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Performance
PA=F Performance Chart
Palladium (PA=F) is down 19.3% since the beginning of the year. PA=F is currently trading at $1,316 per share. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of PA=F shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $462.
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Returns By Period
Palladium (PA=F) has returned -19.25% so far this year and 28.37% over the past 12 months. Over the last ten years, PA=F has returned 9.13% per year, falling short of the S&P 500 Index benchmark, which averaged 13.66% annually.
Palladium
- 1D
- -4.19%
- 1M
- -10.80%
- YTD
- -19.25%
- 6M
- -12.77%
- 1Y
- 28.37%
- 3Y*
- -1.79%
- 5Y*
- -14.30%
- 10Y*
- 9.13%
Benchmark (S&P 500 Index)
- 1D
- -0.74%
- 1M
- 4.90%
- YTD
- 10.35%
- 6M
- 10.28%
- 1Y
- 26.52%
- 3Y*
- 20.83%
- 5Y*
- 12.30%
- 10Y*
- 13.66%
PA=F Monthly Returns History
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 6, 2006, PA=F's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.03%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 5.6 years.
Historically, 59% of months were positive and 41% were negative. The best month was Feb 2008 with a return of +36.2%, while the worst month was Aug 2008 at -25.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 7 months.
On a daily basis, PA=F closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 25, 2020 with a return of +20.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -20.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.63% | 6.15% | -17.91% | 3.75% | -10.84% | -3.34% | -19.25% | ||||||
| 2025 | 17.81% | -14.92% | 9.74% | -6.63% | 3.66% | 14.30% | 8.96% | -6.26% | 13.85% | 13.03% | 4.84% | 6.80% | 79.07% |
| 2024 | -9.81% | -5.46% | 8.15% | -6.83% | -4.45% | 7.38% | -5.40% | 4.79% | 3.18% | 11.55% | -10.93% | -8.45% | -17.98% |
| 2023 | -8.14% | -13.41% | 2.64% | 2.25% | -10.44% | -9.10% | 5.24% | -4.73% | 2.51% | -10.84% | -8.90% | 8.74% | -38.30% |
| 2022 | 22.88% | 6.37% | -8.40% | 1.56% | -13.74% | -3.62% | 11.58% | -3.15% | 4.84% | -15.38% | 0.98% | -3.45% | -5.52% |
| 2021 | -9.96% | 5.36% | 12.34% | 12.15% | -2.96% | -2.38% | -4.19% | -7.41% | -23.09% | 4.82% | -12.72% | 9.65% | -22.50% |
Benchmark Metrics
Palladium has an annualized alpha of 6.81%, beta of 0.46, and R2 of 0.05 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 09, 2006.
- This asset participated in 80.77% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 61.35% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.46 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.05 this asset is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this asset's risk.
- R2 of 0.05 means this asset moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.81%
- Beta
- 0.46
- R²
- 0.05
- Upside Capture
- 61.35%
- Downside Capture
- 80.77%
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
PA=F ranks 2 for risk / return — in the bottom 2% of futures on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below present risk-adjusted performance metrics for Palladium (PA=F) and compare them to S&P 500 Index.
| PA=F | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.77 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.15 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.13 | 1.41 | -0.27 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.63 | 2.93 | -2.30 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.37 | 13.52 | -12.15 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Palladium. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Palladium was 74.88%, occurring on Aug 5, 2024. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current Palladium drawdown is 60.00%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 bear market2024 | -74.88%Aug 2024 | 2y 5mo | — | 4y 2moMar 2022 - now |
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -72.30%Dec 2008 | 9mo 10d | 1y 10mo | 2y 7moFeb 2008 - Oct 2010 |
2016 bear market2016 | -48.27%Jan 2016 | 1y 4mo | 1y 7mo | 2y 11moSep 2014 - Aug 2017 |
COVID crash2020 | -46.67%Mar 2020 | 23d | 1y 28d | 1y 1moFeb 2020 - Apr 2021 |
2021 bear market2021 | -46.14%Dec 2021 | 7mo 14d | 2mo 19d | 10mo 3dMay 2021 - Mar 2022 |
Drawdown Indicators
| PA=F | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -74.88% | -56.78% | -18.10% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -39.38% | -9.10% | -30.28% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -41.53% | -18.90% | -22.63% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -74.88% | -25.43% | -49.45% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -74.88% | -33.92% | -40.96% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -60.00% | -0.74% | -59.26% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -26.89% | -10.72% | -16.17% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 19.29% | 1.97% | +17.32% |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Build a portfolio with PA=F
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