Asset Allocation
Benchmark: S&P 500 Index · Rebalance: Every 3 months
Find the right asset allocation for Special
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Special, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | ALL TIME* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.66% | -0.82% | 6.72% | 8.65% | 16.89% | 17.46% | 11.09% | 13.10% | 8.07% |
Portfolio Special | 0.18% | -3.92% | 4.14% | 8.81% | 20.32% | 20.92% | — | — | 15.18% |
| Portfolio components: | |||||||||
AAAU Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF | 1.66% | 2.40% | -23.85% | -4.77% | 25.49% | 27.68% | 17.54% | — | 16.72% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.06% | -1.02% | -0.53% | -0.28% | 2.92% | 3.79% | -0.37% | 1.38% | 3.00% |
BZ=F Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financial Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FBGKX Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund Class K | -2.13% | -9.02% | 5.66% | 6.84% | 18.19% | 24.19% | 12.89% | 20.31% | 15.51% |
FDVLX Fidelity Value Fund | -0.86% | 2.74% | 17.18% | 25.25% | 36.12% | 24.41% | 16.19% | 14.40% | 11.47% |
FIBUX Fidelity Flex U.S. Bond Index Fund | -0.33% | -1.42% | -0.63% | -0.63% | 3.00% | 3.81% | -0.53% | — | 1.64% |
FNCMX Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index Fund | -1.75% | -6.77% | 3.51% | 5.49% | 16.35% | 20.43% | 11.67% | 17.71% | 11.80% |
FSAGX Fidelity Select Gold Portfolio | -0.39% | -2.29% | -28.59% | -10.86% | 40.81% | 34.45% | 14.45% | 8.27% | 6.46% |
FSENX Fidelity Select Energy Portfolio | 1.59% | 9.38% | 20.24% | 37.55% | 44.60% | 16.25% | 25.29% | 9.81% | 8.25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 1.64% | 2.38% | -23.94% | -4.83% | 25.32% | 27.41% | 17.30% | 11.31% | 10.36% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 31, 2022, Special's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.26%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.6 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +10.2%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -9.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Special closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.3%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -4.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.42% | 0.83% | -5.08% | 10.20% | 4.57% | 0.25% | -3.92% | 8.81% | |||||
| 2025 | 2.50% | -2.78% | -4.95% | 0.12% | 5.97% | 5.42% | 2.41% | 2.19% | 3.90% | 2.16% | 0.63% | 1.20% | 19.86% |
| 2024 | 0.84% | 5.46% | 4.04% | -3.15% | 5.08% | 2.17% | 0.68% | 1.32% | 2.27% | -0.06% | 5.06% | 2.19% | 28.77% |
| 2023 | 9.76% | -2.03% | 3.54% | 0.23% | 2.84% | 5.49% | 4.20% | -1.67% | -4.72% | -1.69% | 8.49% | 5.37% | 32.82% |
| 2022 | 2.51% | -0.71% | 1.81% | -8.97% | -1.74% | -8.30% | 9.08% | -3.35% | -8.55% | 4.01% | 5.32% | -5.78% | -15.42% |
Benchmark Metrics
Special has an annualized alpha of 3.80%, beta of 0.91, and R2 of 0.87 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 31, 2022.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (97.97%) than losses (85.13%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.80% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.91 and R2 of 0.87, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 3.80%
- Beta
- 0.91
- R²
- 0.87
- Upside Capture
- 97.97%
- Downside Capture
- 85.13%
Expense Ratio
Special has an expense ratio of 0.47%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Special ranks 58 for risk / return — above 58% of Portfolios peers on PortfoliosLab. Its historical combined result is near the middle of the peer group.
