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all weather
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


TLT 25.00%IEF 15.00%GLD 7.50%DBC 7.50%SPY 45.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in all weather, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 6, 2006, corresponding to the inception date of DBC

Returns By Period

As of Apr 11, 2026, the all weather returned 3.13% Year-To-Date and 8.61% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-0.11%0.61%-0.42%4.03%29.40%18.38%10.55%12.70%
Portfolio
all weather
-0.18%-0.17%3.13%5.55%22.70%11.86%6.77%8.61%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.24%-0.35%0.34%-2.42%4.62%-3.00%-5.82%-1.38%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
-0.07%0.74%-0.09%4.64%31.01%19.89%12.07%14.53%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.17%-0.43%0.02%0.18%5.25%2.13%-0.78%0.78%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
-0.18%-8.21%10.30%18.42%49.52%32.89%21.77%13.80%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
-0.73%1.32%27.46%33.48%42.80%10.32%14.31%9.46%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 7, 2006, all weather's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.67%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.7 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +7.2%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -11.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, all weather closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +5.6%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -4.3%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.23%2.05%-3.19%2.12%3.13%
20252.14%1.39%-1.80%-0.81%1.93%3.62%0.83%1.47%3.60%1.91%0.77%-0.54%15.36%
20240.16%1.44%2.80%-3.54%3.34%2.18%2.07%1.79%2.11%-1.84%2.95%-2.95%10.70%
20235.77%-3.57%4.03%0.93%-1.33%2.90%1.57%-1.73%-4.74%-2.22%7.23%4.68%13.46%
2022-3.20%-0.74%0.62%-6.68%-0.23%-4.82%4.85%-3.91%-7.72%2.18%5.54%-3.55%-17.15%
2021-1.52%-0.16%0.39%4.02%1.24%1.93%2.61%1.06%-2.94%4.23%-0.25%2.24%13.36%

Benchmark Metrics

all weather has an annualized alpha of 4.23%, beta of 0.38, and R² of 0.66 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 07, 2006.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (51.51%) than losses (44.12%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.23% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.38 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
4.23%
Beta
0.38
0.66
Upside Capture
51.51%
Downside Capture
44.12%

Expense Ratio

all weather has an expense ratio of 0.20%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

all weather ranks 80 for risk / return — in the top 80% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


all weather Risk / Return Rank: 8080
Overall Rank
all weather Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7878
Sharpe Ratio Rank
all weather Sortino Ratio Rank: 8282
Sortino Ratio Rank
all weather Omega Ratio Rank: 8383
Omega Ratio Rank
all weather Calmar Ratio Rank: 7676
Calmar Ratio Rank
all weather Martin Ratio Rank: 8282
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

3.04

2.23

+0.80

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

4.32

3.12

+1.20

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.59

1.42

+0.17

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

5.13

4.05

+1.08

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

22.50

17.91

+4.59


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
110.450.711.080.360.78
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
702.353.261.444.3218.78
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
201.051.551.181.333.81
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
431.822.241.343.0610.54
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
702.443.201.436.5414.58

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

all weather Sharpe ratios as of Apr 11, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 3.04
  • 5-Year: 0.67
  • 10-Year: 0.93
  • All Time: 0.87

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 2.14 to 3.05, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of all weather compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

all weather provided a 2.39% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.39%2.40%2.55%2.28%1.75%1.04%1.22%1.78%2.01%1.69%1.84%1.87%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.52%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.09%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.84%3.77%3.62%2.91%1.96%0.83%1.08%2.08%2.24%1.82%1.81%1.90%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
2.61%3.33%5.22%4.94%0.59%0.00%0.00%1.59%1.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the all weather. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the all weather was 25.13%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 284 trading sessions.

The current all weather drawdown is 1.17%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-25.13%May 21, 2008201Mar 9, 2009284Apr 23, 2010485
-21.48%Dec 28, 2021206Oct 20, 2022414Jun 14, 2024620
-15.48%Feb 21, 202019Mar 18, 202050May 29, 202069
-8.89%Feb 20, 202534Apr 8, 202543Jun 10, 202577
-8.43%Aug 30, 201880Dec 24, 201836Feb 15, 2019116

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.35, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkGLDDBCTLTIEFSPYPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.060.32-0.26-0.270.990.76
GLD0.061.000.350.180.220.060.37
DBC0.320.351.00-0.19-0.170.320.41
TLT-0.260.18-0.191.000.92-0.260.27
IEF-0.270.22-0.170.921.00-0.260.25
SPY0.990.060.32-0.26-0.261.000.76
Portfolio0.760.370.410.270.250.761.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Feb 7, 2006