Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold ETF | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
BTCE.DE ETC Group Physical Bitcoin | Cryptocurrency | 3% |
CE31.L iShares Euro Government Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF (Acc) | European Government Bonds | 4% |
CSH2.L Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-GBP | Money Market | 8% |
EUNL.DE iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | Global Equities | 75% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in bitcoin, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
Loading graphics...
The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 18, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of BTCE.DE
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.16% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio bitcoin | 0.33% | 1.47% | 1.06% | 4.96% | 29.33% | 19.59% | 11.24% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
EUNL.DE iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 0.46% | 2.70% | 0.85% | 5.58% | 32.72% | 18.75% | 10.77% | 12.48% |
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold ETF | -0.52% | -6.89% | 8.43% | 18.67% | 47.11% | 33.56% | 22.27% | 14.27% |
CE31.L iShares Euro Government Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF (Acc) | 0.01% | 1.70% | -0.35% | 0.95% | 4.23% | 5.12% | 0.48% | 0.60% |
CSH2.L Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-GBP | 0.18% | 1.20% | 1.12% | 2.94% | 7.40% | 7.84% | 3.16% | 1.42% |
BTCE.DE ETC Group Physical Bitcoin | 0.83% | 3.39% | -17.61% | -39.47% | -13.62% | 31.34% | 2.43% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 19, 2020, bitcoin's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.25%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.6 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +10.5%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -7.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, bitcoin closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 10, 2025 with a return of +5.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -4.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.30% | 0.57% | -6.75% | 5.34% | 1.06% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.98% | -2.04% | -1.54% | 1.93% | 5.30% | 4.01% | 1.00% | 1.98% | 3.50% | 2.03% | 0.33% | 1.78% | 24.35% |
| 2024 | 0.90% | 4.00% | 3.99% | -2.56% | 3.00% | 2.32% | 1.88% | 1.56% | 2.66% | -0.40% | 4.06% | -2.66% | 20.06% |
| 2023 | 6.85% | -2.38% | 4.12% | 1.76% | -0.87% | 4.78% | 2.71% | -1.92% | -3.91% | -0.98% | 7.62% | 5.00% | 24.35% |
| 2022 | -5.35% | -0.61% | 2.73% | -6.61% | -2.06% | -7.86% | 6.06% | -3.98% | -6.82% | 4.10% | 5.21% | -1.96% | -17.01% |
| 2021 | 0.22% | 2.46% | 3.25% | 3.69% | 1.15% | -0.07% | 2.21% | 2.43% | -3.76% | 5.32% | -1.54% | 2.40% | 18.90% |
Benchmark Metrics
bitcoin has an annualized alpha of 7.61%, beta of 0.46, and R² of 0.34 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 19, 2020.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (82.51%) than losses (78.83%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.46 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.34 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.34 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 7.61%
- Beta
- 0.46
- R²
- 0.34
- Upside Capture
- 82.51%
- Downside Capture
- 78.83%
Expense Ratio
bitcoin has an expense ratio of 0.22%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
bitcoin ranks 52 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.78 | 2.23 | +0.55 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 4.10 | 3.12 | +0.99 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.50 | 1.42 | +0.09 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.04 | 4.05 | -1.01 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.87 | 17.91 | -5.03 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EUNL.DE iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 78 | 2.70 | 3.99 | 1.49 | 4.98 | 21.40 |
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold ETF | 44 | 1.98 | 2.46 | 1.35 | 3.27 | 11.90 |
CE31.L iShares Euro Government Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF (Acc) | 17 | 0.78 | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.22 | 3.57 |
CSH2.L Lyxor Smart Overnight Return UCITS ETF C-GBP | 25 | 1.20 | 1.82 | 1.21 | 2.38 | 5.39 |
BTCE.DE ETC Group Physical Bitcoin | 5 | -0.26 | -0.11 | 0.99 | -0.13 | -0.27 |
Loading graphics...
Dividends
Dividend yield
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading graphics...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the bitcoin. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the bitcoin was 24.90%, occurring on Oct 12, 2022. Recovery took 302 trading sessions.
The current bitcoin drawdown is 3.03%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.9% | Nov 9, 2021 | 240 | Oct 12, 2022 | 302 | Dec 14, 2023 | 542 |
| -13.32% | Feb 18, 2025 | 37 | Apr 9, 2025 | 22 | May 13, 2025 | 59 |
| -8.84% | Jan 28, 2026 | 43 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -6.54% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 12 | Aug 21, 2024 | 26 |
| -6.43% | Sep 3, 2020 | 16 | Sep 24, 2020 | 30 | Nov 5, 2020 | 46 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading graphics...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.72, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | 4GLD.DE | BTCE.DE | CE31.L | CSH2.L | EUNL.DE | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| 4GLD.DE | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| BTCE.DE | 0.28 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| CE31.L | 0.29 | 0.39 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| CSH2.L | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.21 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| EUNL.DE | 0.64 | 0.21 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Portfolio | 0.62 | 0.35 | 0.51 | 0.42 | 0.51 | 0.97 | 1.00 |