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40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


TLT 20.00%GC=F 40.00%SPY 40.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 26, 2002, corresponding to the inception date of TLT

Returns By Period

As of Apr 3, 2026, the 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds returned 2.19% Year-To-Date and 11.58% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds
-0.57%-5.20%2.19%8.82%27.18%20.60%13.07%11.58%
GC=F
Gold
-1.68%-7.92%8.72%22.48%49.77%33.33%22.19%14.46%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.09%-3.34%-3.56%-1.44%17.51%18.37%11.88%14.11%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.61%-2.56%0.69%-0.91%-0.77%-2.76%-5.75%-1.34%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 28, 2002, 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.90%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.4 years.

Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2009 with a return of +8.6%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -13.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.0%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -5.3%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20264.17%5.13%-7.54%0.92%2.19%
20253.98%0.95%1.79%2.04%1.35%2.42%0.64%3.21%6.74%2.83%1.42%2.36%33.94%
2024-0.08%1.64%4.80%-1.49%3.13%1.85%2.87%2.48%3.58%0.36%1.40%-2.51%19.32%
20236.46%-4.06%5.49%1.14%-0.94%1.80%1.90%-1.90%-5.28%1.01%6.57%3.88%16.36%
2022-3.60%0.90%1.48%-5.97%-1.89%-4.30%2.76%-3.63%-6.31%1.29%6.33%-0.90%-13.69%
2021-2.10%-2.57%0.63%3.97%3.15%-0.96%2.64%1.33%-3.85%4.22%-0.07%2.92%9.29%

Benchmark Metrics

40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds has an annualized alpha of 7.48%, beta of 0.32, and R² of 0.36 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 28, 2002.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (51.99%) than losses (27.85%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.32 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.36 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.36 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
7.48%
Beta
0.32
0.36
Upside Capture
51.99%
Downside Capture
27.85%

Expense Ratio

40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds ranks 79 for risk / return — better than 79% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds Risk / Return Rank: 7979
Overall Rank
40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8282
Sharpe Ratio Rank
40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds Sortino Ratio Rank: 7979
Sortino Ratio Rank
40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds Omega Ratio Rank: 7979
Omega Ratio Rank
40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds Calmar Ratio Rank: 7777
Calmar Ratio Rank
40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds Martin Ratio Rank: 7878
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.75

0.88

+0.87

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.33

1.37

+0.96

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.34

1.21

+0.14

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.74

1.39

+1.35

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

11.46

6.43

+5.03


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
GC=F
Gold
821.722.131.322.649.67
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
530.921.451.221.517.11
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
10-0.07-0.011.00-0.09-0.19

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.75
  • 5-Year: 1.14
  • 10-Year: 1.11
  • All Time: 1.01

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.97 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds provided a 1.35% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.35%1.31%1.34%1.23%1.19%0.78%0.91%1.15%1.34%1.21%1.33%1.35%
GC=F
Gold
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.13%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.51%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds was 24.36%, occurring on Nov 12, 2008. Recovery took 256 trading sessions.

The current 40% Gold 40% SPX 20 long bonds drawdown is 7.08%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-24.36%Mar 19, 2008199Nov 12, 2008256Oct 6, 2009455
-20.14%Jan 3, 2022202Oct 20, 2022296Dec 22, 2023498
-15.54%Feb 24, 202018Mar 18, 202041May 15, 202059
-12.28%May 12, 200628Jun 13, 2006140Nov 30, 2006168
-10.62%Jan 30, 202640Mar 26, 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.78, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkTLTGC=FSPYPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.250.010.990.57
TLT-0.251.000.14-0.250.18
GC=F0.010.141.000.010.73
SPY0.99-0.250.011.000.56
Portfolio0.570.180.730.561.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 28, 2002