Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AAPL Apple Inc | Technology | 13.39% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | Consumer Cyclical | 1.83% |
AXP American Express Company | Financial Services | 10.30% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | Short-Term Bond | 2.29% |
FDFRX Fidelity Advisor Freedom 2065 Fund Class Z6 | Target Retirement Date | 12.40% |
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | S&P 500 | 14.41% |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Financial Services | 8.05% |
KHC The Kraft Heinz Company | Consumer Defensive | 1.75% |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | Consumer Defensive | 18.26% |
MCO Moody's Corporation | Financial Services | 3.29% |
TBCIX T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class | Large Cap Growth Equities | 1.08% |
VDE Vanguard Energy ETF | Energy Equities | 3.38% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 9.57% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in stupid, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 28, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of FDFRX
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -3.54% | -3.95% | -2.09% | 15.95% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio stupid | 0.09% | -2.72% | -2.18% | 2.48% | 15.51% | 18.56% | 13.70% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 2.92% | -5.02% | -4.34% | -2.14% | 17.32% | 18.30% | 11.79% | 14.08% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.79% | -4.29% | -3.66% | -1.41% | 18.17% | 18.58% | 11.93% | 14.14% |
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.73% | -3.43% | -5.88% | 0.26% | 15.03% | 16.29% | 16.37% | 26.22% |
FDFRX Fidelity Advisor Freedom 2065 Fund Class Z6 | 3.08% | -5.94% | -0.92% | 2.12% | 20.80% | 16.08% | 8.29% | — |
TBCIX T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class | 3.90% | -5.46% | -11.20% | -9.94% | 15.19% | 26.37% | 10.79% | 16.10% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 1.10% | 1.05% | -8.77% | -4.56% | 9.57% | 26.80% | 5.91% | 21.54% |
AXP American Express Company | -0.34% | -1.95% | -18.34% | -7.81% | 12.64% | 23.74% | 17.17% | 18.98% |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 0.41% | -0.73% | -7.92% | -4.04% | 23.71% | 34.51% | 16.89% | 20.50% |
KHC The Kraft Heinz Company | -0.98% | -7.61% | -6.62% | -12.47% | -21.91% | -12.37% | -6.71% | -7.86% |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | 0.04% | -4.51% | 9.57% | 15.52% | 8.93% | 10.28% | 10.95% | 8.31% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 1, 2019, stupid's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.36%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.3 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +13.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -14.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, stupid closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +9.6%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -10.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.15% | 0.69% | -4.03% | 0.09% | -2.18% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.82% | 1.52% | -4.50% | -1.11% | 3.56% | 4.18% | 0.13% | 4.01% | 2.19% | 3.27% | 1.97% | -0.47% | 18.64% |
| 2024 | 1.13% | 3.56% | 2.78% | -1.56% | 4.70% | 2.65% | 4.08% | 3.74% | 0.86% | -2.36% | 5.63% | -1.68% | 25.74% |
| 2023 | 6.81% | -1.88% | 2.77% | 2.16% | -1.03% | 6.07% | 2.80% | -3.33% | -4.74% | -1.51% | 9.41% | 4.37% | 23.00% |
| 2022 | -0.98% | -0.49% | 1.61% | -5.89% | -0.34% | -8.21% | 8.65% | -3.10% | -9.74% | 9.38% | 5.21% | -4.85% | -10.31% |
| 2021 | -2.97% | 4.21% | 4.37% | 4.93% | 1.38% | 2.16% | 2.35% | 1.51% | -3.43% | 6.01% | -2.40% | 5.68% | 25.82% |
Benchmark Metrics
stupid has an annualized alpha of 4.18%, beta of 0.92, and R² of 0.92 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 01, 2019.
