Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 50% |
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds, Ultrashort Bond | 25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 25% |
Find the right asset allocation for 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld returned 36.27% Year-To-Date and 23.13% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld | 1.11% | 2.57% | 36.27% | 37.82% | 73.15% | 39.61% | 25.84% | 23.13% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.03% | 0.29% | 1.60% | 1.76% | 3.85% | 4.63% | 3.43% | 2.20% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.06% | -9.52% | -2.47% | -2.25% | 22.21% | 28.89% | 17.08% | 12.15% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 1.72% | 7.20% | 72.15% | 75.62% | 141.99% | 60.05% | 38.42% | 37.49% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 30, 2007, 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.24%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.7 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +16.1%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -12.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -6.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.14% | 2.67% | -5.77% | 16.07% | 10.29% | 0.82% | 36.27% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.10% | -1.62% | -1.78% | 1.41% | 6.68% | 8.71% | 1.71% | 1.59% | 9.29% | 6.61% | -0.18% | 1.95% | 42.15% |
| 2024 | 2.89% | 7.45% | 5.43% | -1.55% | 6.48% | 4.32% | -1.19% | -0.01% | 1.87% | 0.41% | -0.63% | -0.03% | 27.96% |
| 2023 | 9.91% | -0.71% | 7.22% | -2.74% | 7.88% | 2.43% | 3.43% | -1.60% | -4.72% | -0.16% | 8.26% | 5.39% | 38.93% |
| 2022 | -5.81% | 0.36% | 0.57% | -7.85% | 2.07% | -8.41% | 7.53% | -5.75% | -7.74% | 0.69% | 12.42% | -4.55% | -17.27% |
| 2021 | 1.07% | 1.75% | 0.27% | 0.77% | 3.24% | 0.69% | 0.80% | 1.43% | -3.52% | 3.74% | 5.67% | 1.78% | 18.89% |
Benchmark Metrics
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld has an annualized alpha of 9.44%, beta of 0.61, and R2 of 0.56 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 30, 2007.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (85.10%) than losses (54.53%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 9.44% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.61 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 9.44%
- Beta
- 0.61
- R²
- 0.56
- Upside Capture
- 85.10%
- Downside Capture
- 54.53%
Expense Ratio
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld has an expense ratio of 0.31%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld ranks 95 for risk / return — in the top 95% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 3.42 | 1.86 | +1.56 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 4.06 | 2.53 | +1.52 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.60 | 1.34 | +0.26 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 6.52 | 2.53 | +3.99 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 26.38 | 11.37 | +15.01 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.63 | 175.17 | 88.41 | 357.44 | 2,834.34 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 25 | 0.87 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 2.81 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 95 | 4.13 | 4.26 | 1.60 | 9.18 | 33.74 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld provided a 1.05% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.05% | 1.19% | 1.48% | 1.53% | 0.93% | 0.25% | 0.42% | 1.26% | 1.35% | 0.88% | 0.42% | 1.07% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.86% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld was 34.87%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 280 trading sessions.
The current 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld drawdown is 2.71%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -34.87%Nov 2008 | 6mo 4d | 1y 1mo | 1y 7moMay 2008 - Jan 2010 |
Bear market2022 | -26.90%Oct 2022 | 9mo 20d | 7mo 14d | 1y 4moDec 2021 - May 2023 |
COVID crash2020 | -19.04%Mar 2020 | 29d | 2mo 15d | 3mo 14dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
2025 selloff2025 | -15.23%Apr 2025 | 2mo 15d | 1mo 5d | 3mo 20dJan 2025 - May 2025 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -14.40%Dec 2018 | 9mo 16d | 2mo 27d | 1y 8dMar 2018 - Mar 2019 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.67, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.23 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.23, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.73 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.75 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.75 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 30, 2007 | 0.74 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SMH has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.77, while BIL has the lowest at -0.02.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification