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Confused
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


BIL 15.00%GLD 75.00%UUP 25.00%VIXM 50.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquityVolatilityVolatility

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Confused, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 4, 2011, corresponding to the inception date of VIXM

Returns By Period

As of Apr 1, 2026, the Confused returned 3.01% Year-To-Date and 27.25% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
2.91%-5.09%-4.63%-2.39%16.33%16.69%10.18%12.16%
Portfolio
Confused
6.98%-11.91%3.01%15.52%64.55%40.12%28.49%27.25%
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
-5.73%10.80%10.48%6.56%-26.71%-23.57%-19.27%-25.89%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
0.00%0.29%0.85%1.84%3.99%4.70%3.27%2.12%
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
-2.72%9.31%12.31%8.41%8.20%-13.85%-12.86%-10.48%
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
-9.32%23.30%33.97%6.35%-31.66%-42.53%-45.66%-46.57%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
-0.71%2.58%2.77%4.43%0.66%4.64%5.20%3.09%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
3.79%-11.05%8.57%21.05%49.33%32.92%21.58%13.92%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 5, 2011, Confused's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +1.58%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.7 years.

Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +21.9%, while the worst month was Sep 2011 at -12.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Confused closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 17, 2020 with a return of +18.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -20.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20269.80%6.50%-11.91%3.01%
20258.83%0.90%1.49%7.72%4.83%4.17%3.92%5.34%10.62%6.39%4.28%1.08%78.02%
2024-0.66%5.02%10.13%-4.00%3.58%5.23%3.93%3.96%6.06%1.95%1.85%-1.33%41.17%
20234.10%-4.72%10.96%4.08%-2.18%-1.78%2.98%-2.24%-8.34%5.64%5.17%3.66%16.96%
2022-8.72%2.50%9.02%-8.02%0.72%-9.69%5.63%-3.20%-9.17%5.90%8.47%-2.89%-11.59%
20211.18%1.31%-0.04%7.51%4.91%-3.27%5.68%3.26%-4.28%8.29%1.02%6.10%35.53%

Benchmark Metrics

Confused has an annualized alpha of 9.02%, beta of 0.90, and R² of 0.50 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 05, 2011.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (94.26%) than losses (50.79%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 9.02% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.90 and R² of 0.50, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
9.02%
Beta
0.90
0.50
Upside Capture
94.26%
Downside Capture
50.79%

Expense Ratio

Confused has an expense ratio of 0.35%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Confused ranks 91 for risk / return — in the top 91% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


Confused Risk / Return Rank: 9191
Overall Rank
Confused Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9292
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Confused Sortino Ratio Rank: 9292
Sortino Ratio Rank
Confused Omega Ratio Rank: 9595
Omega Ratio Rank
Confused Calmar Ratio Rank: 8787
Calmar Ratio Rank
Confused Martin Ratio Rank: 8989
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.08

0.90

+1.19

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.78

1.39

+1.39

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.46

1.21

+0.24

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

3.37

1.40

+1.97

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

14.53

6.61

+7.92


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
3-0.74-0.900.87-0.57-0.68
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
10019.52254.04180.28365.544,104.04
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
210.280.641.090.370.54
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
6-0.42-0.220.97-0.46-0.59
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
140.090.171.020.130.24
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
871.792.211.332.689.90

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Confused Sharpe ratios as of Apr 1, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.08
  • 5-Year: 1.31
  • 10-Year: 1.15
  • All Time: 0.86

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.97 to 1.64, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Confused compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Confused provided a -0.74% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Portfolio-0.74%-1.46%-2.07%-0.53%0.25%0.00%-0.41%-0.11%-0.12%0.08%0.01%
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
4.35%5.88%7.89%5.77%0.35%0.00%0.92%1.84%1.28%0.09%0.00%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
4.01%4.13%5.03%4.92%1.35%0.00%0.30%2.05%1.66%0.68%0.07%
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.34%3.43%4.48%6.44%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%0.00%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Confused. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Confused was 35.08%, occurring on Mar 16, 2020. Recovery took 15 trading sessions.

The current Confused drawdown is 13.97%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-35.08%Feb 20, 202018Mar 16, 202015Apr 6, 202033
-26.09%Feb 29, 2012282Apr 15, 2013767Apr 29, 20161049
-23.77%Apr 14, 2022117Sep 30, 2022310Dec 26, 2023427
-20.66%Jan 29, 2018229Dec 24, 2018113Jun 7, 2019342
-20.17%Jan 30, 202639Mar 26, 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.85, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBILGLDUUPVIXMVIXYSDSPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.000.04-0.19-0.74-0.79-1.000.60
BIL-0.001.000.020.010.020.010.010.02
GLD0.040.021.00-0.440.010.00-0.030.64
UUP-0.190.01-0.441.000.150.140.19-0.31
VIXM-0.740.020.010.151.000.900.74-0.24
VIXY-0.790.010.000.140.901.000.78-0.38
SDS-1.000.01-0.030.190.740.781.00-0.60
Portfolio0.600.020.64-0.31-0.24-0.38-0.601.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 5, 2011