Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 20% |
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | Inverse Equities | 25% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | Leveraged Equities, S&P 500 | 55% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in GU First, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 25, 2009, corresponding to the inception date of UPRO
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the GU First returned -3.69% Year-To-Date and 18.42% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio GU First | -0.26% | -6.85% | -3.69% | -0.24% | 36.14% | 26.45% | 15.33% | 18.42% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | 0.00% | 4.53% | 4.94% | 4.03% | -15.37% | -9.96% | -7.71% | -11.94% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 0.21% | -13.09% | -13.96% | -11.51% | 54.07% | 37.93% | 17.21% | 25.67% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -1.94% | -9.01% | 8.34% | 20.10% | 50.07% | 32.68% | 21.72% | 14.14% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 26, 2009, GU First's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +1.63%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.6 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +18.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -21.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, GU First closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +10.3%, while the worst single day was Jun 11, 2020 at -11.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.05% | 0.22% | -8.71% | 1.18% | -3.69% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.49% | -1.96% | -5.84% | -3.82% | 8.17% | 7.55% | 2.76% | 3.44% | 7.34% | 3.45% | 0.73% | 0.12% | 28.48% |
| 2024 | 1.36% | 7.23% | 6.34% | -5.29% | 6.46% | 4.63% | 1.96% | 2.75% | 3.56% | -1.06% | 7.44% | -4.51% | 34.30% |
| 2023 | 9.68% | -5.54% | 6.05% | 1.93% | -0.30% | 8.98% | 4.83% | -3.39% | -7.90% | -2.14% | 13.01% | 7.13% | 34.49% |
| 2022 | -7.74% | -2.86% | 3.50% | -11.70% | -2.03% | -9.37% | 12.84% | -7.89% | -13.91% | 10.01% | 9.01% | -9.37% | -29.27% |
| 2021 | -2.51% | 2.25% | 6.31% | 8.41% | 2.08% | 1.93% | 3.69% | 4.36% | -7.77% | 10.35% | -1.63% | 7.44% | 39.14% |
Benchmark Metrics
GU First has an annualized alpha of 3.46%, beta of 1.25, and R² of 0.90 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 26, 2009.
- This portfolio captured 162.54% of S&P 500 Index gains and 133.97% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.46% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 3.46%
- Beta
- 1.25
- R²
- 0.90
- Upside Capture
- 162.54%
- Downside Capture
- 133.97%
Expense Ratio
GU First has an expense ratio of 0.78%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
GU First ranks 36 for risk / return — below 36% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.10 | 0.88 | +0.22 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.59 | 1.37 | +0.22 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.21 | +0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.68 | 1.39 | +0.29 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.33 | 6.43 | -0.11 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | 4 | -0.63 | -0.77 | 0.89 | -0.45 | -0.54 |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 34 | 0.59 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.03 | 4.06 |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 79 | 1.78 | 2.21 | 1.33 | 2.58 | 9.32 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
GU First provided a 1.55% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.55% | 1.59% | 2.06% | 1.75% | 0.56% | 0.03% | 0.10% | 0.66% | 0.60% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.19% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | 3.95% | 4.49% | 6.20% | 5.37% | 1.08% | 0.00% | 0.16% | 1.76% | 1.01% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 1.01% | 0.84% | 0.93% | 0.74% | 0.52% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.41% | 0.63% | 0.00% | 0.12% | 0.34% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the GU First. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the GU First was 38.71%, occurring on Apr 1, 2020. Recovery took 100 trading sessions.
The current GU First drawdown is 10.25%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -38.71% | Feb 20, 2020 | 30 | Apr 1, 2020 | 100 | Aug 24, 2020 | 130 |
| -35.92% | Dec 30, 2021 | 200 | Oct 14, 2022 | 329 | Feb 7, 2024 | 529 |
| -26.62% | May 2, 2011 | 108 | Oct 3, 2011 | 101 | Feb 28, 2012 | 209 |
| -24.45% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 58 | Jul 2, 2025 | 92 |
| -21.93% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 59 | Mar 21, 2019 | 288 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.47, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IAU | SH | UPRO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.06 | -1.00 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| IAU | 0.06 | 1.00 | -0.06 | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| SH | -1.00 | -0.06 | 1.00 | -1.00 | -0.98 |
| UPRO | 1.00 | 0.06 | -1.00 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Portfolio | 0.98 | 0.21 | -0.98 | 0.98 | 1.00 |