Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited | Basic Materials | 6.67% |
AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | Basic Materials | 6.67% |
APH Amphenol Corporation | Technology | 6.67% |
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | Basic Materials | 6.67% |
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation | Healthcare | 6.67% |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | Industrials | 6.67% |
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | Industrials | 6.67% |
EVR Evercore Inc. | Financial Services | 6.67% |
FSS Federal Signal Corporation | Industrials | 6.67% |
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | Communication Services | 6.67% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 6.67% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
SAP SAP SE | Technology | 6.67% |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | Basic Materials | 6.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Guess from Sharpe from Parameters, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 30, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of PLTR
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Guess from Sharpe from Parameters | -0.71% | -4.80% | 3.86% | 8.38% | 71.58% | 70.86% | 40.57% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 1.34% | 0.84% | -16.48% | -20.63% | 69.77% | 160.69% | 45.12% | — |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | -2.66% | -10.11% | 13.56% | 21.91% | 74.20% | 76.13% | 49.29% | 31.18% |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | -0.11% | 8.90% | 13.36% | 4.07% | 46.20% | 64.02% | 38.36% | 29.45% |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | -3.17% | -2.39% | 24.42% | 58.76% | 109.69% | 107.80% | 58.91% | 30.03% |
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | -0.30% | -0.98% | 26.09% | 29.56% | 113.68% | 57.80% | 42.63% | 25.56% |
SAP SAP SE | 0.24% | -12.51% | -29.29% | -36.83% | -36.16% | 12.19% | 8.09% | 9.54% |
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation | 1.32% | -14.94% | -34.12% | -34.71% | -37.21% | 8.11% | 10.24% | 12.43% |
APH Amphenol Corporation | 0.23% | -1.02% | -5.10% | 3.98% | 89.85% | 47.86% | 32.00% | 25.52% |
AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 0.85% | -11.87% | 19.36% | 33.91% | 74.11% | 54.98% | 42.47% | 25.23% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 1, 2020, Guess from Sharpe from Parameters's average daily return is +0.16%, while the average monthly return is +3.34%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.8 years.
Historically, 72% of months were positive and 28% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +23.5%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -11.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 13 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Guess from Sharpe from Parameters closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +13.7%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -7.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.77% | 7.69% | -6.52% | 1.38% | 3.86% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.51% | -0.64% | -5.51% | 10.98% | 16.18% | 9.87% | 2.88% | 2.60% | 8.53% | 5.63% | -2.71% | 1.60% | 66.26% |
| 2024 | 2.69% | 12.89% | 7.85% | 0.49% | 16.95% | 1.83% | 11.25% | 2.42% | 6.15% | 3.22% | 18.05% | -5.40% | 108.59% |
| 2023 | 12.78% | 1.46% | 3.72% | 2.75% | 3.47% | 12.02% | 5.63% | 0.14% | -3.91% | -3.18% | 15.13% | 3.43% | 65.64% |
| 2022 | -8.91% | 1.51% | 3.76% | -10.48% | -0.65% | -11.74% | 11.30% | -5.01% | -7.25% | 15.60% | 9.10% | -3.57% | -10.20% |
| 2021 | 3.63% | 0.86% | 2.93% | 3.61% | 6.10% | -1.88% | -3.08% | 3.19% | -6.83% | 5.13% | -3.79% | 2.19% | 11.77% |
Benchmark Metrics
Guess from Sharpe from Parameters has an annualized alpha of 25.97%, beta of 1.29, and R² of 0.69 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 01, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 196.18% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 69.59% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 25.97% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 25.97%
- Beta
- 1.29
- R²
- 0.69
- Upside Capture
- 196.18%
- Downside Capture
- 69.59%
Expense Ratio
