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USL vs. XLE
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

USL vs. XLE - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP (USL) and State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, USL achieves a 42.12% return, which is significantly higher than XLE's 32.69% return. Over the past 10 years, USL has outperformed XLE with an annualized return of 10.73%, while XLE has yielded a comparatively lower 10.03% annualized return.


USL

1D
-2.31%
1M
5.30%
6M
29.91%
YTD
42.12%
1Y
30.23%
3Y*
8.03%
5Y*
13.78%
10Y*
10.73%
ALL TIME*
-0.35%

XLE

1D
-0.46%
1M
9.96%
6M
14.82%
YTD
32.69%
1Y
41.32%
3Y*
14.02%
5Y*
23.40%
10Y*
10.03%
ALL TIME*
8.80%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Liquidity Comparison


PositionAvg. Volume Value (2W)Avg. Volume Value (1M)Avg. Volume Value (3M)
$624.51K$673.47K$1.06M
$1.80B$1.75B$1.95B

USL vs. XLE - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
USL
United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP
42.12%-12.37%8.30%-1.11%27.10%62.48%-25.23%28.01%-14.15%2.55%
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
32.69%7.88%5.56%-0.63%64.32%53.28%-32.67%11.74%-18.22%-0.89%

Correlation

The correlation between USL and XLE is 0.66, which is moderate. They have sometimes moved together and sometimes differently, sharing some price drivers without tracking each other closely.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most.

0.66

Correlation (3Y)
Balances recent behavior with more history.

0.62

Correlation (5Y)
Shows whether the relationship held over a longer period.

0.66

Correlation (10Y)
Provides a long-term view across more market conditions.

0.63

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 6, 2007

0.63

The correlation between USL and XLE has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.62 to 0.66 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

USL vs. XLE — Risk / Return Rank

Compare historical risk-adjusted metric ranks over the past 12 months.

USL
USL Risk / Return Rank: 3636
Overall Rank
USL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3636
Sharpe Ratio Rank
USL Sortino Ratio Rank: 3636
Sortino Ratio Rank
USL Omega Ratio Rank: 3535
Omega Ratio Rank
USL Calmar Ratio Rank: 3838
Calmar Ratio Rank
USL Martin Ratio Rank: 3636
Martin Ratio Rank

XLE
XLE Risk / Return Rank: 6969
Overall Rank
XLE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7777
Sharpe Ratio Rank
XLE Sortino Ratio Rank: 7171
Sortino Ratio Rank
XLE Omega Ratio Rank: 6868
Omega Ratio Rank
XLE Calmar Ratio Rank: 7171
Calmar Ratio Rank
XLE Martin Ratio Rank: 5656
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) uses a weighted average of the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin percentile ranks for the trailing 12 months. Higher means stronger historical risk-adjusted performance within the peer group.

USL vs. XLE - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP (USL) and State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


USLXLEDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.96

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.06

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.18

1.32

-0.14

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.45

2.77

-1.32

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

3.98

7.38

-3.40

USL vs. XLE - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current USL Sharpe Ratio is 1.01, which is lower than the XLE Sharpe Ratio of 1.98. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of USL and XLE, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

USL vs. XLE - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum USL drawdown since its inception was -89.06%, which is greater than XLE's maximum drawdown of -71.26%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for USL and XLE.


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Drawdown Indicators


USLXLEDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-89.06%

-71.26%

-17.80%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-20.91%

-14.98%

-5.93%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-23.33%

-20.14%

-3.19%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-33.82%

-26.04%

-7.78%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-66.02%

-66.81%

+0.79%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-46.10%

-5.78%

-40.32%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-61.29%

-17.93%

-43.36%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

7.63%

5.62%

+2.01%

Volatility

USL vs. XLE - Volatility Comparison

United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP (USL) has a higher volatility of 11.47% compared to State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) at 6.17%. This indicates that USL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than XLE based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


USLXLEDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

11.47%

6.17%

+5.30%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

25.59%

16.62%

+8.97%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

30.00%

21.00%

+9.00%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

30.37%

25.74%

+4.63%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

32.37%

29.57%

+2.80%

USL vs. XLE - Expense Ratio Comparison

USL has a 1.02% expense ratio, which is higher than XLE's 0.08% expense ratio.


Dividends

USL vs. XLE - Dividend Comparison

USL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while XLE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.59%.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
USL
United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
2.59%3.28%3.36%3.55%3.68%4.21%5.62%6.72%3.54%3.03%2.26%3.39%

Frequently Asked Questions


USL and XLE have a correlation of 0.66, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

USL has higher volatility (11.47%) compared to XLE (6.17%). In terms of maximum drawdown, USL dropped -89.06% vs XLE's -71.26%.

On 10-year performance, USL leads with 10.73% vs 10.03% for XLE. On fees, XLE is cheaper at 0.08% per year. On volatility, XLE has been the lower-risk option at 6.17%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, USL has performed better with a 10.73% return vs 10.03%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

XLE is cheaper with a 0.08% expense ratio, compared with 1.02% for USL.

XLE has the higher dividend yield at 2.59%, compared with 0.00% for USL.

USL is categorized as Oil & Gas, while XLE is Energy Equities. USL tracks Equal-Weighted 12-Month NYMEX WTI Crude Oil Futures Contracts, while XLE tracks Energy Select Sector Index. They also come from different issuers: USCF and State Street. Their fees differ too: 1.02% for USL and 0.08% for XLE.

XLE currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.98 vs 1.01), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for USL and XLE

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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