Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | Foreign Small & Mid Cap Equities | 30% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | Technology Equities | 30% |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | Leveraged Equities, Semiconductors | 30% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | REIT | 10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in HOT COCOA, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 13, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of SHLD
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio HOT COCOA | 0.41% | -2.91% | 6.18% | 5.93% | 75.48% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | -0.97% | -4.17% | 7.34% | 14.94% | 49.48% | 23.93% | 13.58% | — |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.65% | -3.69% | 14.15% | 4.83% | 57.51% | — | — | — |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 1.08% | -1.70% | -3.87% | -2.71% | 144.73% | 92.19% | 44.90% | 50.94% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 1.61% | -4.14% | 3.82% | 1.04% | 2.32% | 7.60% | 4.11% | 6.16% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 14, 2023, HOT COCOA's average daily return is +0.20%, while the average monthly return is +3.87%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.5 years.
Historically, 72% of months were positive and 28% were negative. The best month was May 2025 with a return of +17.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -7.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, HOT COCOA closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +14.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -9.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.83% | 0.07% | -7.38% | 3.37% | 6.18% | ||||||||
| 2025 | -1.76% | 2.23% | -1.72% | 3.20% | 17.05% | 14.79% | 5.57% | 2.17% | 10.29% | 5.69% | -5.70% | 1.83% | 65.27% |
| 2024 | 4.51% | 15.84% | 8.90% | -5.33% | 13.07% | 4.65% | 0.54% | 2.09% | 1.19% | -0.84% | 2.83% | -1.44% | 54.14% |
| 2023 | -3.82% | -3.45% | 13.77% | 10.85% | 17.11% |
Benchmark Metrics
HOT COCOA has an annualized alpha of 25.81%, beta of 1.63, and R² of 0.73 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 14, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 242.46% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 64.70% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 25.81% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 1.63 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index — expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- 25.81%
- Beta
- 1.63
- R²
- 0.73
- Upside Capture
- 242.46%
- Downside Capture
- 64.70%
Expense Ratio
HOT COCOA has an expense ratio of 0.56%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
HOT COCOA ranks 94 for risk / return — in the top 94% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.40 | 0.88 | +1.52 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.02 | 1.37 | +1.66 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.45 | 1.21 | +0.24 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.01 | 1.39 | +3.62 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 17.18 | 6.43 | +10.75 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 95 | 2.69 | 3.38 | 1.55 | 3.76 | 15.42 |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 90 | 2.26 | 2.92 | 1.39 | 3.83 | 11.11 |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 88 | 1.89 | 2.43 | 1.34 | 4.65 | 12.68 |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 15 | 0.14 | 0.31 | 1.04 | 0.24 | 0.82 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
HOT COCOA provided a 1.51% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.51% | 1.54% | 1.83% | 1.41% | 1.41% | 0.98% | 0.86% | 0.63% | 0.66% | 0.42% | 0.56% | 0.23% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 2.97% | 3.05% | 4.31% | 3.29% | 3.17% | 2.39% | 1.67% | 0.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.48% | 0.55% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 0.48% | 0.39% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.14% | 0.72% | 0.93% | 0.32% | 0.46% | 0.39% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 3.36% | 3.45% | 3.43% | 3.31% | 3.70% | 2.61% | 3.15% | 3.06% | 3.78% | 3.25% | 4.22% | 1.09% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the HOT COCOA. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the HOT COCOA was 21.13%, occurring on Apr 4, 2025. Recovery took 25 trading sessions.
The current HOT COCOA drawdown is 7.86%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -21.13% | Nov 8, 2024 | 100 | Apr 4, 2025 | 25 | May 12, 2025 | 125 |
| -16.32% | Jun 20, 2024 | 34 | Aug 7, 2024 | 43 | Oct 8, 2024 | 77 |
| -15.23% | Feb 26, 2026 | 23 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -12.63% | Mar 8, 2024 | 30 | Apr 19, 2024 | 21 | May 20, 2024 | 51 |
| -12.2% | Oct 30, 2025 | 17 | Nov 21, 2025 | 32 | Jan 9, 2026 | 49 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | XLRE | SHLD | USD | AVDV | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.82 |
| XLRE | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.11 | 0.49 | 0.27 |
| SHLD | 0.47 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| USD | 0.73 | 0.11 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.94 |
| AVDV | 0.60 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.58 |
| Portfolio | 0.82 | 0.27 | 0.55 | 0.94 | 0.58 | 1.00 |