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x3
Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


ASFYX 50%TMF 25%TIP 12.5%TLT 12.5%GLD 8.75%TQQQ 25%VT 8.75%AlternativesAlternativesBondBondCommodityCommodityEquityEquity
PositionCategory/SectorWeight
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
Systematic Trend
50%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Government Bonds
-42.50%
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Precious Metals, Gold
8.75%
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Inflation-Protected Bonds
12.50%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Government Bonds
12.50%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
Leveraged Bonds, Leveraged
25%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Leveraged Equities, Leveraged
25%
VT
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
8.75%

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in x3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Quarterly


-5.00%0.00%5.00%10.00%JuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovember
-2.28%
11.50%
x3
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 30, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of ASFYX

Returns By Period

As of Nov 21, 2024, the x3 returned 4.29% Year-To-Date and 13.34% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


YTD1M6M1Y5Y (annualized)10Y (annualized)
^GSPC
S&P 500
24.05%1.08%11.50%30.38%13.77%11.13%
x34.29%-1.46%-2.28%18.44%10.84%13.34%
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
-3.62%-0.23%-13.57%-5.17%6.61%3.37%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
53.90%2.86%20.48%78.56%34.01%34.56%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
-29.04%-6.43%-7.62%-8.03%-30.05%-12.42%
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
2.54%-0.60%2.54%5.68%1.87%2.06%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-5.50%-1.64%0.56%3.85%-6.08%-0.35%
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
27.96%-2.63%11.14%31.98%12.21%7.82%
VT
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
17.62%-0.38%7.65%24.67%11.09%9.22%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
4.66%0.38%2.55%5.26%2.28%1.56%

Monthly Returns

The table below presents the monthly returns of x3, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2024-1.63%4.13%3.76%-8.32%6.32%3.88%0.62%-1.12%4.41%-8.52%4.29%
202315.45%-5.69%8.13%0.83%2.82%6.29%0.19%-6.28%-10.01%-6.71%13.87%12.91%31.49%
2022-9.24%-2.42%4.12%-13.19%-4.82%-2.93%9.57%-8.13%-13.34%-3.13%6.78%-10.83%-40.49%
2021-3.75%-3.33%-2.64%8.55%0.47%7.47%6.18%2.58%-8.97%10.97%-0.06%0.29%17.09%
20209.38%1.04%-1.73%14.22%3.76%5.79%13.73%6.66%-8.35%-6.00%12.23%6.36%69.86%
20196.60%1.20%10.61%4.47%-1.79%7.56%2.56%12.02%-4.09%0.89%2.73%0.91%51.79%
20187.75%-9.57%-2.51%-2.59%5.09%0.95%0.39%7.80%-5.21%-13.13%-0.16%1.62%-11.24%
20175.22%6.48%0.26%3.29%4.73%-3.04%4.41%5.37%-2.83%5.61%2.50%2.34%39.54%
20163.18%3.79%3.27%-3.83%1.83%7.52%8.89%-2.22%-1.37%-7.68%-7.54%1.17%5.59%
201512.22%-0.94%-0.27%-3.24%-1.48%-8.76%8.09%-7.72%0.42%9.58%0.25%-4.37%1.46%
20142.60%5.71%-1.95%2.47%7.96%3.48%1.10%11.07%-3.36%3.62%9.86%1.84%53.18%
2013-0.10%0.53%3.59%8.97%-6.07%-7.41%4.75%-2.74%5.86%7.39%0.60%1.51%16.62%

Expense Ratio

x3 has a high expense ratio of 1.27%, indicating higher-than-average management fees. Below you can find the expense ratios of portfolio funds side-by-side and effortlessly compare their relative costs.


Expense ratio chart for ASFYX: current value at 1.47% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%1.47%
Expense ratio chart for TMF: current value at 1.09% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%1.09%
Expense ratio chart for TQQQ: current value at 0.95% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.95%
Expense ratio chart for GLD: current value at 0.40% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.40%
Expense ratio chart for TIP: current value at 0.19% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.19%
Expense ratio chart for TLT: current value at 0.15% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.15%
Expense ratio chart for BIL: current value at 0.14% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.14%
Expense ratio chart for VT: current value at 0.07% compared with the broader market ranging from 0.00% to 2.12%.0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%0.07%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank

The current rank of x3 is 7, indicating that it is in the bottom 7% of portfolios on our website in terms of risk-adjusted performance. This ranking is based on the combined values of the indicators listed below.


The Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank of x3 is 77
Combined Rank
The Sharpe Ratio Rank of x3 is 88
Sharpe Ratio Rank
The Sortino Ratio Rank of x3 is 77
Sortino Ratio Rank
The Omega Ratio Rank of x3 is 77
Omega Ratio Rank
The Calmar Ratio Rank of x3 is 66
Calmar Ratio Rank
The Martin Ratio Rank of x3 is 88
Martin Ratio Rank
The risk-adjusted ranks indicate the investment's position relative to the market. A rank closer to 100 signifies top-performing investments, while a rank closer to 0 might suggest underperformance, based on the selected ratio. The values are calculated based on the past 12 months of returns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


Sharpe ratio
The chart of Sharpe ratio for x3, currently valued at 0.82, compared to the broader market0.002.004.006.000.822.46
The chart of Sortino ratio for x3, currently valued at 1.25, compared to the broader market-2.000.002.004.006.001.253.31
The chart of Omega ratio for x3, currently valued at 1.15, compared to the broader market0.801.001.201.401.601.802.001.151.46
The chart of Calmar ratio for x3, currently valued at 0.52, compared to the broader market0.005.0010.0015.000.523.55
The chart of Martin ratio for x3, currently valued at 3.30, compared to the broader market0.0010.0020.0030.0040.0050.0060.003.3015.76
x3
^GSPC

Portfolio components
Sharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
-0.47-0.540.93-0.23-0.67
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
1.451.931.261.476.04
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
-0.180.041.00-0.09-0.37
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
1.111.641.200.444.68
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.260.471.050.090.61
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.252.991.394.1113.32
VT
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
2.092.871.382.9913.40
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
20.40273.00158.62482.854,446.75

The current x3 Sharpe ratio is 0.82. This value is calculated based on the past 1 year of trading data and takes into account price changes and dividends.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.77 to 2.60, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests that it may not be performing as well in terms of risk-adjusted returns compared to many other portfolios. The lower performance could be due to either lower returns, higher volatility, or a combination of both. This might indicate that the portfolio requires some fine-tuning. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to find an allocation that maximizes the Sharpe ratio.

Use the chart below to compare the Sharpe ratio of x3 with the selected benchmark, providing insights into the investment's historical performance in terms of risk-adjusted returns. Go to the Sharpe ratio tool for more fine-grained control over the calculation options.

Rolling 12-month Sharpe Ratio0.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.50JuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovember
0.82
2.46
x3
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

Dividends

Dividend yield

x3 provided a 0.54% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
Portfolio0.54%0.37%17.61%3.95%2.17%2.84%1.23%0.59%0.69%3.12%7.58%0.87%
ASFYX
AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y
1.02%0.98%32.48%6.07%3.40%5.51%1.30%0.07%0.01%5.06%13.64%0.00%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
1.23%1.26%0.57%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.03%0.00%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
3.76%2.82%1.62%0.13%0.48%0.94%1.49%0.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.57%
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
2.40%2.73%6.96%4.28%1.17%1.75%2.71%2.07%1.48%0.34%1.67%1.15%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.07%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%2.67%3.26%
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VT
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
1.86%2.08%2.20%1.82%1.66%2.32%2.53%2.11%2.39%2.45%2.44%2.06%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
5.15%4.92%1.35%0.00%0.30%2.05%1.66%0.68%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


-25.00%-20.00%-15.00%-10.00%-5.00%0.00%JuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovember
-21.53%
-1.40%
x3
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the x3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the x3 was 43.92%, occurring on Dec 28, 2022. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current x3 drawdown is 21.53%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-43.92%Nov 22, 2021277Dec 28, 2022
-27.24%Mar 10, 20207Mar 18, 202020Apr 16, 202027
-23.81%Jan 29, 2018208Nov 21, 2018103Apr 24, 2019311
-19.95%Aug 11, 201679Dec 1, 2016121May 26, 2017200
-18.22%May 3, 201336Jun 24, 2013127Dec 23, 2013163

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The current x3 volatility is 6.72%, representing the average percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%JuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovember
6.72%
4.07%
x3
Benchmark (^GSPC)
Portfolio components

Diversification

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BILASFYXGLDTQQQVTTIPTMFTLT
BIL1.000.000.00-0.000.000.010.020.02
ASFYX0.001.000.060.180.200.050.020.02
GLD0.000.061.000.030.110.360.250.25
TQQQ-0.000.180.031.000.84-0.05-0.20-0.20
VT0.000.200.110.841.00-0.05-0.26-0.26
TIP0.010.050.36-0.05-0.051.000.740.74
TMF0.020.020.25-0.20-0.260.741.001.00
TLT0.020.020.25-0.20-0.260.741.001.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Aug 2, 2010