Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 25% |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | Industrials | 25% |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | Healthcare | 25% |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | Industrials | 25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in magic 15 August, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Aug 6, 2009, corresponding to the inception date of AVGO
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the magic 15 August returned 7.54% Year-To-Date and 34.26% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio magic 15 August | -1.25% | -4.26% | 7.54% | 13.76% | 74.63% | 60.31% | 40.28% | 34.26% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | -3.17% | -2.39% | 24.42% | 58.76% | 109.69% | 107.80% | 58.91% | 30.03% |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | -0.39% | -7.45% | 0.75% | -6.99% | 42.50% | 26.91% | 23.87% | 25.11% |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | -1.74% | -7.72% | 12.91% | 13.12% | 48.89% | 27.60% | 16.22% | 25.41% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.34% | 0.44% | -8.93% | -6.61% | 84.26% | 72.07% | 48.84% | 38.50% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 7, 2009, magic 15 August's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.47%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.4 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +21.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -18.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, magic 15 August closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 19, 2020 with a return of +12.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -15.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.30% | 13.71% | -4.10% | -0.09% | 7.54% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.28% | -6.48% | -9.45% | 8.32% | 19.12% | 12.64% | 3.32% | 2.21% | 2.60% | 11.13% | 2.49% | -6.48% | 49.54% |
| 2024 | -1.44% | 8.11% | 3.78% | 2.42% | 12.94% | 2.43% | 16.65% | 0.61% | 2.69% | -3.20% | 8.94% | 2.68% | 70.97% |
| 2023 | 12.23% | -0.72% | 2.14% | 3.02% | 1.60% | 14.61% | 1.79% | 2.84% | -2.68% | -0.98% | 13.10% | 9.44% | 70.46% |
| 2022 | -8.24% | 10.12% | 5.29% | -7.76% | 0.53% | -10.58% | 12.68% | 0.61% | -7.82% | 16.11% | 9.05% | -3.23% | 12.97% |
| 2021 | 4.02% | 13.06% | 5.03% | -2.52% | 7.27% | -4.49% | -1.70% | -2.61% | -4.16% | 4.88% | -2.13% | 10.25% | 28.09% |
Benchmark Metrics
magic 15 August has an annualized alpha of 15.44%, beta of 1.27, and R² of 0.61 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 07, 2009.
- This portfolio captured 178.78% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 98.09% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 15.44% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 15.44%
- Beta
- 1.27
- R²
- 0.61
- Upside Capture
- 178.78%
- Downside Capture
- 98.09%
Expense Ratio
magic 15 August has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
magic 15 August ranks 97 for risk / return — in the top 97% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.55 | 0.88 | +1.67 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.54 | 1.37 | +2.17 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.45 | 1.21 | +0.25 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 6.94 | 1.39 | +5.55 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 19.65 | 6.43 | +13.21 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | 91 | 2.15 | 2.89 | 1.39 | 5.98 | 13.90 |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | 76 | 1.19 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 2.44 | 4.93 |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | 88 | 1.79 | 2.87 | 1.35 | 3.99 | 10.59 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 84 | 1.76 | 2.49 | 1.32 | 3.08 | 7.50 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
magic 15 August provided a 0.41% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.41% | 0.40% | 0.53% | 0.89% | 1.55% | 1.52% | 1.76% | 1.64% | 1.82% | 1.36% | 1.49% | 1.44% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | 0.20% | 0.25% | 0.47% | 1.13% | 2.17% | 2.74% | 2.75% | 1.61% | 2.13% | 1.41% | 1.99% | 2.38% |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | 0.52% | 0.52% | 0.52% | 0.51% | 0.77% | 0.83% | 0.96% | 0.99% | 1.56% | 1.39% | 1.79% | 1.58% |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | 0.13% | 0.14% | 0.18% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 0.25% | 0.28% | 0.40% | 0.47% | 0.78% | 0.73% | 0.67% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.79% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the magic 15 August. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the magic 15 August was 44.50%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 165 trading sessions.
The current magic 15 August drawdown is 4.46%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -44.5% | Feb 14, 2020 | 23 | Mar 18, 2020 | 165 | Nov 10, 2020 | 188 |
| -31.15% | Jul 8, 2011 | 99 | Nov 25, 2011 | 288 | Jan 22, 2013 | 387 |
| -26.16% | Jan 24, 2025 | 52 | Apr 8, 2025 | 24 | May 13, 2025 | 76 |
| -23.85% | Jun 24, 2015 | 161 | Feb 11, 2016 | 196 | Nov 18, 2016 | 357 |
| -23.33% | Apr 26, 2010 | 89 | Aug 30, 2010 | 65 | Dec 1, 2010 | 154 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | ENSG | AVGO | CRS | FSS | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.44 | 0.61 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| ENSG | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
| AVGO | 0.61 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.66 |
| CRS | 0.58 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.77 |
| FSS | 0.58 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Portfolio | 0.73 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 1.00 |