Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | Industrials | 25% |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | Industrials | 25% |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | Healthcare | 25% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 25% |
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Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in magic 15 August, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the magic 15 August returned 19.28% Year-To-Date and 35.95% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio magic 15 August | -0.32% | -0.98% | 19.28% | 16.71% | 48.68% | 58.10% | 42.83% | 35.95% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | -0.91% | -13.12% | 10.62% | 6.58% | 54.87% | 67.17% | 55.09% | 40.96% |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | -0.17% | 30.71% | 78.53% | 74.76% | 126.36% | 121.69% | 68.28% | 35.01% |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | 1.52% | -16.67% | -14.23% | -14.89% | -1.09% | 17.27% | 12.36% | 23.42% |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | -1.09% | -5.06% | 0.75% | -1.28% | 10.06% | 21.42% | 21.74% | 24.85% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 6, 2009, magic 15 August's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.49%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.3 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +21.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -18.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, magic 15 August closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 19, 2020 with a return of +12.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -15.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.30% | 13.71% | -4.10% | 12.74% | -0.86% | -0.84% | 19.28% | ||||||
| 2025 | 5.28% | -6.48% | -9.45% | 8.32% | 19.12% | 12.64% | 3.32% | 2.21% | 2.60% | 11.13% | 2.49% | -6.48% | 49.54% |
| 2024 | -1.44% | 8.11% | 3.78% | 2.42% | 12.94% | 2.43% | 16.65% | 0.61% | 2.69% | -3.20% | 8.94% | 2.68% | 70.97% |
| 2023 | 12.23% | -0.72% | 2.14% | 3.02% | 1.60% | 14.61% | 1.79% | 2.84% | -2.68% | -0.98% | 13.10% | 9.44% | 70.46% |
| 2022 | -8.24% | 10.12% | 5.29% | -7.76% | 0.53% | -10.58% | 12.68% | 0.61% | -7.82% | 16.11% | 9.05% | -3.23% | 12.97% |
| 2021 | 4.02% | 13.06% | 5.03% | -2.52% | 7.27% | -4.49% | -1.70% | -2.61% | -4.16% | 4.88% | -2.13% | 10.25% | 28.09% |
Benchmark Metrics
magic 15 August has an annualized alpha of 14.80%, beta of 1.27, and R2 of 0.61 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 06, 2009.
- This portfolio captured 174.91% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 97.72% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 14.80% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 14.80%
- Beta
- 1.27
- R²
- 0.61
- Upside Capture
- 174.91%
- Downside Capture
- 97.72%
Expense Ratio
magic 15 August has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
magic 15 August ranks 55 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for magic 15 August and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.88 | 1.86 | +0.02 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.70 | 2.53 | +0.16 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.32 | 1.34 | -0.02 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.75 | 2.53 | +2.22 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.00 | 11.37 | +0.63 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 73 | 1.11 | 1.69 | 1.22 | 1.77 | 4.11 |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | 93 | 2.64 | 3.38 | 1.44 | 6.68 | 15.72 |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | 38 | -0.04 | 0.16 | 1.02 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | 52 | 0.30 | 0.73 | 1.09 | 0.56 | 0.97 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
magic 15 August provided a 0.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.37% | 0.40% | 0.53% | 0.89% | 1.55% | 1.52% | 1.76% | 1.64% | 1.82% | 1.36% | 1.49% | 1.44% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.65% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | 0.14% | 0.25% | 0.47% | 1.13% | 2.17% | 2.74% | 2.75% | 1.61% | 2.13% | 1.41% | 1.99% | 2.38% |
ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | 0.17% | 0.14% | 0.18% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 0.25% | 0.28% | 0.40% | 0.47% | 0.78% | 0.73% | 0.67% |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | 0.53% | 0.52% | 0.52% | 0.51% | 0.77% | 0.83% | 0.96% | 0.99% | 1.56% | 1.39% | 1.79% | 1.58% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the magic 15 August. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the magic 15 August was 44.50%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 165 trading sessions.
The current magic 15 August drawdown is 4.12%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -44.50%Mar 2020 | 1mo 3d | 7mo 27d | 9moFeb 2020 - Nov 2020 |
2011 bear market2011 | -31.15%Nov 2011 | 4mo 20d | 1y 1mo | 1y 6moJul 2011 - Jan 2013 |
2025 selloff2025 | -26.16%Apr 2025 | 2mo 14d | 1mo 5d | 3mo 19dJan 2025 - May 2025 |
2016 bear market2016 | -23.85%Feb 2016 | 7mo 22d | 9mo 11d | 1y 4moJun 2015 - Nov 2016 |
2010 bear market2010 | -23.33%Aug 2010 | 4mo 6d | 3mo 3d | 7mo 9dApr 2010 - Dec 2010 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.57 | 1.47 | 1.42 | 1.37 | 1.38 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.38, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
magic 15 August correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.63 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.70 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.73 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.71 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 6, 2009 | 0.73 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. AVGO has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.61, while ENSG has the lowest at 0.44.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what magic 15 August is missing
See which holdings overlap, where magic 15 August is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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