Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 25% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Short-Term Bond | 25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 25% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 25% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 9, 2026, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio returned 2.39% Year-To-Date and 7.30% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio | 0.02% | -2.38% | 2.39% | 3.17% | 15.65% | 13.23% | 6.59% | 7.30% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.26% | -8.41% | 0.24% | 3.07% | 30.18% | 29.71% | 17.55% | 12.56% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.05% | -0.19% | 0.34% | 0.74% | 3.33% | 4.04% | 1.70% | 1.63% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.52% | -1.31% | -1.08% | -1.51% | 3.67% | -2.05% | -6.70% | -1.85% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.25% | 0.24% | 8.72% | 8.77% | 24.91% | 21.45% | 13.49% | 15.35% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 9, 2010, Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.57%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 10.2 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +5.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -5.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +3.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -3.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.47% | 3.41% | -5.47% | 2.12% | 1.21% | -2.06% | 2.39% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.60% | 1.73% | 0.89% | 1.02% | 0.68% | 2.21% | 0.11% | 2.00% | 4.85% | 1.92% | 1.60% | 0.02% | 21.38% |
| 2024 | -0.43% | 0.79% | 3.28% | -1.96% | 2.52% | 1.41% | 2.83% | 1.87% | 2.55% | -0.69% | 1.21% | -2.43% | 11.31% |
| 2023 | 5.11% | -3.42% | 4.53% | 0.76% | -1.06% | 1.05% | 0.83% | -1.40% | -4.33% | 0.00% | 5.54% | 3.91% | 11.51% |
| 2022 | -2.88% | 0.32% | -0.44% | -5.18% | -1.17% | -2.86% | 2.36% | -3.14% | -5.45% | 0.05% | 5.42% | -1.41% | -13.92% |
| 2021 | -1.96% | -2.27% | -0.31% | 2.86% | 2.14% | -0.32% | 2.22% | 0.63% | -2.74% | 2.64% | 0.31% | 1.42% | 4.50% |
Benchmark Metrics
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 4.45%, beta of 0.19, and R2 of 0.20 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 09, 2010.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (30.92%) than losses (21.10%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.19 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.20 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.20 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.45%
- Beta
- 0.19
- R²
- 0.20
- Upside Capture
- 30.92%
- Downside Capture
- 21.10%
Expense Ratio
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.18%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio ranks 26 for risk / return — below 26% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.70 | 1.94 | -0.24 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.23 | 2.63 | -0.39 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.33 | 1.35 | -0.02 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.04 | 2.59 | -0.55 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.86 | 11.84 | -4.99 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 33 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 3.78 |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 86 | 2.51 | 4.11 | 1.51 | 3.76 | 15.12 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 15 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.49 | 1.19 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 69 | 2.08 | 2.80 | 1.38 | 2.81 | 12.97 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio provided a 2.34% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.34% | 2.34% | 2.36% | 1.96% | 1.42% | 0.75% | 1.00% | 1.57% | 1.60% | 1.30% | 1.33% | 1.31% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.69% | 3.81% | 3.92% | 2.99% | 1.30% | 0.26% | 0.94% | 2.12% | 1.72% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.54% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.63% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.05% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio was 18.78%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 367 trading sessions.
The current Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio drawdown is 4.39%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -18.78%Oct 2022 | 11mo 14d | 1y 5mo | 2y 5moNov 2021 - Apr 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -10.76%Mar 2020 | 9d | 27d | 1mo 6dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2013 pullback2013 | -8.27%Jun 2013 | 8mo 24d | 11mo 27d | 1y 8moOct 2012 - Jun 2014 |
2026 pullback2026 | -7.72%Mar 2026 | 23d | — | 3mo 8dMar 2026 - now |
2016 pullback2016 | -7.44%Dec 2016 | 5mo 7d | 7mo 21d | 1y 23dJul 2016 - Aug 2017 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.40 | 1.52 | 1.54 | 1.65 | 1.74 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.74, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.55 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.56 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.54 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.48 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 9, 2010 | 0.40 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VOO has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while TLT has the lowest at -0.23.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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