Guess from Sharpe from Parameters has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Guess from Sharpe from Parameters ranks 94 for risk / return — in the top 94% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.31 | 0.88 | +1.43 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.98 | 1.37 | +1.61 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.41 | 1.21 | +0.20 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.24 | 1.39 | +3.85 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 18.99 | 6.43 | +12.56 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 74 | 1.22 | 1.79 | 1.24 | 1.99 | 4.80 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 91 | 2.19 | 2.81 | 1.38 | 4.78 | 14.61 |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | 75 | 1.21 | 1.79 | 1.22 | 2.18 | 5.90 |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | 91 | 2.15 | 2.89 | 1.39 | 5.98 | 13.90 |
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | 96 | 3.28 | 3.61 | 1.51 | 8.86 | 25.74 |
SAP SAP SE | 6 | -1.11 | -1.51 | 0.80 | -0.76 | -1.73 |
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation | 3 | -1.19 | -1.55 | 0.76 | -0.89 | -2.47 |
APH Amphenol Corporation | 88 | 2.20 | 2.57 | 1.39 | 3.37 | 11.48 |
AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 78 | 1.44 | 1.87 | 1.25 | 2.36 | 6.38 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Guess from Sharpe from Parameters provided a 0.39% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.39% | 0.36% | 0.50% | 0.71% | 0.94% | 0.87% | 0.83% | 1.13% | 0.94% | 0.64% | 3.39% | 0.98% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.20% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 0.31% | 0.25% | 0.13% | 0.05% | 0.39% | 1.42% | 0.88% | 40.49% | 1.22% |
USLM United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. | 0.18% | 0.20% | 0.15% | 0.35% | 0.57% | 0.50% | 0.56% | 6.52% | 0.76% | 0.70% | 0.66% | 0.91% |
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation | 0.20% | 0.25% | 0.47% | 1.13% | 2.17% | 2.74% | 2.75% | 1.61% | 2.13% | 1.41% | 1.99% | 2.38% |
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | 0.14% | 0.17% | 0.23% | 0.35% | 0.45% | 0.51% | 0.58% | 0.47% | 0.59% | 0.46% | 0.53% | 0.76% |
SAP SAP SE | 1.48% | 1.05% | 0.97% | 1.41% | 2.05% | 1.56% | 1.31% | 1.27% | 1.73% | 0.87% | 1.08% | 1.11% |
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
APH Amphenol Corporation | 0.65% | 0.55% | 0.79% | 1.07% | 1.06% | 0.89% | 0.80% | 0.89% | 1.09% | 0.80% | 0.86% | 1.01% |
AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 0.25% | 0.26% | 0.54% | 0.74% | 0.99% | 1.30% | 0.74% | 0.66% | 0.56% | 0.31% | 0.29% | 1.22% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Guess from Sharpe from Parameters. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Guess from Sharpe from Parameters was 32.53%, occurring on Sep 27, 2022. Recovery took 136 trading sessions.
The current Guess from Sharpe from Parameters drawdown is 6.57%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -32.53% | Nov 9, 2021 | 222 | Sep 27, 2022 | 136 | Apr 13, 2023 | 358 |
| -25.1% | Feb 19, 2025 | 33 | Apr 4, 2025 | 24 | May 9, 2025 | 57 |
| -13.36% | Mar 3, 2026 | 20 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -10.21% | Oct 30, 2025 | 16 | Nov 20, 2025 | 21 | Dec 22, 2025 | 37 |
| -9.96% | Jun 9, 2021 | 28 | Jul 19, 2021 | 78 | Nov 5, 2021 | 106 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | AEM | AGI | BSX | ASM | USLM | PLTR | META | SAP | NVDA | FSS | CRS | CW | EVR | HWM | APH | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 0.28 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.74 | 0.80 |
| AEM | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.16 | 0.62 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| AGI | 0.23 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.61 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| BSX | 0.46 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| ASM | 0.28 | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.45 |
| USLM | 0.43 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| PLTR | 0.53 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.49 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 0.66 |
| META | 0.65 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.30 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| SAP | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| NVDA | 0.68 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.49 | 0.56 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| FSS | 0.57 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 0.43 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| CRS | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.63 | 0.43 | 0.70 |
| CW | 0.54 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| EVR | 0.63 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| HWM | 0.57 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.69 |
| APH | 0.74 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| Portfolio | 0.80 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.70 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 1.00 |