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Interesting Future
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


BND 10.00%BTC-USD 10.00%ETH-USD 10.00%VOO 50.00%PHYS 10.00%PSLV 10.00%BondBondCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Interesting Future, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Aug 7, 2015, corresponding to the inception date of ETH-USD

Returns By Period

As of Apr 4, 2026, the Interesting Future returned -6.60% Year-To-Date and 35.84% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-4.18%-3.84%-1.98%21.98%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Interesting Future
-0.02%-5.77%-6.60%-6.02%29.61%24.06%14.73%35.84%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
0.11%-4.01%-3.55%-1.41%23.49%18.47%11.96%14.19%
PHYS
Sprott Physical Gold Trust
-1.97%-9.65%7.18%18.52%47.15%31.43%21.13%13.49%
PSLV
Sprott Physical Silver Trust
-3.56%-13.41%-0.34%46.13%116.44%41.55%21.34%14.56%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.01%-7.96%-23.54%-45.31%-19.57%33.40%2.82%65.95%
ETH-USD
Ethereum
-0.23%-3.55%-30.83%-54.56%12.98%3.12%-0.23%69.54%
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
0.22%-0.91%0.31%0.97%3.73%3.53%0.30%1.70%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 8, 2015, Interesting Future's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +3.40%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.7 years.

Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Feb 2016 with a return of +44.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -15.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Interesting Future closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Feb 11, 2016 with a return of +13.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -17.0%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20260.13%-0.32%-6.12%-0.32%-6.60%
20253.94%-5.14%-2.17%0.78%8.45%3.70%6.81%4.36%4.20%0.66%-1.25%3.47%30.62%
20240.24%11.41%6.41%-4.61%7.83%-0.03%1.02%-1.50%3.35%1.06%10.34%-3.69%34.98%
202311.10%-2.83%8.87%1.70%-1.11%4.01%1.92%-3.25%-3.79%3.56%8.47%4.72%37.22%
2022-7.48%1.65%3.71%-9.38%-4.92%-11.44%11.92%-5.90%-7.16%6.26%1.51%-2.73%-23.65%
20218.36%6.03%10.28%8.27%-1.69%-3.10%4.12%6.35%-6.12%13.24%-0.74%-2.82%48.41%

Benchmark Metrics

Interesting Future has an annualized alpha of 25.45%, beta of 0.73, and R² of 0.31 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 08, 2015.

  • This portfolio captured 130.52% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 29.42% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • R² of 0.31 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
25.45%
Beta
0.73
0.31
Upside Capture
130.52%
Downside Capture
29.42%

Expense Ratio

Interesting Future has an expense ratio of 0.02%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Interesting Future ranks 35 for risk / return — below 35% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


Interesting Future Risk / Return Rank: 3535
Overall Rank
Interesting Future Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6464
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Interesting Future Sortino Ratio Rank: 6161
Sortino Ratio Rank
Interesting Future Omega Ratio Rank: 3737
Omega Ratio Rank
Interesting Future Calmar Ratio Rank: 88
Calmar Ratio Rank
Interesting Future Martin Ratio Rank: 77
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.42

0.88

+0.54

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.99

1.37

+0.62

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.24

1.21

+0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.28

1.39

-1.11

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.75

6.43

-5.68


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
530.981.491.231.537.13
PHYS
Sprott Physical Gold Trust
811.622.011.302.418.56
PSLV
Sprott Physical Silver Trust
831.832.031.352.578.04
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
36-0.44-0.380.96-1.12-2.00
ETH-USD
Ethereum
740.170.821.09-0.93-1.58
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
471.001.421.181.714.64

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Interesting Future Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.42
  • 5-Year: 0.74
  • 10-Year: 1.51
  • All Time: 1.67

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Interesting Future compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Interesting Future provided a 0.98% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.98%0.95%0.99%1.04%1.11%0.83%1.01%1.21%1.31%1.14%1.26%1.31%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
1.18%1.13%1.24%1.46%1.69%1.25%1.54%1.88%2.06%1.78%2.02%2.10%
PHYS
Sprott Physical Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
PSLV
Sprott Physical Silver Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ETH-USD
Ethereum
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
3.92%3.86%3.67%3.09%2.60%2.12%2.38%2.72%2.81%2.54%2.51%2.57%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Interesting Future. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Interesting Future was 34.79%, occurring on Dec 25, 2018. Recovery took 183 trading sessions.

The current Interesting Future drawdown is 14.17%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-34.79%Jan 14, 2018346Dec 25, 2018183Jun 26, 2019529
-33.5%Nov 9, 2021341Oct 15, 2022482Feb 9, 2024823
-33.36%Feb 15, 202031Mar 16, 2020128Jul 22, 2020159
-18.5%Dec 17, 2024113Apr 8, 202549May 27, 2025162
-17.87%Jun 13, 201734Jul 16, 201746Aug 31, 201780

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBNDPHYSPSLVBTC-USDVOOETH-USDPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.010.020.170.201.000.220.56
BND0.011.000.340.220.030.000.030.09
PHYS0.020.341.000.710.090.020.070.22
PSLV0.170.220.711.000.110.150.100.30
BTC-USD0.200.030.090.111.000.170.650.72
VOO1.000.000.020.150.171.000.180.49
ETH-USD0.220.030.070.100.650.181.000.82
Portfolio0.560.090.220.300.720.490.821.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Aug 8, 2015