VFFVX vs. SPY
VFFVX (Vanguard Target Retirement 2055 Fund) and SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) are both funds - VFFVX is a Target Retirement Date fund managed by Vanguard, while SPY is a S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 10 years, VFFVX returned 11.86%/yr vs 15.16%/yr for SPY. With a 0.96 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. VFFVX charges 0.08%/yr vs 0.09%/yr for SPY.
Performance
VFFVX vs. SPY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, VFFVX achieves a 11.68% return, which is significantly higher than SPY's 8.45% return. Over the past 10 years, VFFVX has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of 11.86%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.16% annualized return.
VFFVX
- 1D
- 0.29%
- 1M
- 2.03%
- YTD
- 11.68%
- 6M
- 12.27%
- 1Y
- 26.83%
- 3Y*
- 19.65%
- 5Y*
- 10.11%
- 10Y*
- 11.86%
SPY
- 1D
- -2.58%
- 1M
- -0.01%
- YTD
- 8.45%
- 6M
- 8.18%
- 1Y
- 24.51%
- 3Y*
- 21.43%
- 5Y*
- 13.32%
- 10Y*
- 15.16%
VFFVX vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VFFVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2055 Fund | 11.68% | 21.44% | 14.50% | 20.39% | -17.48% | 16.44% | 16.33% | 24.98% | -7.88% | 21.39% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8.45% | 17.72% | 24.89% | 26.18% | -18.18% | 28.73% | 18.33% | 31.22% | -4.57% | 21.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between VFFVX and SPY is 0.95 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 19, 2010 | 0.96 |
The correlation between VFFVX and SPY has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.94 to 0.96 - a consistent structural relationship.
VFFVX vs. SPY - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
VFFVX
SPY
Technology
Financial Services
Industrials
Consumer Cyclical
Healthcare
Communication Services
Consumer Defensive
Energy
Basic Materials
Utilities
Real Estate
Technology
VFFVX
SPY
Financial Services
VFFVX
SPY
Industrials
VFFVX
SPY
Consumer Cyclical
VFFVX
SPY
Healthcare
VFFVX
SPY
Communication Services
VFFVX
SPY
Consumer Defensive
VFFVX
SPY
Energy
VFFVX
SPY
Basic Materials
VFFVX
SPY
Utilities
VFFVX
SPY
Real Estate
VFFVX
SPY
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Return for Risk
VFFVX vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank
VFFVX
SPY
VFFVX vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2055 Fund (VFFVX) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| VFFVX | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.26 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.45 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.44 | 1.39 | +0.05 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.08 | 2.92 | +0.16 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.66 | 13.50 | +0.15 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| VFFVX | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 2.40 | 2.14 | +0.26 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.72 | 0.78 | -0.07 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.79 | 0.85 | -0.06 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.77 | 0.58 | +0.18 |
Drawdowns
VFFVX vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum VFFVX drawdown since its inception was -31.40%, smaller than the maximum SPY drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VFFVX and SPY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| VFFVX | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -31.40% | -55.19% | +23.79% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.93% | -8.88% | -0.05% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -14.52% | -18.76% | +4.24% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -25.39% | -24.50% | -0.89% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -31.40% | -33.72% | +2.32% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -0.43% | -2.90% | +2.47% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -4.14% | -9.05% | +4.91% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 2.01% | 1.91% | +0.10% |
Volatility
VFFVX vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2055 Fund (VFFVX) is 3.38%, while State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has a volatility of 3.73%. This indicates that VFFVX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| VFFVX | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.38% | 3.73% | -0.35% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 9.10% | 9.31% | -0.21% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 11.44% | 12.12% | -0.68% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 14.18% | 17.09% | -2.91% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 15.10% | 17.95% | -2.85% |
VFFVX vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison
VFFVX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is lower than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio. Despite the difference, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.
Dividends
VFFVX vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison
VFFVX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.86%, more than SPY's 1.00% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
VFFVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2055 Fund | 1.86% | 2.08% | 2.31% | 2.18% | 2.19% | 10.03% | 1.82% | 2.15% | 2.35% | 1.83% | 1.99% | 1.98% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.95, VFFVX and SPY move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
SPY has higher volatility (3.73%) compared to VFFVX (3.38%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VFFVX dropped -31.40% vs SPY's -55.19%.
VFFVX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.40 vs 2.14), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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