PROV vs. XLF

Last updated Jun 3, 2026

PROV (Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.) is a stock, while XLF (State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF) is Financials Equities fund tracking the Financial Select Sector Index. Over the past 10 years, PROV returned 2.79%/yr vs 12.51%/yr for XLF. At a 0.22 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

PROV vs. XLF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) and State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, PROV achieves a 8.10% return, which is significantly higher than XLF's -5.56% return. Over the past 10 years, PROV has underperformed XLF with an annualized return of 2.79%, while XLF has yielded a comparatively higher 12.51% annualized return.

PROV

• 1D: -0.24%
• 1M: -0.58%
• YTD: 8.10%
• 6M: 13.15%
• 1Y: 13.58%
• 3Y*: 16.18%
• 5Y*: 2.17%
• 10Y*: 2.79%

XLF

• 1D: 0.06%
• 1M: -0.89%
• YTD: -5.56%
• 6M: -1.77%
• 1Y: 2.50%
• 3Y*: 18.09%
• 5Y*: 7.91%
• 10Y*: 12.51%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PROV vs. XLF - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
PROV Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.	8.10%	3.68%	31.37%	-4.32%	-13.54%	8.80%	-25.43%	45.18%	-13.11%	-6.36%
XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF	-5.56%	14.90%	30.56%	12.03%	-10.59%	34.80%	-1.74%	31.88%	-13.06%	22.00%

Correlation

The correlation between PROV and XLF is 0.34, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.34
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.21
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.23
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.32
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 23, 1998	0.22

The correlation between PROV and XLF shifts across timeframes, from 0.21 (3 years) to 0.34 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

PROV vs. XLF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

PROV

PROV Risk / Return Rank: 71
PROV Sharpe Ratio Rank: 70
PROV Sortino Ratio Rank: 65
PROV Omega Ratio Rank: 65
PROV Calmar Ratio Rank: 79
PROV Martin Ratio Rank: 79

XLF

XLF Risk / Return Rank: 11
XLF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
XLF Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
XLF Omega Ratio Rank: 11
XLF Calmar Ratio Rank: 10
XLF Martin Ratio Rank: 11

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

PROV vs. XLF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) and State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	PROV	XLF	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	0.99	0.17	+0.81
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	1.53	0.33	+1.20
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.20	1.04	+0.16
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	2.55	0.17	+2.37
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	6.33	0.45	+5.88
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

PROV vs. XLF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current PROV Sharpe Ratio is 0.99, which is higher than the XLF Sharpe Ratio of 0.17. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of PROV and XLF, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	PROV	XLF	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.99	0.17	+0.81
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.10	0.43	-0.32
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.10	0.57	-0.46
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.18	0.20	-0.02

Drawdowns

PROV vs. XLF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum PROV drawdown since its inception was -91.83%, which is greater than XLF's maximum drawdown of -82.69%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PROV and XLF.

Drawdown Indicators

	PROV	XLF	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-91.83%	-82.69%	-9.14%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-5.33%	-14.79%	+9.46%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-23.99%	-15.54%	-8.45%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-34.91%	-25.81%	-9.10%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-48.25%	-42.86%	-5.39%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-10.00%	-8.29%	-1.71%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-30.91%	-20.03%	-10.88%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	2.14%	5.63%	-3.49%

Volatility

PROV vs. XLF - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) is 2.31%, while State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) has a volatility of 3.15%. This indicates that PROV experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than XLF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	PROV	XLF	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	2.31%	3.15%	-0.84%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	8.50%	10.91%	-2.41%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	13.83%	14.36%	-0.53%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	20.87%	18.62%	+2.25%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	27.32%	22.16%	+5.16%

Dividends

PROV vs. XLF - Dividend Comparison

PROV's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.31%, more than XLF's 1.54% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
PROV Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.	3.31%	3.52%	3.52%	4.44%	4.07%	3.39%	3.56%	2.56%	3.61%	2.93%	2.47%	2.49%
XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF	1.54%	1.31%	1.42%	1.71%	2.04%	1.63%	2.03%	1.87%	2.08%	1.48%	21.10%	1.95%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both PROV and XLF in my portfolio?

PROV and XLF have a correlation of 0.34, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, PROV or XLF?

XLF has higher volatility (3.15%) compared to PROV (2.31%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PROV dropped -91.83% vs XLF's -82.69%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

PROV currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.99 vs 0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.