Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in x2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 18, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the x2 returned -5.00% Year-To-Date and 29.49% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio x2 | -0.10% | -4.37% | -5.00% | -10.02% | 9.38% | 15.37% | 5.23% | 29.49% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 1.59% | -8.80% | -1.52% | -8.84% | -15.76% | -23.39% | -29.12% | -15.69% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.99% | -2.31% | -23.70% | -44.66% | -19.07% | 33.89% | 3.18% | 66.03% |
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 0.00% | 1.23% | 6.72% | 10.64% | 3.03% | -2.85% | 2.28% | 1.88% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | -0.23% | -3.01% | -0.97% | 1.52% | 21.33% | 16.97% | 9.38% | 11.66% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 0.41% | -0.62% | 0.82% | 0.60% | 3.34% | 3.06% | 1.33% | 2.52% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.02% | 0.31% | 0.90% | 1.85% | 4.01% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 19, 2012, x2's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +3.45%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.7 years.
Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +121.1%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -25.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, x2 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +22.7%, while the worst single day was Dec 6, 2013 at -14.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.89% | 1.23% | -7.71% | 0.79% | -5.00% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.96% | -3.00% | -7.39% | -2.85% | 4.97% | 7.20% | 1.41% | 0.02% | 9.06% | 3.23% | -4.03% | -2.24% | 9.36% |
| 2024 | -1.19% | 12.20% | 6.88% | -9.71% | 7.30% | 1.83% | 1.20% | -2.62% | 5.01% | -4.73% | 13.15% | -5.03% | 23.84% |
| 2023 | 20.38% | -4.43% | 11.84% | 1.20% | 0.86% | 7.33% | -0.64% | -7.23% | -7.54% | 0.39% | 12.50% | 12.56% | 52.72% |
| 2022 | -10.72% | 0.28% | 4.41% | -14.01% | -6.86% | -8.77% | 10.98% | -9.36% | -11.31% | -1.38% | 1.80% | -9.59% | -44.69% |
| 2021 | -0.14% | 5.79% | 7.20% | 6.51% | -6.11% | 5.54% | 8.56% | 4.92% | -8.65% | 17.06% | -1.83% | -4.27% | 36.82% |
Benchmark Metrics
x2 has an annualized alpha of 27.83%, beta of 0.71, and R² of 0.19 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 19, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 199.60% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 99.21% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.19 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 27.83%
- Beta
- 0.71
- R²
- 0.19
- Upside Capture
- 199.60%
- Downside Capture
- 99.21%
Expense Ratio
x2 has a high expense ratio of 1.01%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
x2 ranks 7 for risk / return — in the bottom 7% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.39 | 0.88 | -0.49 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.69 | 1.37 | -0.67 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.08 | 1.21 | -0.13 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.05 | 1.39 | -1.44 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.11 | 6.43 | -6.55 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4 | -0.47 | -0.45 | 0.95 | -0.59 | -0.94 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.96 | -1.14 | -2.03 |
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 7 | 0.25 | 0.40 | 1.06 | 0.26 | 0.43 |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 68 | 1.24 | 1.83 | 1.27 | 1.86 | 8.47 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 35 | 0.80 | 1.11 | 1.14 | 1.16 | 3.36 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.57 | 254.91 | 180.89 | 367.86 | 4,130.10 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
x2 provided a 1.02% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.02% | 1.06% | 0.81% | 0.29% | 14.09% | 3.16% | 2.09% | 2.27% | 0.99% | 0.47% | 0.56% | 2.49% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 3.96% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ASFYX AlphaSimplex Managed Futures Strategy Fund Class Y | 1.42% | 1.52% | 1.46% | 0.99% | 32.48% | 6.07% | 3.40% | 5.51% | 1.30% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 5.06% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 1.80% | 1.82% | 1.95% | 2.08% | 2.20% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 2.32% | 2.53% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 2.79% | 3.46% | 2.52% | 2.73% | 6.96% | 4.28% | 1.17% | 1.75% | 2.71% | 2.07% | 1.48% | 0.34% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the x2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the x2 was 51.31%, occurring on Dec 28, 2022. Recovery took 707 trading sessions.
The current x2 drawdown is 13.37%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -51.31% | Nov 10, 2021 | 414 | Dec 28, 2022 | 707 | Dec 4, 2024 | 1121 |
| -42.26% | Dec 17, 2017 | 343 | Nov 24, 2018 | 212 | Jun 24, 2019 | 555 |
| -37.76% | Dec 5, 2013 | 14 | Dec 18, 2013 | 457 | Mar 20, 2015 | 471 |
| -31.34% | Apr 10, 2013 | 86 | Jul 5, 2013 | 122 | Nov 4, 2013 | 208 |
| -30.01% | Mar 7, 2020 | 12 | Mar 18, 2020 | 42 | Apr 29, 2020 | 54 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.35, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | ASFYX | BTC-USD | GLD | TIP | TMF | TLT | TQQQ | VT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.18 | -0.18 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 0.51 |
| BIL | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| ASFYX | 0.22 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| BTC-USD | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.03 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.70 |
| GLD | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| TIP | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.73 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| TMF | -0.18 | 0.01 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.25 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.99 | -0.11 | -0.14 | 0.31 |
| TLT | -0.18 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.25 | 0.73 | 0.99 | 1.00 | -0.11 | -0.14 | 0.31 |
| TQQQ | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 0.01 | -0.01 | -0.11 | -0.11 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.51 |
| VT | 0.95 | 0.04 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.14 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.45 |
| Portfolio | 0.51 | 0.01 | 0.29 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 1.00 |