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magic 15 August
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


CRS 25.00%FSS 25.00%ENSG 25.00%AVGO 25.00%EquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in magic 15 August, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 13, 2026, the magic 15 August returned 19.28% Year-To-Date and 35.95% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%-0.93%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
magic 15 August
-0.32%-0.98%19.28%16.71%48.68%58.10%42.83%35.95%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
-0.91%-13.12%10.62%6.58%54.87%67.17%55.09%40.96%
CRS
Carpenter Technology Corporation
-0.17%30.71%78.53%74.76%126.36%121.69%68.28%35.01%
ENSG
The Ensign Group, Inc.
1.52%-16.67%-14.23%-14.89%-1.09%17.27%12.36%23.42%
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
-1.09%-5.06%0.75%-1.28%10.06%21.42%21.74%24.85%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 6, 2009, magic 15 August's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.49%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.3 years.

Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +21.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -18.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, magic 15 August closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 19, 2020 with a return of +12.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -15.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-1.30%13.71%-4.10%12.74%-0.86%-0.84%19.28%
20255.28%-6.48%-9.45%8.32%19.12%12.64%3.32%2.21%2.60%11.13%2.49%-6.48%49.54%
2024-1.44%8.11%3.78%2.42%12.94%2.43%16.65%0.61%2.69%-3.20%8.94%2.68%70.97%
202312.23%-0.72%2.14%3.02%1.60%14.61%1.79%2.84%-2.68%-0.98%13.10%9.44%70.46%
2022-8.24%10.12%5.29%-7.76%0.53%-10.58%12.68%0.61%-7.82%16.11%9.05%-3.23%12.97%
20214.02%13.06%5.03%-2.52%7.27%-4.49%-1.70%-2.61%-4.16%4.88%-2.13%10.25%28.09%

Benchmark Metrics

magic 15 August has an annualized alpha of 14.80%, beta of 1.27, and R2 of 0.61 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 06, 2009.

  • This portfolio captured 174.91% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 97.72% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 14.80% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
14.80%
Beta
1.27
0.61
Upside Capture
174.91%
Downside Capture
97.72%

Expense Ratio

magic 15 August has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


The portfolio doesn't include any funds that charge management fees.

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

magic 15 August ranks 55 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


magic 15 August Risk / Return Rank: 5555
Overall Rank
magic 15 August Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4343
Sharpe Ratio Rank
magic 15 August Sortino Ratio Rank: 5050
Sortino Ratio Rank
magic 15 August Omega Ratio Rank: 3737
Omega Ratio Rank
magic 15 August Calmar Ratio Rank: 8787
Calmar Ratio Rank
magic 15 August Martin Ratio Rank: 5858
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for magic 15 August and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.88

1.86

+0.02

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.70

2.53

+0.16

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.32

1.34

-0.02

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

4.75

2.53

+2.22

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

12.00

11.37

+0.63


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
73
1.111.691.221.774.11
CRS
Carpenter Technology Corporation
93
2.643.381.446.6815.72
ENSG
The Ensign Group, Inc.
38
-0.040.161.02-0.03-0.12
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
52
0.300.731.090.560.97

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

The current magic 15 August Sharpe ratio is 1.88 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.54 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of magic 15 August compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

magic 15 August provided a 0.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.37%0.40%0.53%0.89%1.55%1.52%1.76%1.64%1.82%1.36%1.49%1.44%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.65%0.70%0.94%1.71%3.02%2.24%3.05%3.54%3.11%1.87%1.43%1.13%
CRS
Carpenter Technology Corporation
0.14%0.25%0.47%1.13%2.17%2.74%2.75%1.61%2.13%1.41%1.99%2.38%
ENSG
The Ensign Group, Inc.
0.17%0.14%0.18%0.21%0.24%0.25%0.28%0.40%0.47%0.78%0.73%0.67%
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
0.53%0.52%0.52%0.51%0.77%0.83%0.96%0.99%1.56%1.39%1.79%1.58%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the magic 15 August. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the magic 15 August was 44.50%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 165 trading sessions.

The current magic 15 August drawdown is 4.12%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

COVID crash2020
-44.50%Mar 2020
1mo 3d7mo 27d
9moFeb 2020 - Nov 2020
2011 bear market2011
-31.15%Nov 2011
4mo 20d1y 1mo
1y 6moJul 2011 - Jan 2013
2025 selloff2025
-26.16%Apr 2025
2mo 14d1mo 5d
3mo 19dJan 2025 - May 2025
2016 bear market2016
-23.85%Feb 2016
7mo 22d9mo 11d
1y 4moJun 2015 - Nov 2016
2010 bear market2010
-23.33%Aug 2010
4mo 6d3mo 3d
7mo 9dApr 2010 - Dec 2010

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.57

1.47

1.42

1.37

1.38

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.38, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

magic 15 August correlation to the S&P 500 Index

magic 15 August has a 0.63 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.63

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.70

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.73

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.71

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 6, 2009

0.73


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. AVGO has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.61, while ENSG has the lowest at 0.44.

ENSG
0.44
FSS
0.58
CRS
0.58
AVGO
0.61

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. magic 15 August. CRS has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.77, while ENSG has the lowest at 0.62.

ENSG
0.62
AVGO
0.66
FSS
0.75
CRS
0.77

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

ENSGAVGOCRSFSS
ENSG1.000.270.320.39
AVGO0.271.000.370.36
CRS0.320.371.000.51
FSS0.390.360.511.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Aug 6, 2009
Diversification Analysis

Find what magic 15 August is missing

See which holdings overlap, where magic 15 August is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

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