UGE vs. XLY
UGE (ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods) and XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund) are both exchange-traded funds - UGE is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%), while XLY is a Consumer Discretionary Equities fund tracking the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UGE returned 7.73%/yr vs 12.63%/yr for XLY. A 0.63 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. UGE charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.13%/yr for XLY.
Performance
UGE vs. XLY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UGE achieves a 9.38% return, which is significantly higher than XLY's -1.60% return. Over the past 10 years, UGE has underperformed XLY with an annualized return of 7.73%, while XLY has yielded a comparatively higher 12.63% annualized return.
UGE
- 1D
- -0.22%
- 1M
- -4.94%
- YTD
- 9.38%
- 6M
- 8.65%
- 1Y
- -2.38%
- 3Y*
- 4.97%
- 5Y*
- -2.89%
- 10Y*
- 7.73%
XLY
- 1D
- 0.45%
- 1M
- -0.69%
- YTD
- -1.60%
- 6M
- -1.13%
- 1Y
- 10.01%
- 3Y*
- 15.13%
- 5Y*
- 7.39%
- 10Y*
- 12.63%
UGE vs. XLY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 9.38% | -5.21% | 16.40% | 2.38% | -46.78% | 42.44% | 56.64% | 58.28% | -30.14% | 32.38% |
XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund | -1.60% | 7.37% | 26.51% | 39.64% | -36.27% | 27.93% | 29.63% | 28.39% | 1.58% | 22.82% |
Correlation
The correlation between UGE and XLY is 0.18, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.27 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.56 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.60 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 2, 2007 | 0.63 |
Over the past year, the correlation between UGE and XLY has dropped to 0.18 - well below their long-term average of 0.63, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
UGE vs. XLY - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UGE
XLY
Consumer Defensive
-
Consumer Cyclical
Basic Materials
-
-
Communication Services
-
Energy
-
-
Financial Services
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
-
Consumer Defensive
UGE
XLY
-
Consumer Cyclical
UGE
XLY
Basic Materials
UGE
-
XLY
-
Communication Services
UGE
-
XLY
Energy
UGE
-
XLY
-
Financial Services
UGE
-
XLY
-
Healthcare
UGE
-
XLY
-
Industrials
UGE
-
XLY
Real Estate
UGE
-
XLY
-
Technology
UGE
-
XLY
Utilities
UGE
-
XLY
-
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Return for Risk
UGE vs. XLY — Risk / Return Rank
UGE
XLY
UGE vs. XLY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UGE | XLY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.65 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.85 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.00 | 1.10 | -0.10 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.13 | 0.67 | -0.80 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.23 | 2.11 | -2.34 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UGE | XLY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.10 | 0.55 | -0.65 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.09 | 0.31 | -0.40 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.23 | 0.57 | -0.34 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.33 | 0.43 | -0.09 |
Drawdowns
UGE vs. XLY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UGE drawdown since its inception was -71.36%, which is greater than XLY's maximum drawdown of -59.05%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UGE and XLY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UGE | XLY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -71.36% | -59.05% | -12.31% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -18.95% | -14.98% | -3.97% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -24.80% | -26.01% | +1.21% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -56.55% | -39.67% | -16.88% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -57.14% | -39.67% | -17.47% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -38.21% | -5.64% | -32.57% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -18.74% | -9.56% | -9.18% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 10.46% | 4.76% | +5.70% |
Volatility
UGE vs. XLY - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) has a higher volatility of 7.52% compared to Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) at 5.17%. This indicates that UGE's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than XLY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UGE | XLY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.52% | 5.17% | +2.35% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.44% | 13.10% | +6.34% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 24.97% | 18.16% | +6.81% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 31.30% | 23.78% | +7.52% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 33.07% | 22.05% | +11.02% |
UGE vs. XLY - Expense Ratio Comparison
UGE has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than XLY's 0.13% expense ratio.
Dividends
UGE vs. XLY - Dividend Comparison
UGE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.23%, more than XLY's 0.76% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 2.23% | 2.54% | 1.43% | 1.20% | 0.74% | 0.20% | 0.41% | 0.86% | 0.76% | 0.68% | 0.76% | 0.60% |
XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund | 0.76% | 0.79% | 0.72% | 0.78% | 1.00% | 0.53% | 0.82% | 1.28% | 1.34% | 1.20% | 1.71% | 1.43% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UGE and XLY have a correlation of 0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UGE has higher volatility (7.52%) compared to XLY (5.17%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UGE dropped -71.36% vs XLY's -59.05%.
On 10-year performance, XLY leads with 12.63% vs 7.73% for UGE. On fees, XLY is cheaper at 0.13% per year. On volatility, XLY has been the lower-risk option at 5.17%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, XLY has performed better with a 12.63% return vs 7.73%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
XLY is cheaper with a 0.13% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UGE.
UGE has the higher dividend yield at 2.23%, compared with 0.76% for XLY.
UGE is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while XLY is Consumer Discretionary Equities. UGE tracks Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%), while XLY tracks Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and State Street. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UGE and 0.13% for XLY.
XLY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.55 vs -0.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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