Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Short-Term Bond | 53% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 25% | |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 15% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 3% | |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 2% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 2% |
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Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Test, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio Test | 0.08% | -0.28% | 3.20% | 3.47% | 9.19% | 7.79% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -1.04% | -8.35% | 27.68% | 28.76% | 30.29% | 12.92% | 11.29% | 8.27% |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.17% | 0.25% | -0.47% | -0.18% | 3.78% | 2.86% | -1.24% | 0.59% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.02% | 0.19% | 0.55% | 0.80% | 3.29% | 4.15% | 1.74% | 1.65% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 1.40% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 31, 2022, Test's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.37%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 15.6 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +3.6%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -4.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Test closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +2.2%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -1.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.60% | 0.58% | -1.55% | 2.87% | 1.35% | -0.63% | 3.20% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.03% | 0.56% | -1.12% | 0.20% | 1.17% | 1.96% | 0.44% | 1.18% | 1.25% | 0.91% | 0.43% | -0.02% | 8.26% |
| 2024 | 0.56% | 0.71% | 1.20% | -1.84% | 1.87% | 1.37% | 1.36% | 1.25% | 1.18% | -1.17% | 1.75% | -0.94% | 7.47% |
| 2023 | 2.66% | -1.78% | 2.40% | 0.61% | -0.54% | 1.25% | 0.97% | -0.42% | -1.86% | -0.81% | 3.58% | 2.41% | 8.63% |
| 2022 | 0.47% | -0.79% | -0.29% | -3.21% | 0.48% | -2.61% | 2.94% | -2.24% | -4.04% | 1.67% | 2.46% | -1.86% | -7.07% |
Benchmark Metrics
Test has an annualized alpha of 1.01%, beta of 0.27, and R2 of 0.77 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 31, 2022.
- This portfolio participated in 38.79% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 29.98% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.27 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 1.01%
- Beta
- 0.27
- R²
- 0.77
- Upside Capture
- 29.98%
- Downside Capture
- 38.79%
Expense Ratio
Test has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Test ranks 81 for risk / return — in the top 81% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Test and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.39 | 1.86 | +0.53 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.50 | 2.53 | +0.96 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.47 | 1.34 | +0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.63 | 2.53 | +1.10 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 16.58 | 11.37 | +5.21 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 71 | 1.86 | 2.53 | 1.34 | 2.53 | 11.37 |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 62 | 1.82 | 2.42 | 1.32 | 3.48 | 9.64 |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 21 | 0.72 | 1.10 | 1.12 | 0.84 | 2.35 |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 85 | 2.43 | 3.97 | 1.50 | 3.64 | 14.45 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Test provided a 2.68% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.68% | 2.74% | 2.81% | 2.19% | 1.05% | 0.29% | 0.69% | 1.51% | 1.33% | 0.84% | 0.70% | 0.62% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.61% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.89% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.68% | 3.81% | 3.92% | 2.99% | 1.30% | 0.26% | 0.94% | 2.12% | 1.72% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.54% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Test. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Test was 10.31%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 301 trading sessions.
The current Test drawdown is 0.74%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -10.31%Oct 2022 | 8mo 13d | 1y 2mo | 1y 10moFeb 2022 - Dec 2023 |
2025 selloff2025 | -4.12%Apr 2025 | 1mo 17d | 1mo 8d | 2mo 25dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -2.44%Mar 2026 | 29d | 18d | 1mo 17dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -2.08%Apr 2024 | 18d | 26d | 1mo 14dApr 2024 - May 2024 |
2025 pullback2025 | -1.82%Jan 2025 | 1mo 2d | 26d | 1mo 28dDec 2024 - Feb 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.72, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.41 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.41, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Test correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.92 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.87 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 31, 2022 | 0.86 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. ^GSPC has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GC=F has the lowest at -0.05.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Test is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Test is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification