USO vs. MOS
USO (United States Oil Fund LP) is Oil & Gas fund tracking the Front Month Light Sweet Crude Oil, while MOS (The Mosaic Company) is a stock. Over the past 10 years, USO returned 3.17%/yr vs -0.33%/yr for MOS. At a 0.31 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
USO vs. MOS - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, USO achieves a 73.76% return, which is significantly higher than MOS's -2.99% return. Over the past 10 years, USO has outperformed MOS with an annualized return of 3.17%, while MOS has yielded a comparatively lower -0.33% annualized return.
USO
- 1D
- 2.02%
- 1M
- -4.19%
- 6M
- 63.54%
- YTD
- 73.76%
- 1Y
- 58.91%
- 3Y*
- 21.22%
- 5Y*
- 19.63%
- 10Y*
- 3.17%
MOS
- 1D
- 2.82%
- 1M
- 1.10%
- 6M
- -10.84%
- YTD
- -2.99%
- 1Y
- -34.14%
- 3Y*
- -11.11%
- 5Y*
- -3.27%
- 10Y*
- -0.33%
USO vs. MOS - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 73.76% | -8.46% | 13.35% | -4.94% | 28.97% | 64.68% | -67.79% | 32.61% | -19.57% | 2.47% |
MOS The Mosaic Company | -2.99% | 1.10% | -29.14% | -16.42% | 12.80% | 72.15% | 7.60% | -25.28% | 14.22% | -10.38% |
Correlation
The correlation between USO and MOS is 0.09, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.09 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.27 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.29 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 10, 2006 | 0.31 |
Over the past year, the correlation between USO and MOS has dropped to 0.09 - well below their long-term average of 0.31, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
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Return for Risk
USO vs. MOS — Risk / Return Rank
USO
MOS
USO vs. MOS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for United States Oil Fund LP (USO) and The Mosaic Company (MOS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| USO | MOS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +2.08 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +2.91 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.25 | 0.89 | +0.36 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.82 | -0.76 | +2.58 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.88 | -1.22 | +6.10 |
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Drawdowns
USO vs. MOS - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum USO drawdown since its inception was -98.19%, roughly equal to the maximum MOS drawdown of -94.71%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for USO and MOS.
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Drawdown Indicators
| USO | MOS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -98.19% | -94.71% | -3.48% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -32.49% | -45.13% | +12.64% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -32.49% | -48.87% | +16.38% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -36.23% | -71.60% | +35.37% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -86.75% | -80.82% | -5.93% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -87.21% | -80.22% | -6.99% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -75.35% | -61.30% | -14.05% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 12.11% | 27.94% | -15.83% |
Volatility
USO vs. MOS - Volatility Comparison
United States Oil Fund LP (USO) and The Mosaic Company (MOS) have volatilities of 14.67% and 14.91%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| USO | MOS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 14.67% | 14.91% | -0.24% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 40.75% | 35.52% | +5.23% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 44.93% | 45.28% | -0.35% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 36.68% | 42.16% | -5.48% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 39.08% | 45.01% | -5.93% |
Dividends
USO vs. MOS - Dividend Comparison
USO has not paid dividends to shareholders, while MOS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.84%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MOS The Mosaic Company | 3.84% | 3.65% | 3.42% | 2.94% | 1.28% | 0.70% | 0.87% | 0.81% | 0.34% | 2.34% | 3.75% | 3.90% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
USO and MOS have a correlation of 0.09, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MOS has higher volatility (14.91%) compared to USO (14.67%). In terms of maximum drawdown, USO dropped -98.19% vs MOS's -94.71%.
USO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.32 vs -0.76), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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