Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 5% | |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | Hedge Fund, Actively Managed | 30% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 5% |
MO Altria Group, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 0% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 40% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 20% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4-3-2-1-0.5, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 8, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of DBMF
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 4-3-2-1-0.5 | 0.06% | -2.19% | 0.56% | 2.21% | 16.58% | 14.11% | 8.95% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.33% | 0.36% | 8.44% | 15.46% | 27.06% | 10.31% | 8.74% | — |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
MO Altria Group, Inc. | 0.43% | -2.94% | 15.96% | 3.55% | 23.23% | 22.72% | 13.73% | 7.41% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.99% | -2.31% | -23.70% | -44.66% | -19.07% | 33.89% | 3.18% | 66.03% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 9, 2019, 4-3-2-1-0.5's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +1.09%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.3 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +8.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -4.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 4-3-2-1-0.5 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -6.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.90% | 2.79% | -4.46% | 0.48% | 0.56% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.36% | -0.94% | -2.55% | 0.36% | 2.43% | 3.58% | 0.92% | 1.13% | 4.73% | 2.38% | 0.17% | -0.17% | 15.12% |
| 2024 | 0.88% | 4.99% | 4.57% | -2.21% | 2.81% | 2.14% | 0.52% | 0.14% | 2.24% | -1.99% | 4.99% | -2.71% | 17.20% |
| 2023 | 5.35% | -2.07% | 2.22% | 1.18% | -0.67% | 4.18% | 0.61% | -1.79% | -2.17% | -0.28% | 4.61% | 3.69% | 15.49% |
| 2022 | -3.68% | 0.32% | 2.98% | -3.18% | -1.49% | -3.57% | 3.79% | -2.79% | -4.07% | 2.52% | 0.57% | -2.94% | -11.36% |
| 2021 | -0.62% | 3.13% | 3.99% | 3.38% | -0.17% | 0.77% | 2.97% | 1.10% | -3.14% | 6.71% | -1.01% | 0.50% | 18.66% |
Benchmark Metrics
4-3-2-1-0.5 has an annualized alpha of 6.64%, beta of 0.44, and R² of 0.67 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 09, 2019.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (57.18%) than losses (42.91%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.64% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.44 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 6.64%
- Beta
- 0.44
- R²
- 0.67
- Upside Capture
- 57.18%
- Downside Capture
- 42.91%
Expense Ratio
4-3-2-1-0.5 has an expense ratio of 0.34%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
4-3-2-1-0.5 ranks 56 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.42 | 0.88 | +0.54 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.09 | 1.37 | +0.72 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.21 | +0.07 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.06 | 1.39 | +0.67 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.03 | 6.43 | +0.59 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 94 | 2.25 | 3.05 | 1.48 | 4.38 | 18.76 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
MO Altria Group, Inc. | 68 | 1.12 | 1.53 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 3.11 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.96 | -1.14 | -2.03 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
4-3-2-1-0.5 provided a 2.93% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.93% | 3.09% | 3.07% | 2.11% | 3.51% | 3.89% | 1.17% | 3.96% | 1.34% | 1.21% | 1.33% | 1.35% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.28% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
MO Altria Group, Inc. | 6.39% | 7.21% | 7.65% | 9.52% | 8.05% | 7.43% | 8.29% | 6.57% | 6.07% | 3.56% | 3.48% | 3.73% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4-3-2-1-0.5. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 4-3-2-1-0.5 was 17.79%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 112 trading sessions.
The current 4-3-2-1-0.5 drawdown is 4.00%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -17.79% | Feb 24, 2020 | 24 | Mar 18, 2020 | 112 | Jul 8, 2020 | 136 |
| -14.06% | Nov 10, 2021 | 414 | Dec 28, 2022 | 359 | Dec 22, 2023 | 773 |
| -10.87% | Dec 9, 2024 | 121 | Apr 8, 2025 | 77 | Jun 24, 2025 | 198 |
| -7.06% | Jul 17, 2024 | 22 | Aug 7, 2024 | 48 | Sep 24, 2024 | 70 |
| -6.21% | Sep 3, 2020 | 21 | Sep 23, 2020 | 51 | Nov 13, 2020 | 72 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.39, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TLT | MO | GLD | DBMF | BTC-USD | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.06 | 0.26 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| TLT | -0.06 | 1.00 | -0.03 | 0.24 | -0.16 | -0.01 | -0.04 | 0.19 |
| MO | 0.26 | -0.03 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| GLD | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.28 |
| DBMF | 0.18 | -0.16 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| BTC-USD | 0.30 | -0.01 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.58 |
| SPY | 1.00 | -0.04 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.74 |
| Portfolio | 0.80 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.58 | 0.74 | 1.00 |