Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | 25% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 25% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 15% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | Technology Equities | 5% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 15% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | Large Cap Value Equities | 15% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Moderate 50/50, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
Loading graphics...
The earliest data available for this chart is May 30, 2007, corresponding to the inception date of BIL
Returns By Period
As of Apr 4, 2026, the Moderate 50/50 returned -0.33% Year-To-Date and 8.25% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Moderate 50/50 | 0.17% | -1.92% | -0.33% | 1.02% | 13.99% | 11.02% | 6.88% | 8.25% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.97% | -3.13% | -1.30% | 24.10% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -4.02% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 23.60% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 0.16% | -3.37% | 3.71% | 6.17% | 20.60% | 14.94% | 10.95% | 11.89% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.22% | -0.91% | 0.31% | 0.97% | 3.73% | 3.53% | 0.30% | 1.70% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.02% | 0.30% | 0.90% | 1.83% | 4.00% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 0.85% | -2.69% | -5.36% | -5.50% | 39.92% | 23.50% | 15.02% | 21.67% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 31, 2007, Moderate 50/50's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.55%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 10.5 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +6.8%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -9.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Moderate 50/50 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +6.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -5.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.23% | 0.70% | -2.73% | 0.51% | -0.33% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.71% | 0.12% | -2.43% | -0.54% | 2.76% | 3.10% | 0.94% | 1.62% | 2.14% | 1.18% | 0.39% | 0.15% | 11.58% |
| 2024 | 0.70% | 2.10% | 2.18% | -2.62% | 2.82% | 1.74% | 1.80% | 1.64% | 1.40% | -1.00% | 3.45% | -2.11% | 12.59% |
| 2023 | 3.78% | -1.79% | 2.18% | 0.89% | -0.27% | 3.29% | 1.78% | -1.06% | -2.79% | -1.47% | 5.66% | 3.53% | 14.20% |
| 2022 | -2.77% | -1.46% | 0.98% | -4.97% | 0.50% | -4.40% | 4.79% | -2.56% | -5.60% | 4.29% | 3.84% | -2.88% | -10.45% |
| 2021 | -0.57% | 1.33% | 2.02% | 2.54% | 0.58% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.32% | -2.54% | 3.28% | -0.60% | 2.39% | 12.64% |
Benchmark Metrics
Moderate 50/50 has an annualized alpha of 2.15%, beta of 0.48, and R² of 0.97 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 31, 2007.
- This portfolio participated in 53.35% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 53.05% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.15% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.48 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 2.15%
- Beta
- 0.48
- R²
- 0.97
- Upside Capture
- 53.05%
- Downside Capture
- 53.35%
Expense Ratio
Moderate 50/50 has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Moderate 50/50 ranks 54 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.26 | 0.88 | +0.37 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.86 | 1.37 | +0.49 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.21 | +0.08 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.83 | 1.39 | +0.44 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.73 | 6.43 | +2.30 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 52 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 52 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 54 | 1.09 | 1.57 | 1.23 | 1.48 | 6.62 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 47 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 1.18 | 1.71 | 4.64 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.57 | 254.91 | 180.89 | 367.86 | 4,130.10 |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 57 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 1.23 | 1.88 | 5.72 |
Loading graphics...
Dividends
Dividend yield
Moderate 50/50 provided a 2.64% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.64% | 2.65% | 2.92% | 2.83% | 1.91% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 2.15% | 2.20% | 1.73% | 1.67% | 1.70% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 2.02% | 2.05% | 2.31% | 2.46% | 2.52% | 2.15% | 2.56% | 2.50% | 2.73% | 2.29% | 2.44% | 2.60% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.92% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 0.43% | 0.40% | 0.60% | 0.65% | 0.91% | 0.64% | 0.82% | 1.11% | 1.29% | 0.99% | 1.31% | 1.28% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading graphics...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Moderate 50/50. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Moderate 50/50 was 30.62%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 421 trading sessions.
The current Moderate 50/50 drawdown is 2.53%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -30.62% | Oct 10, 2007 | 355 | Mar 9, 2009 | 421 | Nov 5, 2010 | 776 |
| -17.94% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 84 | Jul 22, 2020 | 107 |
| -15.18% | Dec 28, 2021 | 200 | Oct 12, 2022 | 294 | Dec 13, 2023 | 494 |
| -9.22% | Sep 24, 2018 | 64 | Dec 24, 2018 | 53 | Mar 13, 2019 | 117 |
| -9.09% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 45 | Jun 12, 2025 | 79 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading graphics...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.13, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | BND | VGT | VTV | VTI | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.02 | -0.14 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| BIL | -0.02 | 1.00 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| BND | -0.14 | 0.02 | 1.00 | -0.12 | -0.17 | -0.14 | -0.14 | -0.02 |
| VGT | 0.89 | -0.01 | -0.12 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.87 |
| VTV | 0.91 | -0.03 | -0.17 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.92 |
| VTI | 0.99 | -0.02 | -0.14 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| SPY | 0.99 | -0.02 | -0.14 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Portfolio | 0.98 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.00 |