- This portfolio captured 102.83% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 88.66% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.18% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.92 and R² of 0.92, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 4.18%
- Beta
- 0.92
- R²
- 0.92
- Upside Capture
- 102.83%
- Downside Capture
- 88.66%
Expense Ratio
stupid has an expense ratio of 0.08%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
stupid ranks 31 for risk / return — below 31% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.99 | 0.92 | +0.07 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.51 | 1.41 | +0.09 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.21 | +0.01 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.33 | 1.41 | -0.08 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.41 | 6.61 | -0.21 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 60 | 0.97 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.52 | 7.30 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 60 | 1.01 | 1.53 | 1.23 | 1.55 | 7.31 |
AAPL Apple Inc | 56 | 0.48 | 0.93 | 1.13 | 0.68 | 2.10 |
FDFRX Fidelity Advisor Freedom 2065 Fund Class Z6 | 72 | 1.34 | 1.92 | 1.29 | 1.76 | 7.60 |
TBCIX T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class | 29 | 0.72 | 1.21 | 1.17 | 0.78 | 2.71 |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 49 | 0.27 | 0.65 | 1.08 | 0.49 | 1.17 |
AXP American Express Company | 53 | 0.39 | 0.75 | 1.11 | 0.55 | 1.58 |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 68 | 0.94 | 1.34 | 1.19 | 1.48 | 4.00 |
KHC The Kraft Heinz Company | 9 | -0.85 | -1.07 | 0.87 | -0.83 | -1.49 |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | 56 | 0.54 | 0.91 | 1.10 | 0.95 | 1.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
stupid provided a 2.11% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.11% | 2.08% | 1.94% | 1.88% | 2.83% | 2.42% | 2.05% | 1.96% | 2.12% | 1.79% | 1.99% | 2.42% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 1.16% | 1.11% | 1.25% | 1.45% | 1.69% | 1.22% | 1.60% | 2.06% | 2.72% | 1.97% | 2.52% | 2.83% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.41% | 0.38% | 0.40% | 0.49% | 0.70% | 0.49% | 0.61% | 1.04% | 1.79% | 1.45% | 1.93% | 1.93% |
FDFRX Fidelity Advisor Freedom 2065 Fund Class Z6 | 5.02% | 4.97% | 2.19% | 2.14% | 9.00% | 6.96% | 2.80% | 1.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TBCIX T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class | 5.86% | 5.20% | 18.28% | 3.47% | 5.84% | 10.03% | 1.18% | 0.59% | 2.50% | 3.05% | 0.81% | 0.00% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AXP American Express Company | 1.09% | 0.85% | 0.91% | 1.24% | 1.35% | 1.05% | 1.42% | 1.29% | 1.51% | 1.32% | 1.61% | 1.58% |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1.96% | 1.72% | 1.92% | 2.38% | 2.98% | 2.34% | 2.83% | 2.37% | 2.54% | 1.91% | 2.13% | 2.54% |
KHC The Kraft Heinz Company | 7.18% | 6.60% | 5.21% | 4.33% | 3.93% | 4.46% | 4.62% | 4.98% | 5.81% | 3.15% | 2.69% | 25.01% |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | 2.71% | 2.92% | 3.12% | 3.12% | 2.77% | 2.84% | 2.99% | 2.89% | 3.29% | 3.23% | 3.38% | 3.07% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the stupid. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the stupid was 35.55%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 110 trading sessions.
The current stupid drawdown is 5.44%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -35.55% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 110 | Aug 27, 2020 | 133 |
| -19.72% | Jan 5, 2022 | 186 | Sep 30, 2022 | 177 | Jun 15, 2023 | 363 |
| -17.15% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 56 | Jun 30, 2025 | 90 |
| -11.02% | Aug 1, 2023 | 63 | Oct 27, 2023 | 29 | Dec 8, 2023 | 92 |
| -9.87% | Sep 3, 2020 | 14 | Sep 23, 2020 | 33 | Nov 9, 2020 | 47 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 13 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.53, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BSV | KHC | KO | VDE | AMZN | JPM | AAPL | MCO | AXP | TBCIX | FDFRX | FXAIX | VOO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| BSV | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.14 | -0.10 | 0.09 | -0.11 | 0.08 | 0.17 | -0.04 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| KHC | 0.25 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.03 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| KO | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| VDE | 0.43 | -0.10 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.50 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.48 | 0.23 | 0.48 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| AMZN | 0.67 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.57 | 0.46 | 0.36 | 0.77 | 0.59 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| JPM | 0.61 | -0.11 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.72 | 0.41 | 0.60 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| AAPL | 0.70 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.57 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.38 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| MCO | 0.67 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.22 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| AXP | 0.67 | -0.04 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.72 | 0.38 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| TBCIX | 0.90 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0.41 | 0.71 | 0.63 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.90 | 0.89 | 0.77 |
| FDFRX | 0.92 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 0.48 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| FXAIX | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Portfolio | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.34 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.70 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 |