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HOT COCOA
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in HOT COCOA, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 13, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of SHLD

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
HOT COCOA
0.41%-2.91%6.18%5.93%75.48%
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
-0.97%-4.17%7.34%14.94%49.48%23.93%13.58%
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
0.65%-3.69%14.15%4.83%57.51%
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
1.08%-1.70%-3.87%-2.71%144.73%92.19%44.90%50.94%
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
1.61%-4.14%3.82%1.04%2.32%7.60%4.11%6.16%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 14, 2023, HOT COCOA's average daily return is +0.20%, while the average monthly return is +3.87%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.5 years.

Historically, 72% of months were positive and 28% were negative. The best month was May 2025 with a return of +17.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -7.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, HOT COCOA closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +14.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -9.2%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202610.83%0.07%-7.38%3.37%6.18%
2025-1.76%2.23%-1.72%3.20%17.05%14.79%5.57%2.17%10.29%5.69%-5.70%1.83%65.27%
20244.51%15.84%8.90%-5.33%13.07%4.65%0.54%2.09%1.19%-0.84%2.83%-1.44%54.14%
2023-3.82%-3.45%13.77%10.85%17.11%

Benchmark Metrics

HOT COCOA has an annualized alpha of 25.81%, beta of 1.63, and R² of 0.73 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 14, 2023.

  • This portfolio captured 242.46% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 64.70% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 25.81% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 1.63 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index — expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.

Alpha
25.81%
Beta
1.63
0.73
Upside Capture
242.46%
Downside Capture
64.70%

Expense Ratio

HOT COCOA has an expense ratio of 0.56%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

HOT COCOA ranks 94 for risk / return — in the top 94% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


HOT COCOA Risk / Return Rank: 9494
Overall Rank
HOT COCOA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9494
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HOT COCOA Sortino Ratio Rank: 9494
Sortino Ratio Rank
HOT COCOA Omega Ratio Rank: 9393
Omega Ratio Rank
HOT COCOA Calmar Ratio Rank: 9595
Calmar Ratio Rank
HOT COCOA Martin Ratio Rank: 9292
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.40

0.88

+1.52

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.02

1.37

+1.66

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.45

1.21

+0.24

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

5.01

1.39

+3.62

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

17.18

6.43

+10.75


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
952.693.381.553.7615.42
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
902.262.921.393.8311.11
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
881.892.431.344.6512.68
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
150.140.311.040.240.82

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

HOT COCOA Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.40
  • All Time: 1.95

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.00 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of HOT COCOA compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

HOT COCOA provided a 1.51% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.51%1.54%1.83%1.41%1.41%0.98%0.86%0.63%0.66%0.42%0.56%0.23%
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
2.97%3.05%4.31%3.29%3.17%2.39%1.67%0.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
0.48%0.55%0.53%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
0.48%0.39%0.10%0.05%0.30%0.00%0.14%0.72%0.93%0.32%0.46%0.39%
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
3.36%3.45%3.43%3.31%3.70%2.61%3.15%3.06%3.78%3.25%4.22%1.09%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the HOT COCOA. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the HOT COCOA was 21.13%, occurring on Apr 4, 2025. Recovery took 25 trading sessions.

The current HOT COCOA drawdown is 7.86%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-21.13%Nov 8, 2024100Apr 4, 202525May 12, 2025125
-16.32%Jun 20, 202434Aug 7, 202443Oct 8, 202477
-15.23%Feb 26, 202623Mar 30, 2026
-12.63%Mar 8, 202430Apr 19, 202421May 20, 202451
-12.2%Oct 30, 202517Nov 21, 202532Jan 9, 202649

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkXLRESHLDUSDAVDVPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.450.470.730.600.82
XLRE0.451.000.290.110.490.27
SHLD0.470.291.000.310.460.55
USD0.730.110.311.000.390.94
AVDV0.600.490.460.391.000.58
Portfolio0.820.270.550.940.581.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Sep 14, 2023