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AADTX vs. VTHRX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in American Funds 2025 Target Date Retirement Fund (AADTX) and Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, AADTX achieves a 4.92% return, which is significantly lower than VTHRX's 7.80% return. Over the past 10 years, AADTX has underperformed VTHRX with an annualized return of 7.86%, while VTHRX has yielded a comparatively higher 8.89% annualized return.


AADTX

1D
-0.12%
1M
1.57%
YTD
4.92%
6M
5.62%
1Y
14.22%
3Y*
11.75%
5Y*
5.76%
10Y*
7.86%

VTHRX

1D
0.15%
1M
3.00%
YTD
7.80%
6M
8.65%
1Y
19.60%
3Y*
14.42%
5Y*
6.97%
10Y*
8.89%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
AADTX
American Funds 2025 Target Date Retirement Fund
4.92%14.20%8.97%11.57%-13.04%11.12%13.33%17.35%-3.74%14.95%
VTHRX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund
7.80%16.25%10.43%16.24%-16.28%11.37%14.11%21.08%-5.85%15.24%

Correlation

The correlation between AADTX and VTHRX is 0.95, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.95

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.95

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.96

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.97

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 5, 2007

0.98

The correlation between AADTX and VTHRX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.95 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

AADTX vs. VTHRX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

AADTX
AADTX Risk / Return Rank: 6363
Overall Rank
AADTX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6767
Sharpe Ratio Rank
AADTX Sortino Ratio Rank: 6969
Sortino Ratio Rank
AADTX Omega Ratio Rank: 6969
Omega Ratio Rank
AADTX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5151
Calmar Ratio Rank
AADTX Martin Ratio Rank: 6262
Martin Ratio Rank

VTHRX
VTHRX Risk / Return Rank: 7070
Overall Rank
VTHRX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7373
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTHRX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7373
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTHRX Omega Ratio Rank: 7171
Omega Ratio Rank
VTHRX Calmar Ratio Rank: 6363
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTHRX Martin Ratio Rank: 6969
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for American Funds 2025 Target Date Retirement Fund (AADTX) and Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


AADTXVTHRXDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.39

2.48

-0.09

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.46

3.54

-0.08

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.47

1.47

0.00

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.75

3.05

-0.30

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

12.37

13.41

-1.04

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current AADTX Sharpe Ratio is 2.39, which is comparable to the VTHRX Sharpe Ratio of 2.48. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of AADTX and VTHRX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


AADTXVTHRXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.39

2.48

-0.09

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.71

0.68

+0.03

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.88

0.79

+0.09

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.51

0.50

0.00

Drawdowns

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum AADTX drawdown since its inception was -48.80%, roughly equal to the maximum VTHRX drawdown of -49.57%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for AADTX and VTHRX.


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Drawdown Indicators


AADTXVTHRXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-48.80%

-49.57%

+0.77%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-5.30%

-6.56%

+1.26%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-6.77%

-9.64%

+2.87%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-19.02%

-22.75%

+3.73%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-19.24%

-24.86%

+5.62%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.12%

0.00%

-0.12%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.15%

-6.19%

+0.04%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.18%

1.49%

-0.31%

Volatility

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for American Funds 2025 Target Date Retirement Fund (AADTX) is 1.95%, while Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX) has a volatility of 2.60%. This indicates that AADTX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than VTHRX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


AADTXVTHRXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.95%

2.60%

-0.65%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.89%

6.53%

-1.64%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

6.04%

8.09%

-2.05%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

8.21%

10.36%

-2.15%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

8.93%

11.26%

-2.33%

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Expense Ratio Comparison

AADTX has a 0.34% expense ratio, which is higher than VTHRX's 0.08% expense ratio.


Dividends

AADTX vs. VTHRX - Dividend Comparison

AADTX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 7.03%, more than VTHRX's 3.74% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
AADTX
American Funds 2025 Target Date Retirement Fund
7.03%7.38%5.18%3.05%3.96%6.24%3.58%3.68%4.06%2.38%3.12%5.82%
VTHRX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund
3.74%4.03%3.63%2.59%2.53%17.56%2.56%2.38%2.71%0.06%2.38%3.72%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.95, AADTX and VTHRX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

VTHRX has higher volatility (2.60%) compared to AADTX (1.95%). In terms of maximum drawdown, AADTX dropped -48.80% vs VTHRX's -49.57%.

VTHRX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.48 vs 2.39), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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