170.160.170.190.160.100.220.170.140.52
MSB0.350.261.000.170.200.240.220.250.260.190.280.250.220.46
CNC0.410.130.171.000.270.200.230.280.260.230.270.250.250.46
ACGL0.480.170.200.271.000.250.250.320.270.310.350.310.320.65
CROX0.450.160.240.200.251.000.360.310.340.300.360.350.340.51
DDS0.460.170.220.230.250.361.000.350.310.320.370.360.370.45
TGNA0.530.190.250.280.320.310.351.000.320.300.410.370.370.50
QCOM0.640.160.260.260.270.340.310.321.000.310.390.380.350.52
NVR0.480.100.190.230.310.300.320.300.311.000.360.450.690.62
MATX0.570.220.280.270.350.360.370.410.390.361.000.410.390.57
BLDR0.530.170.250.250.310.350.360.370.380.450.411.000.530.60
DHI0.540.140.220.250.320.340.370.370.350.690.390.531.000.59
Portfolio0.720.520.460.460.650.510.450.500.520.620.570.600.591.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Feb 9, 2006