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40 Split
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


TLT 30.00%GC=F 30.00%SPY 40.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40 Split, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 26, 2002, corresponding to the inception date of TLT

Returns By Period

As of Apr 3, 2026, the 40 Split returned 1.39% Year-To-Date and 9.97% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
40 Split
-0.33%-4.64%1.39%6.50%22.04%16.95%10.23%9.97%
GC=F
Gold
-1.68%-7.92%8.72%22.48%49.77%33.33%22.19%14.46%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.61%-2.56%0.69%-0.91%-0.77%-2.76%-5.75%-1.34%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.09%-3.34%-3.56%-1.44%17.51%18.37%11.88%14.11%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 28, 2002, 40 Split's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.84%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.9 years.

Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +8.9%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -12.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, 40 Split closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -4.7%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20263.27%4.47%-6.82%0.86%1.39%
20253.33%1.42%0.63%1.27%1.12%2.71%0.55%2.66%6.02%2.60%1.16%1.51%27.90%
2024-0.24%1.43%4.07%-2.44%3.29%2.02%2.79%2.42%3.22%-0.52%1.95%-2.99%15.77%
20236.62%-4.03%5.22%1.06%-1.10%2.05%1.42%-2.04%-5.58%-0.19%7.26%4.56%15.31%
2022-3.81%0.15%0.68%-6.72%-1.73%-4.28%3.32%-3.80%-6.86%0.98%6.35%-1.63%-16.78%
2021-2.22%-2.49%0.21%3.92%2.45%0.10%2.76%1.29%-3.82%4.30%0.22%2.45%9.16%

Benchmark Metrics

40 Split has an annualized alpha of 6.99%, beta of 0.30, and R² of 0.37 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 28, 2002.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (49.21%) than losses (27.71%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.30 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.37 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.37 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
6.99%
Beta
0.30
0.37
Upside Capture
49.21%
Downside Capture
27.71%

Expense Ratio

40 Split has an expense ratio of 0.08%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

40 Split ranks 76 for risk / return — better than 76% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


40 Split Risk / Return Rank: 7676
Overall Rank
40 Split Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7878
Sharpe Ratio Rank
40 Split Sortino Ratio Rank: 7676
Sortino Ratio Rank
40 Split Omega Ratio Rank: 7474
Omega Ratio Rank
40 Split Calmar Ratio Rank: 7676
Calmar Ratio Rank
40 Split Martin Ratio Rank: 7878
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.65

0.88

+0.77

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.27

1.37

+0.91

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.33

1.21

+0.12

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.71

1.39

+1.32

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

11.51

6.43

+5.08


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
GC=F
Gold
821.722.131.322.649.67
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
10-0.07-0.011.00-0.09-0.19
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
530.921.451.221.517.11

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

40 Split Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.65
  • 5-Year: 0.94
  • 10-Year: 1.02
  • All Time: 1.04

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.97 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 40 Split compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

40 Split provided a 1.80% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.80%1.76%1.77%1.57%1.46%0.93%1.06%1.38%1.61%1.45%1.59%1.61%
GC=F
Gold
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.51%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.13%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40 Split. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 40 Split was 22.57%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 356 trading sessions.

The current 40 Split drawdown is 6.15%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-22.57%Dec 28, 2021206Oct 20, 2022356Mar 21, 2024562
-21.11%Mar 19, 2008199Nov 12, 2008235Sep 11, 2009434
-14.9%Mar 9, 20208Mar 18, 202025Apr 23, 202033
-9.78%May 12, 200628Jun 13, 2006123Nov 7, 2006151
-9.16%Mar 3, 202619Mar 27, 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.94, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkGC=FTLTSPYPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.01-0.250.990.57
GC=F0.011.000.140.010.65
TLT-0.250.141.00-0.250.31
SPY0.990.01-0.251.000.57
Portfolio0.570.650.310.571.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 28, 2002