Risk / Return Metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Special and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.49 | 1.32 | +0.17 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.09 | 1.86 | +0.24 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.27 | 1.24 | +0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.22 | 1.86 | +0.35 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.04 | 7.90 | +1.13 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAAU Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF | 35 | 0.92 | 1.29 | 1.19 | 0.97 | 2.13 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 32 | 0.79 | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.10 | 2.77 |
BZ=F Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financial Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FBGKX Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund Class K | 29 | 0.96 | 1.41 | 1.17 | 1.51 | 5.44 |
FDVLX Fidelity Value Fund | 86 | 2.14 | 3.08 | 1.37 | 3.50 | 13.35 |
FIBUX Fidelity Flex U.S. Bond Index Fund | 16 | 0.69 | 1.02 | 1.12 | 0.90 | 2.23 |
FNCMX Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index Fund | 25 | 0.91 | 1.33 | 1.16 | 1.28 | 4.31 |
FSAGX Fidelity Select Gold Portfolio | 19 | 0.80 | 1.24 | 1.17 | 0.98 | 2.17 |
FSENX Fidelity Select Energy Portfolio | 82 | 2.14 | 2.78 | 1.35 | 3.53 | 9.62 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 35 | 0.91 | 1.27 | 1.19 | 0.96 | 2.10 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Special provided a 3.09% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.09% | 3.53% | 10.16% | 1.67% | 2.09% | 6.66% | 3.76% | 2.92% | 6.88% | 3.19% | 2.74% | 5.26% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AAAU Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 4.01% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
BZ=F Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financial Futures | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FBGKX Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund Class K | 1.77% | 1.89% | 6.00% | 0.93% | 0.56% | 8.77% | 6.41% | 3.70% | 6.41% | 4.26% | 4.22% | 5.36% |
FDVLX Fidelity Value Fund | 8.02% | 10.05% | 33.05% | 3.71% | 7.08% | 9.79% | 0.98% | 3.34% | 16.25% | 3.38% | 1.26% | 10.97% |
FIBUX Fidelity Flex U.S. Bond Index Fund | 4.15% | 3.95% | 3.65% | 2.93% | 1.62% | 1.18% | 2.32% | 2.96% | 2.70% | 2.45% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FNCMX Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index Fund | 0.49% | 0.51% | 0.61% | 0.67% | 0.88% | 0.47% | 0.67% | 4.41% | 1.93% | 0.03% | 1.01% | 1.50% |
FSAGX Fidelity Select Gold Portfolio | 5.76% | 2.17% | 3.62% | 0.99% | 0.36% | 1.60% | 4.40% | 0.40% | 0.00% | 0.22% | 3.57% | 0.00% |
FSENX Fidelity Select Energy Portfolio | 1.56% | 1.95% | 1.95% | 1.98% | 2.50% | 2.25% | 3.43% | 1.84% | 1.48% | 1.74% | 0.62% | 1.29% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Special. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Special was 23.78%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 189 trading sessions.
The current Special drawdown is 5.22%.
Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater | Related event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
-23.78%Oct 2022 | 6mo 18d | 9mo 8d | 1y 3moMar 2022 - Jul 2023 | Bear market2022 |
-18.88%Apr 2025 | 3mo 23d | 2mo 23d | 6mo 16dDec 2024 - Jun 2025 | 2025 selloff2025 |
-9.20%Mar 2026 | 2mo | 15d | 2mo 15dJan 2026 - Apr 2026 | — |
-8.92%Oct 2023 | 2mo 26d | 1mo 6d | 4mo 2dAug 2023 - Dec 2023 | — |
-8.59%Aug 2024 | 21d | 1mo 13d | 2mo 4dJul 2024 - Sep 2024 | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.08, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which creates substantial concentration risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.22 | 1.30 | 1.28 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.28, in line with the typical range across portfolios.
Special correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.93 |
Correlation (3Y) Balances recent behavior with more history. | 0.93 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 31, 2022 | 0.94 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. FNCMX has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.95, while BZ=F has the lowest at -0.06.
Asset Correlations Table
| BZ=F | FSENX | FIBUX | BND | AAAU | GLD | FSAGX | FDVLX | FBGKX | FNCMX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BZ=F | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.06 | -0.05 | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| FSENX | 0.10 | 1.00 | -0.08 | -0.07 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| FIBUX | 0.01 | -0.08 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| BND | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| AAAU | 0.07 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| GLD | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| FSAGX | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| FDVLX | -0.05 | 0.50 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| FBGKX | -0.03 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.27 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| FNCMX | -0.04 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.27 | 0.67 | 0.98 | 1.00 |
Find what Special is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Special is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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