UGE vs. XLY
UGE (ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods) and XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund) are both exchange-traded funds - UGE is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%), while XLY is a Consumer Discretionary Equities fund tracking the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UGE returned 8.70%/yr vs 12.86%/yr for XLY. A 0.63 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. UGE charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.13%/yr for XLY.
Performance
UGE vs. XLY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UGE achieves a 15.44% return, which is significantly higher than XLY's -3.25% return. Over the past 10 years, UGE has underperformed XLY with an annualized return of 8.70%, while XLY has yielded a comparatively higher 12.86% annualized return.
UGE
- 1D
- 0.58%
- 1M
- -1.21%
- YTD
- 15.44%
- 6M
- 14.18%
- 1Y
- 4.33%
- 3Y*
- 6.07%
- 5Y*
- -2.24%
- 10Y*
- 8.70%
XLY
- 1D
- 1.15%
- 1M
- -3.26%
- YTD
- -3.25%
- 6M
- -5.76%
- 1Y
- 7.58%
- 3Y*
- 12.54%
- 5Y*
- 6.15%
- 10Y*
- 12.86%
UGE vs. XLY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 15.44% | -5.21% | 16.40% | 2.38% | -46.78% | 42.44% | 56.64% | 58.28% | -30.14% | 32.38% |
XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund | -3.25% | 7.37% | 26.51% | 39.64% | -36.27% | 27.93% | 29.63% | 28.39% | 1.58% | 22.82% |
Correlation
The correlation between UGE and XLY is 0.12, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.12 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.26 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.55 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.60 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 1, 2007 | 0.63 |
Over the past year, the correlation between UGE and XLY has dropped to 0.12 - well below their long-term average of 0.63, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
UGE vs. XLY - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UGE
XLY
Consumer Defensive
-
Consumer Cyclical
Basic Materials
-
-
Communication Services
-
Energy
-
-
Financial Services
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
-
Consumer Defensive
UGE
XLY
-
Consumer Cyclical
UGE
XLY
Basic Materials
UGE
-
XLY
-
Communication Services
UGE
-
XLY
Energy
UGE
-
XLY
-
Financial Services
UGE
-
XLY
-
Healthcare
UGE
-
XLY
-
Industrials
UGE
-
XLY
Real Estate
UGE
-
XLY
-
Technology
UGE
-
XLY
Utilities
UGE
-
XLY
-
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Return for Risk
UGE vs. XLY — Risk / Return Rank
UGE
XLY
UGE vs. XLY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| UGE | XLY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.24 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.28 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.05 | 1.08 | -0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.23 | 0.51 | -0.28 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.40 | 1.52 | -1.12 |
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Drawdowns
UGE vs. XLY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UGE drawdown since its inception was -71.36%, which is greater than XLY's maximum drawdown of -59.05%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UGE and XLY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UGE | XLY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -71.36% | -59.05% | -12.31% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -18.95% | -14.98% | -3.97% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -24.80% | -26.01% | +1.21% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -56.55% | -39.67% | -16.88% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -57.14% | -39.67% | -17.47% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -34.78% | -7.22% | -27.56% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -18.78% | -9.55% | -9.23% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 10.88% | 4.99% | +5.89% |
Volatility
UGE vs. XLY - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods (UGE) has a higher volatility of 10.37% compared to Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) at 6.59%. This indicates that UGE's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than XLY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UGE | XLY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 10.37% | 6.59% | +3.78% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 20.94% | 13.87% | +7.07% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 25.98% | 18.48% | +7.50% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 31.48% | 23.91% | +7.57% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 33.12% | 22.09% | +11.03% |
UGE vs. XLY - Expense Ratio Comparison
UGE has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than XLY's 0.13% expense ratio.
Dividends
UGE vs. XLY - Dividend Comparison
UGE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.11%, more than XLY's 0.78% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGE ProShares Ultra Consumer Goods | 2.11% | 2.54% | 1.43% | 1.20% | 0.74% | 0.20% | 0.41% | 0.86% | 0.76% | 0.68% | 0.76% | 0.60% |
XLY Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund | 0.78% | 0.79% | 0.72% | 0.78% | 1.00% | 0.53% | 0.82% | 1.28% | 1.34% | 1.20% | 1.71% | 1.43% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UGE and XLY have a correlation of 0.12, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UGE has higher volatility (10.37%) compared to XLY (6.59%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UGE dropped -71.36% vs XLY's -59.05%.
On 10-year performance, XLY leads with 12.86% vs 8.70% for UGE. On fees, XLY is cheaper at 0.13% per year. On volatility, XLY has been the lower-risk option at 6.59%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, XLY has performed better with a 12.86% return vs 8.70%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
XLY is cheaper with a 0.13% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UGE.
UGE has the higher dividend yield at 2.11%, compared with 0.78% for XLY.
UGE is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while XLY is Consumer Discretionary Equities. UGE tracks Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index (200%), while XLY tracks Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and State Street. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UGE and 0.13% for XLY.
XLY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.41 vs 0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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